why aren't all 48 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 48 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Sorensen predicts in-flight nut death will force overnight airline nut bans
“I, I'm convinced that in the next five years, there'll be someone that dies on a plane from nuts, and overnight, the whole industry will be nut-free, or allergy-friendly. Like, I am so convinced in my heart that that will happen.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Besenval: Natrion's components eliminate fire risk, enabling 450-mile range and 15-minute charges
“The suite of patented battery components that we make eliminate fire risk and they can make an electric car drive as far as 450 miles on a single charge. We can charge in as little as 15 minutes.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2035
Besenval: Pure ceramic solid-state battery tech will take 10 years to scale
“Probably more than several is the thing. We're talking about millions and millions of EVs as soon as twenty-thirty, right? So really we need a solution in kind of the next five years. So yeah, there are companies that have solutions that are going to be fantas…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Brownridge: DogSpot projects $100M ARR with 10,000 units in five years
“So we're able to reach a hundred million annual recurring revenue with 10,000 houses out. We have a five-year plan to get there.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2027
Borden: Remynt will reach a $1B valuation and IPO
“And I am hundred percent confident That we are going to crush it and be a billion dollar company and be the third publicly traded debt buyer collector. I have no doubt in my mind.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029
Desai: Kinemetrix will probably be acquired within five years
“Five years from now, I think we are probably going to be bought out by some medical device, either remote video monitoring, someone that wants that software solution that plugs in place for their product.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Yin: Christy's Chips is easily a billion-dollar business
“If she continues, it's easily a billion dollar business. Easily.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Sánchez: $5T in Manufacturing Trade to Shift to LatAm
“It is expected that five trillion dollars from manufacturing trade will shift into Latin America in the next five years.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Nov 2024
Young: Fabric shower liners are coated with toxic PFAS forever chemicals
“The material you're talking about it isn't, it's not cloth. It's a polyester. It's covered in what's called a DWR, durable water resistant, which is made of a PFA, which is a highly carcinogenic forever chemical. And when you stand next to it in the shower, th…”
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Forenza: EEG measures mental stress much more accurately than HRV-based wearables
“Exactly, because it's a measure of HRV. We tap into the central nervous system, which is where everything originates, and so we can have much, much higher accuracy, The real time component of EEG is phenomenal. We give you a sample of your emotion every second…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2032
Braima: Africa will hold one-third of global youth within seven years
“In seven years, Africa will be home to a third of the global population of youth.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050
Braima: One in five internet users will be in Africa by 2050
“By twenty-fifty, one out of every five customers on the internet will be in Africa.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Tobias predicts Kimoyo will exit for mid-double-digit millions, not $100M+
“I don't think it ends up being a billion dollar exit, or even a hundred million dollar exit. I think it ends up being a maybe mid double digits exit.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Braima insists Kimoyo will become at least a $200 million business
“How do you not see that this is going to be like, you know, at least at the minimum, a couple hundred million dollar business?”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
DotCal will become a billion-dollar company via shared scheduling
“We're gonna look back in a few years and be like, oh, dot cow became a billion dollar company because of shared.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Mar 2025
Muccio: Investor Jillian Manus convinced a portfolio company to return PPP money
“But if you listen to investor Jillian Maness, she says that the government should not be giving any help to some startups. And she even convinced one of her companies to give their PPP money back.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Metapixel's embedded metadata survives screenshots and image cropping
“It locks in the important metadata into the image itself, so it cannot be destroyed through cropping, screenshots, anything like that.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2035
Diamond: In 5 to 10 years everyone will own in-home VR
“Just like you have a video game console, you have a at home entertainment console, everyone's going to have a VR in their homes, a VR headset. But I think we're a ways away from that. You know, I think we're like five or 10 years away from that, lowering that …”
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2026
Tobias Predicts Kimoyo Insights Will Exit for Mid-Double-Digit Millions
“I don't think it ends up being a billion dollar exit, or even a hundred million dollar exit. I think it ends up being a maybe mid-double digits exit.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Trofimova: Social commerce will grow 14x over the next five years
“And the same with the social commerce. I think it grew three X in the last three years, and it's going to 14 X in the next five years.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Trofimova predicts Sundae will close funding round above a $7M valuation
“Seven million is a little bit lower valuation than what we will probably close this round at.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2028
McAndrew predicts Jungle's seed round will close at a $12M–$15M valuation
“But my guess is this gets done At 12, 15, and it's, like, at 12, 15, and that makes sense, given where they're at, the fact that they did a pre-seed, but also just, like, the data”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Mike Burton: Lockstop targets expansion to 291 cities in five years
“We're projecting in five years our goal is to hit 291 cities that have pretty developed infrastructure, or they have infrastructure that can develop pretty rapidly.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Besenval: Natrion expects to fill its first purchase orders in two years
