The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1,266 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 17 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Competitor Zirtual sends its virtual assistants to train at Virtual Gurus Academy
“Because even some of our competitors have actually been sending people to do or go through our academy. So we've had actually Zurch will send a few.”
Bobbi Racette Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 5:09 #82 A Deal Too Perfect to Pass Up
Assertion Supported
A Canadian government program plans to match Virtual Gurus' funding dollar-for-dollar
“Western Diversification were on the first mailing list to get that once they release it. And so they want to match the million for a million.”
Bobbi Racette Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:31 #82 A Deal Too Perfect to Pass Up
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Snapshift Grows 45% Month-Over-Month With 3x Industry Fulfillment Rate
“We're growing 45% month over month, and this is directly tied to our actual chart-topping fulfillment rate that is three times the staffing industry average.”
Thor Wood Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 2:48 #81 Jillian to the Rescue
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Snapshift Workers Earn 50% Above the National Industry Rate
“They're getting paid near instantly through us, earning on average over 50% more than the national industry rate.”
Thor Wood Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 3:02 #81 Jillian to the Rescue
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SnapShyft Achieved a 91% Shift Fulfillment Rate Across 2019
“I will say that there's competitors out there that do that today, and they're at 34% fulfillment rate, and we're at 91% for the entire year of 2019.”
Thor Wood Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:51 #81 Jillian to the Rescue
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Trenda: Good Talk SMS notifications achieve a 51% open rate
“The next time Brad Feld goes live, you're going to get a text, and you're going to open that at a rate of 51%.”
Ben Trenda Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 5:22 #80 Can This App Silence The Trolls?
Assertion Contradicted
Daraby: The average mobile app is used under six minutes daily
“The average app is used for less than six minutes a day.”
Soraya Daraby Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 10:51 #80 Can This App Silence The Trolls?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Trenda: 90% of Good Talk users eventually download the mobile app
“We're an SMS first product, although 90% of the users do eventually download the app, but we just believe you have to show them the value before you get them to download an app.”
Ben Trenda Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:14 #80 Can This App Silence The Trolls?
Assertion Supported
Israel says nicotine patch and gum success rates are 5% to 15%
“Like, if you look at the success rates for the patch of the gum, it's five to 15%. People try seven to eight times with those products on average to quit. They don't work.”
Josh Israel Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:48 #79 The Anti-JUUL
Assertion Supported
Israel says pre-2016 vape makers like Juul launched with zero FDA testing
“They haven't done any tests at all. It was like a pretty much a free for all pre-two 1016 where anybody could release a product and they were grandfathered in.”
Josh Israel Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 20:20 #79 The Anti-JUUL
Assertion Supported
Dufu: The Cru signed Morgan Stanley and Disney as founding corporate partners
“We've brought on Morgan Stanley and Disney as our founding partners. And we charge more for that experience. It's 1800 dollars.”
Tiffany Dufu Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 10:33 #78 Got Goals? Grab a Cru
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dufu: 73% of Surveyed The Cru Members Say They Want to Renew
“So we've got a group of women who are about 10 months into their crew journey. We've already sent out a survey to ask them their Propensity to renew. Half of them have responded. 73% of them say, I want to renew my membership in the crew.”
Tiffany Dufu Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:45 #78 Got Goals? Grab a Cru
Assertion Contradicted
Metapixel claims image theft costs creators $600 billion every day
“There are over 2.5 billion images stolen and six hundred billion in lost revenue daily.”
Tiffany Walling McGarrity Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 11:30 #76 Pitchline Bonanza
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Snapshift claims a 90% fulfillment rate, triple the industry average
“And we have a 90% fulfillment rate that's three times the industry average.”
Thor Wood Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 16:49 #76 Pitchline Bonanza
Assertion Contradicted
Muccio: Restaurant worker tenure averages under two months
“Like, most jobs, most positions, the average is less than two months that people stick around.”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 20:21 #76 Pitchline Bonanza
Assertion Supported
Madho: 50% of US women are petite and 67% are plus-size
“I'm five feet tall, which means I'm petite, which is 50% of all American women. I'm also size 18, which means I'm 67% of all American women because I'm plus.”
