The Calls

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Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

0held up → 1didn’t hold up → 0partly held up →
0%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Greg Isenberg (11)Sahil Bloom (3)John Coogan (3)Dave Friedberg (3)Raoul Pal (2)David Senra (2)Scott Belsky (1)Samuel Thompson (1)Sahil Lavingia (1)Nik Sharma (1)Kevin Rose (1)Julien Smith (1)
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The record (1) every resolved claim →

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Coogan: Startup will demo an armed humanoid robot within six months
“I was predicting that within the next six months, I think that there will be a startup that will take one of these humanoid robots Even if it's tele-operated, give it an AR-fifteen, like a machine gun or a rifle, and just do a demo of like what this would look…”
John Coogan Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 38:20 John Coogan (TBPN) gives you $1B BIG startup ideas
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