why aren't all 475 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Josh Muccio: James Altucher never wrote checks to any Pitch founders
“He never actually wrote checks to any of the founders on our show.”
Assertion Contradicted
Forenza: Exclusive patents prevent competitors from measuring EEG via ear cuff
“There is a IP in the hardware itself, in the form factor, in the ear cuff.
Ben Zices: Is that protected?
Antonio Forenza: Yeah, we have, yeah.
Ben Zices: So nobody else can measure EEG with an ear cuff device.
Antonio Forenza: Yes.”
Assertion Contradicted
FolioWorks has access to 3 million students approved for Federal Work-Study
“So we partner with every college career center, and so we have access to all of their three million students that are approved for work study.”
Assertion Partly supported
Luke Barkley Young: Fabric shower liners release carcinogenic PFAS in showers
“The material you're talking about it isn't, it's not cloth. It's a polyester. It's covered in what's called a DWR, durable water resistant, which is made of a PFA, which is a highly carcinogenic forever chemical. And when you stand next to it in the shower, th…”
Assertion Supported
Muccio: Survey showed only 8% of Black applicants received federal relief funds
“A survey published in May found that only eight percent of African-American business owners that had applied for federal relief or assistance actually received the money.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dufu: The Cru will reach 200,000 members and $100M revenue in 5 years
“So five years from now, we're at 200,000 members. So that gets us to, you know, a hundred million”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kowalski: Atomos projects $1.3B exit valuation by 2025
“So based on what we project with a couple of contracts a year, we would exit about 1.3 billion dollars in 2025.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Clark: Atomos vehicle will reach $500M annual revenue in mid-2020s
“So our full commercial vehicle will be operational in the early to mid-twententies with five hundred million annual revenue.”
Prediction Held up
Chapman: Somewear's market will end up being enterprise, not consumer
“In my heart of hearts, I feel like your market is going to end up being more in the enterprise than it's going to end up being out on the trail.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenblum: Lunar Wireless Patented Its Pay-Per-App Mobile Technology
“These deals are not super common and like all of the whole process of paying per app is patented. And so all of that is our core technology.”
Assertion Contradicted
Smith: 60% of the Top 500 Internet Retailers Lack Mobile Apps
“If you're looking at the IR 500, which is a sampling of the top 500 retailers in the market, 60% of those retailers don't have a mobile app.”
Assertion Supported
Salhi: CDs remained the most gifted music format in 2016
“And 30%, the highest, the most gifted item today, in 2016, wait for it, is still the CD.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sonnad: Musk assured free lifetime Supercharging for Model S long-distance travel
“So I brought the idea up with Elon Musk at the shareholders meeting in 2015, and at that point he assured me that Tesla would pay for all of the fuel costs for long distance travel in the Model S forever.”
Prediction Held up
Chapman: Tesla will ban commercial Supercharger access if Tesloop scales
“If you scale up and you've got a hundred cars on the road to Palm Springs every day, and the other Tesla drivers who are not commercial drivers cannot get a supercharger, I guarantee you Tesla is gonna say, no commercial use, you are not allowed to use our sta…”
Assertion Supported
Muccio: Tesla will prohibit self-driving tech on third-party ride-sharing services
“They will not permit Tesla's self-driving technology to be used on any ride-sharing service except for their own.”
Assertion Contradicted
Meghan Carreau: Childhood obesity has nothing to do with socioeconomic status
“That's actually a common misconception, though, because there are lots of kids, you know, one out of three kids and one out of five developing OPC-related disease actually has nothing to do with socioeconomic.”
Assertion Partly supported
Chapman: Over Half of Founders Have Diagnosable Mental Health Issues
“It's 30% can be diagnosed with clinical depression. 30% can be diagnosed with ADHD. It's about 29% can be diagnosed with, like, problematic anxiety to, like, where a clinician would diagnose you with it. And there's some overlap that still ends up being, like,…”
Assertion Partly supported
Forenza: Mapping arousal and valence biomarkers allows deriving all human emotions
“You have these two biomarkers that are arousal and valence. These are terms used in neuroscience. By mapping these two dimensions, you can derive all the different emotions.”
Assertion Contradicted
Trofimova: CPG brands spend $2T globally on untraceable marketing
“It's two trillion dollars globally is what they spend on marketing, completely in the blind, with no traceability.”
Assertion Partly supported
The government opened $1.2B in Work-Study subsidies to for-profits in 2020
“Around three billion dollars in wage subsidies comes from the federal government and the state government. So each year there's a program called Work Study. It's about 1.2 billion dollars. In 2020, they opened it up to for-profit companies because college camp…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Howie Diamond: Ride iQ will take our money in 18 months
“They'll take our money in a year and a half from now. ... They will. Trust me.”
Assertion Partly supported
Jillian Manus: Ginger, Hurdle, and Kaiser already have mental health video libraries
“I invest a lot in this space and I know that there are a lot of companies like Ginger and Hurdle and a number of other ones that have this content. Just Kaiser, even the healthcare systems, has a whole library of these exactly looking like this.”