Andrea Madho Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 2:06 #75 “I Want Bro Money Too”
Assertion Supported
Madho: Fashion brands typically use only one fit model
“Typical fashion is one fit model per brand.”
Andrea Madho Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:53 #75 “I Want Bro Money Too”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Madho: Lab 141 is negotiating LOIs with two well-funded DTC brands
“We're actually negotiating an LOI with two very well-funded direct-to-consumer brands already.”
Andrea Madho Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 14:07 #75 “I Want Bro Money Too”
Assertion Contradicted
Muccio: Female founders received only 2.2% of $130B in VC funding
“Only 2.2% of the hundred and thirty billion in venture dollars last year went to female founders.”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 28:53 #75 “I Want Bro Money Too”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lee: Rooted's Instagram CAC is $45 on Early Ad Spend
“I know right now our cost of acquisition on Instagram is 45 dollars after a couple thousand dollars of spend.”
Ryan Lee Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 13:56 #74 Stop Killing Your Plants
Assertion Partly supported
Brown: Women of Color Use Three to Four Times More Hair Product
“For women of color who typically use three to four times the amount of product, this is perfect, because using a three and a half ounce bottle is just impossible to get enough for a trip that's more than a weekend.”
Orion Brown Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:41 #72 How Niche Is Too Niche?
Assertion Contradicted
Brown: Target market is around 11 million frequent Black travelers
“The numbers are somewhere around eleven million in terms of our target market of folks that are actually traveling three to four times a year, at least two of those being international”
Orion Brown Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:06 #72 How Niche Is Too Niche?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brown: The Black Travel Box has an 18% repeat customer rate
“On average, we have about 18% return customer rate. People that are buying, they're buying two, three, and four times.”
Orion Brown Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:23 #72 How Niche Is Too Niche?
Assertion Supported
Saxton: Tot Squad signed a contract with Walmart
“So I literally two days ago signed the Walmart contract, which is so exciting.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:36 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Supported
Saxton: Amazon controls only about 20% of the market
“Amazon only controls about 20% of the market right now.”
Jen Saxton Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 17:07 #71 Raising Kids Is Hard. So Is Raising a Startup.
Assertion Supported
Muccio: Investors stalled and Phil Nadel passed on Earbuds
“Charles, Michael, and Jillian, they still haven't actually given Jason any money. And Phil, well, he already told Jason he's out.”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 23:29 #70 What Is Michael Phelps Jamming to Right Now?
Assertion Supported
Wang: US government has expanded leeway to deny incomplete applications
“The government now has far more leeway to both request more evidence from families who are applying for immigration, as well as deny applications that are incomplete or missing documents.”
Xiao Wang Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 26:31 When You Grow Too Fast
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jindal: Four social events cover 80% to 90% of a man's weekly calendar
“What we've found Is that four social events cover 80 to 90% of an average man's calendar during a given week. Sunday, brunch. Thursday, happy hour. Friday, formal date. Saturday, a casual date. That's it.”
Rahul Jindal Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 7:15 #69 When Less Is Not More
Assertion Partly supported
Isaacson: Dating app industry to reach $12B by end of next year
“In 2016, it was a three billion dollar industry. By the end of next year is expected to be a twelve billion dollar industry.”
Leigh Isaacson Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 4:55 #68 Dogs & Dating: A Match Made in Heaven?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hudson: Every pet startup Precursor backed outperformed initial size expectations
“Everything we've done in pet has ended up being bigger than I thought going in.”
Charles Hudson Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 20:31 #68 Dogs & Dating: A Match Made in Heaven?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Galoi: US livestock herds face at least one epidemic every year
“We, the United States is one of the most advanced agricultural economies in the world. We still have at least one endemic or epidemic in, in the herd every year, and that grossly affects things to the GDP.”
Amado Guloy Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 5:43 I’ve Looked Death in the Eye
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schmorak: Original Hostfully Product Has Zero Customer Churn
“Well, on the hostfully side, the churn is zero. The original hostfully, there are two companies, right? On the hostfully side, the churn is zero.”
Margot Schmorak Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:21 Fighting the 24/7 Startup Grind
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schmorak: Acquired Software Orbirental Experiences Roughly 30% Annual Churn
“It's probably 30% right now.”
