The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 475 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Josh Muccio: James Altucher never wrote checks to any Pitch founders
“He never actually wrote checks to any of the founders on our show.”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 20:41 From Startup Novice to Veteran
Assertion Contradicted
Forenza: Exclusive patents prevent competitors from measuring EEG via ear cuff
“There is a IP in the hardware itself, in the form factor, in the ear cuff. Ben Zices: Is that protected? Antonio Forenza: Yeah, we have, yeah. Ben Zices: So nobody else can measure EEG with an ear cuff device. Antonio Forenza: Yes.”
Antonio Forenza Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 10:26 Track Mental Health with a Wearable?!
Assertion Contradicted
FolioWorks has access to 3 million students approved for Federal Work-Study
“So we partner with every college career center, and so we have access to all of their three million students that are approved for work study.”
Kathy Wong Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 7:09 The $1.2 Billion EdTech Opportunity Nobody Saw
Assertion Partly supported
Luke Barkley Young: Fabric shower liners release carcinogenic PFAS in showers
“The material you're talking about it isn't, it's not cloth. It's a polyester. It's covered in what's called a DWR, durable water resistant, which is made of a PFA, which is a highly carcinogenic forever chemical. And when you stand next to it in the shower, th…”
Luke Barkley Young Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 7:32 #123 Outlines: A Venture-Backed Shower Curtain?
Assertion Supported
Muccio: Survey showed only 8% of Black applicants received federal relief funds
“A survey published in May found that only eight percent of African-American business owners that had applied for federal relief or assistance actually received the money.”
Josh Muccio Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 10:23 #92 Who Did the PPP Actually Save?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dufu: The Cru will reach 200,000 members and $100M revenue in 5 years
“So five years from now, we're at 200,000 members. So that gets us to, you know, a hundred million”
Tiffany Dufu Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 10:01 #78 Got Goals? Grab a Cru
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kowalski: Atomos projects $1.3B exit valuation by 2025
“So based on what we project with a couple of contracts a year, we would exit about 1.3 billion dollars in 2025.”
William Kowalski Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:44 #48 Will This Space Startup Make It off the Ground?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Clark: Atomos vehicle will reach $500M annual revenue in mid-2020s
“So our full commercial vehicle will be operational in the early to mid-twententies with five hundred million annual revenue.”
Vanessa Clark Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:58 #48 Will This Space Startup Make It off the Ground?
Prediction Held up
Chapman: Somewear's market will end up being enterprise, not consumer
“In my heart of hearts, I feel like your market is going to end up being more in the enterprise than it's going to end up being out on the trail.”
Jake Chapman Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 16:07 #46 Never Get Lost Again
Assertion Contradicted
Rosenblum: Lunar Wireless Patented Its Pay-Per-App Mobile Technology
“These deals are not super common and like all of the whole process of paying per app is patented. And so all of that is our core technology.”
Hunter Rosenblum Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 13:32 #22 Investor FOMO: Lunar Wireless
Assertion Contradicted
Smith: 60% of the Top 500 Internet Retailers Lack Mobile Apps
“If you're looking at the IR 500, which is a sampling of the top 500 retailers in the market, 60% of those retailers don't have a mobile app.”
Sterling Smith Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:41 #19 Sandbox
Assertion Supported
Salhi: CDs remained the most gifted music format in 2016
“And 30%, the highest, the most gifted item today, in 2016, wait for it, is still the CD.”
Ismail Salhi Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 9:24 #16 Qleek
Assertion Partly supported
Sonnad: Musk assured free lifetime Supercharging for Model S long-distance travel
“So I brought the idea up with Elon Musk at the shareholders meeting in 2015, and at that point he assured me that Tesla would pay for all of the fuel costs for long distance travel in the Model S forever.”
Hayden Sonnad Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:23 #11 Tesloop
Prediction Held up
Chapman: Tesla will ban commercial Supercharger access if Tesloop scales
“If you scale up and you've got a hundred cars on the road to Palm Springs every day, and the other Tesla drivers who are not commercial drivers cannot get a supercharger, I guarantee you Tesla is gonna say, no commercial use, you are not allowed to use our sta…”
Jake Chapman Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 17:38 #11 Tesloop
Assertion Supported
Muccio: Tesla will prohibit self-driving tech on third-party ride-sharing services
“They will not permit Tesla's self-driving technology to be used on any ride-sharing service except for their own.”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 24:49 #11 Tesloop
Assertion Contradicted
Meghan Carreau: Childhood obesity has nothing to do with socioeconomic status
“That's actually a common misconception, though, because there are lots of kids, you know, one out of three kids and one out of five developing OPC-related disease actually has nothing to do with socioeconomic.”
