why aren't all 356 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 8 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Imran: One bootstrapped exit netted him more than all venture exits combined.
“I have made more on my bootstrap exits. Like any, a single one of my bootstrap exits has made more than probably all of my venture backed exits. In terms of what went into my pocket, right?”
Assertion Partly supported
Leteyski: Shopify banned app Checkout X for taking platform revenue
“Then we got banned by Shopify for stealing their revenue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Imran: InTemp Post reached $120,000 ARR in six weeks before acquisition.
“We took it to 120,000 in recurring revenue in six weeks, signed up people like HubSpot, Hostog, and after a couple months of operating it, we sold it on acquire.com.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Founder friend netted only $6 million from a $150 million acquisition.
“I have a buddy who sold a company for a hundred and fifty million dollars, and I never asked him how much he made, and I learned recently, guess how much he made? It was a venture backed. Two, three mil. He made more than that. He made like six or seven millio…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Manthani: Streamoid clients replace 100-person agency teams with 1-2 people
“So the companies that we worked with, ah, used to go to agencies that operated with, you know, tens or hundreds of people to do those tasks, and once they came to us and used our platform, they're able to operate, you know, at the same scale with one or two pe…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tinsley: Bench swung from heavy cash burn to low eight-figure EBIT in 2025
“So, you know, you went from a business that was burning a lot of money in 24 to, like, now, you know on a EBIT adjusted basis, you know, low eight figures and,
EBIT in 20, 25.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosen: Proprietary email infrastructure cuts subscriber acquisition cost to $0.10
“We know how to use email to grow, and a lot of people don't have that infrastructure, and therefore we can acquire subscribers at A dime. Versus most people acquire subscribers at two to four dollars per subscriber.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schroter: Startups.com Achieved a 50x Return Acquiring Distressed Startups
“To put that in perspective, we've made a 50 X return on our investment by buying what other people would call failed startup, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: AI Startups Valued in the Millions Are Now Worth Zero
“I've seen a number of different businesses, like, AI companies is probably a good example for if you sold them eight months ago worth millions and then now zero, like absolutely zero.”
Assertion Supported
Gazdecki: SaaS startups average 2.8 years to hit $1M ARR; 4% succeed
“On average, it takes a SaaS company, 2.5 years, two years and eight months to get to a million in recurring revenue, and only four percent of startups get there.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Valuation misalignment is the top reason startups fail to sell
“Valuation is the number one reason you don't sell. Or get buyer traction on acquire just because the gap between, you know, the seller's expectations and the buyer, it's just too far off to close.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Digital M&A remains a seller's market despite 2022 rate hikes
“It's, anybody listening, it's definitely still a seller's market. The R word isn't scaring anybody. The Fed raising the rates is not, like, it's just a seller's market still, which is amazing”
Assertion Supported
LittleThings generated $70M revenue before Facebook algorithm changes destroyed it
“We were doing, you know, 60, seventy million a year in revenue. And then Facebook just dropped the hammer on us one day and kind of destroyed our business, which was my point with like Shopify.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: 99% of Acquire.com buyers want to retain existing teams
“The majority of buyers that we work with, I'd say 99% of them are gonna wanna, you know, take care of your team just as you have, and if that's a concern as a seller, that's always something to bring up with the buyer and just let them know, and it's a great o…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Unrealistic valuation expectations are the primary reason founders fail to sell
“That's actually the number one reason we see founders not selling is being unrealistic on valuation”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jangala claims zero attrition over nine years at previous tech company
“In my previous company, I have had zero attrition rate for almost eight years, nine years.”
Assertion Partly supported
MainStreet issued an LOI and restored Bench in under 48 hours.