Assertion Contradicted
Wheaton: Wardrobe and Pickle aren't truly peer-to-peer and hold centralized inventory
“A lot of the examples that I've seen, for example, wardrobe or pickle, a lot of these very recent platforms that are popping up are not actually entirely peer-to-peer. They call themselves peer-to-peer, but they still have centralized closets where you pick up…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Laguerre: Autonomous trucking will initially operate via five-truck platooning systems
“In order for autonomous to really take a full effect, our entire infrastructure, we have to change number one, but however, I do see autonomous working early on for long distance load and how that worked is they're doing that through a platooning system.
Where…”
Assertion Contradicted
Goldberg: Most consumers are perfectly happy with standard apparel sizing
“And then the majority of people are actually happy with the standard sizing systems.”
Prediction Held up
Michael Hyatt predicts Virtual Gurus will eventually hit $20 million in revenue
“This revenue is going to get to twenty million and getting in at two and a half. Think about it. It's one of the best VC returns you'd have.”
Assertion Supported
Israel says vaping illnesses stem from black-market THC, not nicotine vapes
“If you look at nicotine-based vapes, there hasn't been any directly related health crisis or crises that have sprung up because of them. It's all been linked to THC and vitamin E or vitamin A acetate and the THC kind of black market pods.”
Assertion Supported
Dufu cites a report showing 0.6% of VC went to Black women
“I don't know if you guys know the statistics, but last year, Digital Undivided produced a report called Project Diane, and out of all the venture capital that was raised from 22,009 until that year, only .6% of it went to Black female founders.”
Assertion Supported
Madho: Only 0.1% of luxury clothing fits 67% of American women
“0.1% of luxury clothes are available to the 67% of American women.”
Assertion Contradicted
Lee: No existing platform combines patent and financial analytics
“What we based on our research, there's no one company or no one platform that brings them together.”
Assertion Supported
Brownridge: DogSpot's UV lights eliminate dog flu and kennel cough between stays
“So there's a UV light sanitation in the roof of the house, which takes care of dog flu, kennel cough, any communicable disease that goes off between every single stay, and once a day it gets what we call a daily spot check.”
Assertion Supported
Muccio: Kassam accepted a $200K and $800K royalty deal from Kevin O'Leary
“In the end, she got a deal from Kevin O'Leary, AKA Mr. Wonderful. But it wasn't the deal she asked for. Zara walked in asking for 200,000 dollars at the same eight million dollar valuation she got from investors on the pitch. But she came out with 200,000 doll…”
Assertion Contradicted
Impalameni: There are an estimated 100 million DJs worldwide
“So there's an estimated hundred million DJs around the world.”
Assertion Supported
Kesserwani: Competitor Albert cannot take direct account actions
“No, they can't. They cannot take actions within the user's account.”
Assertion Contradicted
Burton: Missing class in the first two weeks leads to failing
“If you miss any amount of time in the first two weeks of class,
You are not going to complete or pass that class.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Soininen expects to raise at a valuation above $4M in the fall
“I think you know, we, I believe we can raise money at a bigger valuation than four at this point. We just, you know, need to clarify that focus a little bit and that's what we're doing. So I think, you know, once we show that we'll be able to raise at a bigger…”
Prediction Held up
Hudson: Shipsi will end up relaxing its one-hour delivery promise
“I don't think one, I think you're going to end up relaxing this one hour thing.”
Prediction Held up
Manus: Amazon will compete in retail delivery within one to two years
“I'm thinking more like a year down the line. I'm thinking a year to do two years down the line. I, to be able to turn that on is nothing for them.”
Assertion Contradicted
Hedges: Food-grade organic ingredients have never been used in beauty before
“We use food grade, which has not been done before in the beauty industry, organic ingredients.”
Assertion Contradicted
Smith: Sandbox Commerce Is the Only Fully Native Retail App Builder
“We are the only company that builds fully native apps.”
Assertion Contradicted
Agrawal: THINX reached $50M in revenue under my leadership
“Yeah, we did fifty million under my leadership.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sonnad: Long-distance electric transit can only use Teslas for four years
“The first is that for the next four years, this can only be done on Teslas. They have the only platform with big batteries and supercharging and nice cars that allows this model to happen.”
Assertion Contradicted
Manus: There Are More Concussions in Soccer Than Football
“There are more concussions in soccer than there are in football.”
Assertion Partly supported
Schwartz: Apple removed dozens of competing parental control apps
“Tens. Tens of apps.”
Assertion Supported
Josh Muccio: Only one percent of venture capital goes to Black founders
“And when you look at what VCs do with their money, just one percent of it goes to black founders.”
Assertion Supported
Rios: Bridgefy leads offline communications by millions of users with no active rivals
“And I cleared up that that competitor hasn't operated. They stopped existing in 2018, and this space is not crowded at all. We are the market leader by millions of users.”
Assertion Supported
Kayla Epps: Under 1% of venture capital goes to Black founders
“I mean, you hear horror stories, and I'll be candid, I mean, less than, what, one percent of VC dollars go to Black founders, and I think it's even smaller for Black women founders, so I was under no assumptions that it was going to be an easy ride.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kerst: Gecko Materials cut adhesive production time from 48 hours to 15 minutes
“It would take over 48 hours to make one unit. Because of the invention and my patent, we can make it in under 15 minutes.”