Meghan Carreau Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:51 #9 Tuckrbox
Assertion Partly supported
Chapman: Over Half of Founders Have Diagnosable Mental Health Issues
“It's 30% can be diagnosed with clinical depression. 30% can be diagnosed with ADHD. It's about 29% can be diagnosed with, like, problematic anxiety to, like, where a clinician would diagnose you with it. And there's some overlap that still ends up being, like,…”
Jake Chapman Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:35 #100 When Investors Take the Hot Seat
Assertion Partly supported
Forenza: Mapping arousal and valence biomarkers allows deriving all human emotions
“You have these two biomarkers that are arousal and valence. These are terms used in neuroscience. By mapping these two dimensions, you can derive all the different emotions.”
Antonio Forenza Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 6:55 Track Mental Health with a Wearable?!
Assertion Contradicted
Trofimova: CPG brands spend $2T globally on untraceable marketing
“It's two trillion dollars globally is what they spend on marketing, completely in the blind, with no traceability.”
Anastasia Trofimova Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 19:58 LTK for Food… Will VCs invest in this $10 TRILLION market!?
Assertion Partly supported
The government opened $1.2B in Work-Study subsidies to for-profits in 2020
“Around three billion dollars in wage subsidies comes from the federal government and the state government. So each year there's a program called Work Study. It's about 1.2 billion dollars. In 2020, they opened it up to for-profit companies because college camp…”
Kathy Wong Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 5:54 The $1.2 Billion EdTech Opportunity Nobody Saw
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Howie Diamond: Ride iQ will take our money in 18 months
“They'll take our money in a year and a half from now. ... They will. Trust me.”
Howie Diamond Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 16:37 #121 Ride iQ: Peloton for Horses
Assertion Partly supported
Jillian Manus: Ginger, Hurdle, and Kaiser already have mental health video libraries
“I invest a lot in this space and I know that there are a lot of companies like Ginger and Hurdle and a number of other ones that have this content. Just Kaiser, even the healthcare systems, has a whole library of these exactly looking like this.”
Jillian Manus Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 7:10 #111 Stigma: Whose Business Is It Anyway?
Assertion Contradicted
Wheaton: Wardrobe and Pickle aren't truly peer-to-peer and hold centralized inventory
“A lot of the examples that I've seen, for example, wardrobe or pickle, a lot of these very recent platforms that are popping up are not actually entirely peer-to-peer. They call themselves peer-to-peer, but they still have centralized closets where you pick up…”
Capri Wheaton Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 9:10 #104 Dressd: Red Carpet or Red Ocean?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Laguerre: Autonomous trucking will initially operate via five-truck platooning systems
“In order for autonomous to really take a full effect, our entire infrastructure, we have to change number one, but however, I do see autonomous working early on for long distance load and how that worked is they're doing that through a platooning system. Where…”
Pierre Laguerre Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:52 #89 A Big Bet on an Ex-Trucker
Assertion Contradicted
Goldberg: Most consumers are perfectly happy with standard apparel sizing
“And then the majority of people are actually happy with the standard sizing systems.”
David Goldberg Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 18:04 #86 If the Suit Fits, Invest.
Prediction Held up
Michael Hyatt predicts Virtual Gurus will eventually hit $20 million in revenue
“This revenue is going to get to twenty million and getting in at two and a half. Think about it. It's one of the best VC returns you'd have.”
Michael Hyatt Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 19:28 #82 A Deal Too Perfect to Pass Up
Assertion Supported
Israel says vaping illnesses stem from black-market THC, not nicotine vapes
“If you look at nicotine-based vapes, there hasn't been any directly related health crisis or crises that have sprung up because of them. It's all been linked to THC and vitamin E or vitamin A acetate and the THC kind of black market pods.”
Josh Israel Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 19:30 #79 The Anti-JUUL
Assertion Supported
Dufu cites a report showing 0.6% of VC went to Black women
“I don't know if you guys know the statistics, but last year, Digital Undivided produced a report called Project Diane, and out of all the venture capital that was raised from 22,009 until that year, only .6% of it went to Black female founders.”
Tiffany Dufu Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 16:32 #78 Got Goals? Grab a Cru
Assertion Supported
Madho: Only 0.1% of luxury clothing fits 67% of American women
“0.1% of luxury clothes are available to the 67% of American women.”
Andrea Madho Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:56 #75 “I Want Bro Money Too”
Assertion Contradicted
Lee: No existing platform combines patent and financial analytics
“What we based on our research, there's no one company or no one platform that brings them together.”
Rachel Lee Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:36 #64 Startup Sale! 80% Off
Assertion Supported
Brownridge: DogSpot's UV lights eliminate dog flu and kennel cough between stays
“So there's a UV light sanitation in the roof of the house, which takes care of dog flu, kennel cough, any communicable disease that goes off between every single stay, and once a day it gets what we call a daily spot check.”
