The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 31 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 31 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sorensen predicts in-flight nut death will force overnight airline nut bans
“I, I'm convinced that in the next five years, there'll be someone that dies on a plane from nuts, and overnight, the whole industry will be nut-free, or allergy-friendly. Like, I am so convinced in my heart that that will happen.”
Besenval: Pure ceramic solid-state battery tech will take 10 years to scale
“Probably more than several is the thing. We're talking about millions and millions of EVs as soon as twenty-thirty, right? So really we need a solution in kind of the next five years. So yeah, there are companies that have solutions that are going to be fantas…”
Brownridge: DogSpot projects $100M ARR with 10,000 units in five years
“So we're able to reach a hundred million annual recurring revenue with 10,000 houses out. We have a five-year plan to get there.”
Borden: Remynt will reach a $1B valuation and IPO
“And I am hundred percent confident That we are going to crush it and be a billion dollar company and be the third publicly traded debt buyer collector. I have no doubt in my mind.”
Desai: Kinemetrix will probably be acquired within five years
“Five years from now, I think we are probably going to be bought out by some medical device, either remote video monitoring, someone that wants that software solution that plugs in place for their product.”
Yin: Christy's Chips is easily a billion-dollar business
“If she continues, it's easily a billion dollar business. Easily.”
Sánchez: $5T in Manufacturing Trade to Shift to LatAm
“It is expected that five trillion dollars from manufacturing trade will shift into Latin America in the next five years.”
Braima: Africa will hold one-third of global youth within seven years
“In seven years, Africa will be home to a third of the global population of youth.”
Braima: One in five internet users will be in Africa by 2050
“By twenty-fifty, one out of every five customers on the internet will be in Africa.”
Tobias predicts Kimoyo will exit for mid-double-digit millions, not $100M+
“I don't think it ends up being a billion dollar exit, or even a hundred million dollar exit. I think it ends up being a maybe mid double digits exit.”
Braima insists Kimoyo will become at least a $200 million business
“How do you not see that this is going to be like, you know, at least at the minimum, a couple hundred million dollar business?”
DotCal will become a billion-dollar company via shared scheduling
“We're gonna look back in a few years and be like, oh, dot cow became a billion dollar company because of shared.”
Diamond: In 5 to 10 years everyone will own in-home VR
“Just like you have a video game console, you have a at home entertainment console, everyone's going to have a VR in their homes, a VR headset. But I think we're a ways away from that. You know, I think we're like five or 10 years away from that, lowering that …”
Tobias Predicts Kimoyo Insights Will Exit for Mid-Double-Digit Millions
“I don't think it ends up being a billion dollar exit, or even a hundred million dollar exit. I think it ends up being a maybe mid-double digits exit.”
Trofimova: Social commerce will grow 14x over the next five years
“And the same with the social commerce. I think it grew three X in the last three years, and it's going to 14 X in the next five years.”
Trofimova predicts Sundae will close funding round above a $7M valuation
“Seven million is a little bit lower valuation than what we will probably close this round at.”
McAndrew predicts Jungle's seed round will close at a $12M–$15M valuation
“But my guess is this gets done At 12, 15, and it's, like, at 12, 15, and that makes sense, given where they're at, the fact that they did a pre-seed, but also just, like, the data”
Mike Burton: Lockstop targets expansion to 291 cities in five years
“We're projecting in five years our goal is to hit 291 cities that have pretty developed infrastructure, or they have infrastructure that can develop pretty rapidly.”
Besenval: Natrion expects to fill its first purchase orders in two years
“Where we want to be at the end of that is actually, you know, our first PO is coming in and we'd be filling those, but conceivably, you know, we'll be at a sample cells at that stage, something that you could start building EV battery packs and then getting th…”
Manus: Natrion will get acquired rather than going all the way
“I feel someone's going to buy this truthfully. I don't think it's even going to go all the way.”
Gutwein: Modern Picnic will sell for $50 million in two to three years
“Two or three years, she sells this for fifty million to, and then she's on to her next thing.”
Medina: Europe will see 130 million electric vehicles sold within ten years
“And with a hundred and thirty million electric vehicles being sold in Europe alone in the next 10 years, that's a hundred and thirty million potential batteries that could be used to reinforce a power grid, substitute fossil fuel power plants, And allow more r…”
Lee: Sene will reduce delivery lead times to 5-7 days
“So right now the lead time is about two and a half weeks, and then we think within two years we can get it down to about five to seven days from order to delivery.”
Israel expects Hava Health's time to market to be 36 months
“So total time to market, estimating around 36 months.”
Impalameni: Immersive training market will reach $30B within five years
“Within five years, we expect that the immersive training market will be in, in a region of thirty billion dollars, and Tribe is building a platform to underpin that.”
Dicko: Samsung and Netflix will not sell in-flight VR to airlines
“Let me tell you, Samsung's not going to do that. Netflix is not going to do that.”
Demetrius Gray predicts WeatherCheck will become a billion-dollar company
“That also means that I own more of the company than most founders ever do, and I think that's beneficial in the context of, like, look, we will become a billion-dollar company, and the byproduct is that I'm gonna be super rich, and Jermaine's gonna be super ri…”
Schneider: Joint Implants Will Grow to 3.5M Annually Within 13 Years
“There's a million a year going up to 3.5 million in the next 13 years or so all over the world.”
Rad: Functional beverage market will reach $280B globally within five years
“It's expecting to grow to two eighty billion in the next five years. And even in the U.S. Alone, it's expected to grow from 23 to thirty seven billion.”