Margot Schmorak Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:41 Fighting the 24/7 Startup Grind
Assertion Contradicted
Schmorak: Vacation rental software represents a $25B global market
“There are about a 100,000 of these companies in the world, and they spend about a quarter of a million dollars every year on software, so it's a twenty-five billion dollar market.”
Margot Schmorak Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:44 Fighting the 24/7 Startup Grind
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Skisov: KickSense reduces karate tournament judges from five to one
“And for karate tournament organizers who want their tournaments to run smoothly and without tears, KickSense has automated competition scoring system that needs just one judge per ring instead of five that are needed today.”
Edward Skisov Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:32 #67 Call-in Pitch Competition
Assertion Partly supported
Isaacson: Average dating app user uses three to four apps simultaneously
“You've got your average dating app user using three or four dating apps at a time. People are used to kind of having their main dating apps that they could swipe all day if they want to, and then dating apps that really cut to the chase in addition, kind of in…”
Leigh Isaacson Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 19:26 #67 Call-in Pitch Competition
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Skisov: 17,000 US karate dojos are interconnected through sensei lineage
“To a degree, the sport of karate is very hierarchical, meaning that every sensei traces its lineage to some other sensei who traces its lineage to some other sensei and so forth. So even though there is 17,000 dojos out there, they are all connected to each ot…”
Edward Skisov Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 21:58 #67 Call-in Pitch Competition
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Meng: Microsoft expects to recruit 100,000 people for user research
“Microsoft, they're expecting to bring in a 100,000 people over, you know, maybe not next year, but in a couple years down the line.”
Dennis Meng Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 10:52 #66 Does Anyone Really Want Your Product?
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Accomplice prices User Interviews' funding round at a $15M valuation
“An accomplice settled on a fifteen million dollar valuation for user interviews, which is smack dab in the middle of the range talked about on the show.”
Josh Muccio Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 26:51 #66 Does Anyone Really Want Your Product?
Assertion Contradicted
Passett: Bloomberg terminals do not provide patent or product data
“So with the Bloomberg terminal, you can get financial data, but you're not necessarily going to get data about patents or the products”
Ramya Passett Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 3:15 #64 Startup Sale! 80% Off
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Passett: Mapping one company's annual patents manually takes three weeks
“We talked to somebody at a major tech company a couple of weeks ago, and they were saying it takes them three weeks of one full-time person to map one company's patents for one year into industries. And then next year they have to redo the same thing. Three fu…”
Ramya Passett Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 9:41 #64 Startup Sale! 80% Off
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zahar: HBO spent two years trying and failing to build punch-tracking tech
“We know HBO worked for two years on a similar product, wasn't able to pull it off.”
Khalil Zahar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 8:46 FightCamp: A Name Change, A Game Change
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Duquette: Hykso's LOI with CKO Kickboxing is worth around $2M
“Yeah, that's around two million.”
Tommy Duquette Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 12:34 FightCamp: A Name Change, A Game Change
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zahar: FightCamp brings in over $100K monthly subscription revenue
“So in subscription, we're making more than a 100,000 a month.”
Khalil Zahar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 42:38 FightCamp: A Name Change, A Game Change
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zahar: FightCamp generates over $300K per month in hardware sales
“And then in hardware, we make upward of 300,000.”
Khalil Zahar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 42:42 FightCamp: A Name Change, A Game Change
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan's Seattle pilot helps 28 leave streets and generates $100K revenue
“We've launched a 500 beacon pilot in Seattle, and we've seen and helped over 28 beacon holders leave the street, saving our city half a million dollars per year and earning our first 100,000 dollars in licensing revenue.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 3:51 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan active users receive $40-$50 monthly and show 30-40% program retention
“We see right now about 40 to 50 dollars per active beacon holder per month, which is so low, but what's amazing about that number is even with an amount as low as 40 to 50 dollars, we're seeing 30 to 40% of beacon holders keep their beacon and go through the p…”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 5:32 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Samaritan users completing monthly check-ins are likely to exit to housing
“We see that beacon holders who complete those one-on-ones are likely to exit to housing, employment.”
Jonathan Kumar Mar 3, 2025 ▶ 6:10 #63 Can A Startup Solve Homelessness?
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