Chelsea Brownridge Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:15 #58 Park Your Pooch Here
Assertion Supported
Muccio: Kassam accepted a $200K and $800K royalty deal from Kevin O'Leary
“In the end, she got a deal from Kevin O'Leary, AKA Mr. Wonderful. But it wasn't the deal she asked for. Zara walked in asking for 200,000 dollars at the same eight million dollar valuation she got from investors on the pitch. But she came out with 200,000 doll…”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 31:20 #56 Shark Tank vs. The Pitch
Assertion Contradicted
Impalameni: There are an estimated 100 million DJs worldwide
“So there's an estimated hundred million DJs around the world.”
Tom Impalameni Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:59 #55 A New Spin on VR
Assertion Supported
Kesserwani: Competitor Albert cannot take direct account actions
“No, they can't. They cannot take actions within the user's account.”
Paul Kesserwani Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:22 #51 This Bot Can Fight Your ATM Fees
Assertion Contradicted
Burton: Missing class in the first two weeks leads to failing
“If you miss any amount of time in the first two weeks of class, You are not going to complete or pass that class.”
Marquette Burton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:34 #47 Can This Tiny Gadget Keep Kids in College?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Soininen expects to raise at a valuation above $4M in the fall
“I think you know, we, I believe we can raise money at a bigger valuation than four at this point. We just, you know, need to clarify that focus a little bit and that's what we're doing. So I think, you know, once we show that we'll be able to raise at a bigger…”
Topias Soininen Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 23:19 #44 Is This Sports App the Next OpenTable?
Prediction Held up
Hudson: Shipsi will end up relaxing its one-hour delivery promise
“I don't think one, I think you're going to end up relaxing this one hour thing.”
Charles Hudson Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:28 #41 Can This Startup Help Retailers Take on Amazon?
Prediction Held up
Manus: Amazon will compete in retail delivery within one to two years
“I'm thinking more like a year down the line. I'm thinking a year to do two years down the line. I, to be able to turn that on is nothing for them.”
Jillian Manus Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 25:53 #41 Can This Startup Help Retailers Take on Amazon?
Assertion Contradicted
Hedges: Food-grade organic ingredients have never been used in beauty before
“We use food grade, which has not been done before in the beauty industry, organic ingredients.”
Tina Hedges Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 3:21 #38 A Beauty Industry Veteran Goes Rogue
Assertion Contradicted
Smith: Sandbox Commerce Is the Only Fully Native Retail App Builder
“We are the only company that builds fully native apps.”
Sterling Smith Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:58 #19 Sandbox
Assertion Contradicted
Agrawal: THINX reached $50M in revenue under my leadership
“Yeah, we did fifty million under my leadership.”
Miki Agrawal Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:46 #14 The Ghost of Startups Past: Tushy
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sonnad: Long-distance electric transit can only use Teslas for four years
“The first is that for the next four years, this can only be done on Teslas. They have the only platform with big batteries and supercharging and nice cars that allows this model to happen.”
Hayden Sonnad Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 9:18 #11 Tesloop
Assertion Contradicted
Manus: There Are More Concussions in Soccer Than Football
“There are more concussions in soccer than there are in football.”
Jillian Manus Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:54 #5 FITGuard
Assertion Partly supported
Schwartz: Apple removed dozens of competing parental control apps
“Tens. Tens of apps.”
Alon Schwartz Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 13:27 #93 David vs. Godzilla
Assertion Supported
Josh Muccio: Only one percent of venture capital goes to Black founders
“And when you look at what VCs do with their money, just one percent of it goes to black founders.”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:33 #99 The Friends & Family Gap
Assertion Supported
Rios: Bridgefy leads offline communications by millions of users with no active rivals
“And I cleared up that that competitor hasn't operated. They stopped existing in 2018, and this space is not crowded at all. We are the market leader by millions of users.”
Jorge Rios Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 1:12:53 Season 12 Finale: What Happened After The Pitch?
Assertion Supported
Kayla Epps: Under 1% of venture capital goes to Black founders
“I mean, you hear horror stories, and I'll be candid, I mean, less than, what, one percent of VC dollars go to Black founders, and I think it's even smaller for Black women founders, so I was under no assumptions that it was going to be an easy ride.”
Kayla Epps Dec 12, 2024 ▶ 1:45:48 Season 12 Finale: What Happened After The Pitch?
Assertion Partly supported
Kerst: Gecko Materials cut adhesive production time from 48 hours to 15 minutes
“It would take over 48 hours to make one unit. Because of the invention and my patent, we can make it in under 15 minutes.”
Capella Kerst Aug 21, 2024 ▶ 5:24 Stanford Engineer: Gecko-Inspired Space Velcro
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