“Where we want to be at the end of that is actually, you know, our first PO is coming in and we'd be filling those, but conceivably, you know, we'll be at a sample cells at that stage, something that you could start building EV battery packs and then getting th…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Manus: Natrion will get acquired rather than going all the way
“I feel someone's going to buy this truthfully. I don't think it's even going to go all the way.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Gutwein: Modern Picnic will sell for $50 million in two to three years
“Two or three years, she sells this for fifty million to, and then she's on to her next thing.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2035
Medina: Europe will see 130 million electric vehicles sold within ten years
“And with a hundred and thirty million electric vehicles being sold in Europe alone in the next 10 years, that's a hundred and thirty million potential batteries that could be used to reinforce a power grid, substitute fossil fuel power plants, And allow more r…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Lee: Sene will reduce delivery lead times to 5-7 days
“So right now the lead time is about two and a half weeks, and then we think within two years we can get it down to about five to seven days from order to delivery.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
McGarrity: Metapixel's Watermarking Survives Screenshots, Cropping, and Compression
“And we do so by applying a proactive, survivable metamark, as we're calling it, into media. And you can think of the metamark as like an invisible fingerprint, protecting it with Permanent metadata, and it survives everything from screenshots, cropping, and co…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Israel expects Hava Health's time to market to be 36 months
“So total time to market, estimating around 36 months.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Skisov: KickSense reduces karate tournament judges from five to one
“And for karate tournament organizers who want their tournaments to run smoothly and without tears, KickSense has automated competition scoring system that needs just one judge per ring instead of five that are needed today.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Impalameni: Immersive training market will reach $30B within five years
“Within five years, we expect that the immersive training market will be in, in a region of thirty billion dollars, and Tribe is building a platform to underpin that.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Gonzalez: FitGuard's mouth placement provides highly correlated cranial impact data
“Being inside of the skull means we're physically closer. We have a better retention and coupling to the skull. So our data is just highly correlated to what the brain actually felt.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Dicko: Samsung and Netflix will not sell in-flight VR to airlines
“Let me tell you, Samsung's not going to do that. Netflix is not going to do that.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Demetrius Gray predicts WeatherCheck will become a billion-dollar company
“That also means that I own more of the company than most founders ever do, and I think that's beneficial in the context of, like, look, we will become a billion-dollar company, and the byproduct is that I'm gonna be super rich, and Jermaine's gonna be super ri…”
Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2025
CavSports raised $2.4M and opened Buffalo facility post-pitch
“Since the pitch, Cav launched their top secret helmet you saw on the show at the Sea Otter Classic. They also opened their new manufacturing facility in Buffalo, New York. The facility is so small, it could fit inside a Chipotle. And they ended up raising 2.4 …”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Burton: Lockstop's chain takes 65 seconds to cut through
“So it'll take us a 65 seconds to cut through the lock, or the chain, rather.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2026
Muccio: Over $900,000 was committed to five startups at Chicago event
“We had over 900,000 dollars committed to five startups over the course of three days.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Galoi: Rex identified disease-resistance genes in deer and cows
“We do our own primary fundamental research in our labs so that we can find genes that correlate with disease resistance. And I'm proud to say we've actually found some genes after completing a few genomes in the white-tailed deer and looking at the cow, and so…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2038
Schneider: Joint Implants Will Grow to 3.5M Annually Within 13 Years
“There's a million a year going up to 3.5 million in the next 13 years or so all over the world.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Rex Animal Health identifies disease-resistance genes in deer and cows
“We've actually found some genes after completing a few genomes in the white-tailed deer and looking at the cow, and so we're in the midst of publishing that in a peer-reviewed scientific journal.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2019
Rad: Functional beverage market will reach $280B globally within five years
“It's expecting to grow to two eighty billion in the next five years. And even in the U.S. Alone, it's expected to grow from 23 to thirty seven billion.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2024
Dopl tested remote robotic system between Houston and Seattle over 5G
“We actually did a test from Houston to Seattle over T-Mobile's, five G network.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2024
Ghai: UCSB deployed Nectar to 26,000 students for $60,000 annually
“A year later, we got all 26,000 students at UCSB using Nectar in almost every single class, with the instructors being the champion of it. And we got UCSB to pay us 60,000 dollars a year for it, so we got our tuition back.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2023
Dan Hershberg secures $250,000 in investment commitments on The Pitch
“Dan secured 250,000 in the pitch room.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2030
Braima: Africa Will Hold a Third of World's Youth by 2030
“In seven years, Africa will be home to a third of the global population of youth.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050
Braima: One in Five Global Internet Users in Africa by 2050
“By 20 51 out of every five customers on the internet will be in Africa.”
Assertion Open · timeframe May 2025
CurieDx lowered its fundraising target to $3.5M and launched publicly
“She's raising 3.5 million now instead of four million. And she launched the Curie DX app to the public.”