“It was basically, you know, we had a term sheet out by the end of the, like, in the letter of intent by the end of the day, and,
Went and had the service up and running by, like, Monday morning at, like, four or five a.m. Eastern”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosen: Nomad Cloud sold for an 18x return in 11 months
“Yeah, so we sold it for, I guess, 18 X, what we bought it for in 11 months.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosen: Nomad Cloud's original founder held a scraped list of 1M users
“When we were talking to Olu, the original founder, we found out he had a list of A million names that were scraped of people who had searched digital nomad and Instagram, and it's a valuable list.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rosen: Newsletters with strong engagement sell for $2 to $4 per subscriber
“So like a lot of people will sell their subscribers from anywhere from like two to four dollars per subscriber. They have strong engagement where we just sold it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Levy-Garboua: Missed more unicorns full-time investing than as side angel
“I missed more unicorns a year where I was only doing investing than all the years where I was doing investing on the side. And either working at a startup or building my own.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Overpricing is the top reason startups fail to sell on Acquire.com
“That's actually the number one reason a startup won't get acquired on acquire.com is pricing too high.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Overpricing Is the Number One Reason Startups Fail to Sell
“And fun fact, that's actually the number one reason companies or startups on sale and acquires, they price too high. And what happens is a lot of buyers won't even talk to them or look at their business in the first place. They'll just go on to a business that…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Acquisition buyers typically review 20 to 40 businesses daily
“Buyers are typically looking at sometimes 2030, 40 businesses a day.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shepard: Zero-revenue software built for $60k sells on Acquire for $10k
“Acquire has a bunch of these listings from people that like make zero in revenue. So they just don't make anything. And they're like trying to sell these products that are like super high end of probably cost about 50, 60 grand to build for like 10,000 dollars…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Overpricing Is Top Reason Startups Fail to Sell on Acquire.com
“That's probably the number one reason why startups don't sell on acquire.com is you price too high.”
Assertion Supported
Quayam: Legacy ESG rating agencies rely on heavily lagged data
“And the issue is solving is that today when people are looking to invest in these kind of invest in companies and want to, you know, see how they rate and that kind of stuff, there's all these rating companies, but they use like the reports from the companies,…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Distressed VC-Backed Startups Face Active Secondary M&A Demand
“There's a lot of venture backed startups out there with founders that, you know, may have lost motivation, their optionality in terms of upside liquidity is not looking great. And people are looking to buy these companies and there's founders looking to exit t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schroter: Acquiring One Million Startup Customers Failed to Deliver Cross-Selling Value
“I've acquired over a million startup in all the acquisitions that we did. Right. So a million customers on paper that should have yielded me Orders of magnitude of value, cross-selling products, et cetera, never happened, right? I mean, parts of it happened a …”
Assertion Supported
Shopify's Verifiable Dashboard Prevents Founders From Falsifying App Metrics
“In Shopify, it's even easier because you can't lie. You know, there are the numbers. There are the numbers. You cannot modify those numbers. It's by Shopify. So when the buyers see it, okay, everything is okay here.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Aiello: DimeADozen refunds were virtually non-existent
“And, you know, I'll tell you, our refunds were near non-existent. Truly non-existent, because whatever you get out of it, even if you get one nugget out of it, when you love your baby, okay, all right, this seems okay, this seems interesting, and then you read…”
Assertion Supported
Aiello: DimeADozen sold for $150,000
“The amount we sold for, right, it's, I think it's public at this .6 figures, 150,000.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: It takes nine follow-ups for a prospect to respond in sales
“And it actually takes nine, nine follow-ups for someone to get, for someone to finally get back to you in sales.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Spera: GrowthBar was generating $318,000 in annual recurring revenue upon acquisition
“Yeah 318,000 dollars. You asked for a range. I actually, I know what the number was, three 18.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kim tested 50% transaction fees on his manual campus marketplace MVP
“Like, I was making money, and I was actually implementing manual transaction fees just to see. I, we actually played, I played around transaction fees to a point where I would get 50% transaction fee, and it was crazy because, like, these students wouldn't car…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: 80% of founders sell their startup to build something new
“Generally, 80% of the time someone's selling a business, they want to start something new. That's like the main reason for sale.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Over 90% of startup buyers request post-sale transition support
“I would say almost 90% plus buyers will ask for some sort of transition period.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Many pre-revenue marketplace submissions are scam clone scripts
“Users, people using the product, so anything that's just not, hey, I built this, no one's using it because when we list those, we don't know if it has bugs, if it's a clone script, which is a very common item that we actually see is people will just buy a pre-…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Slow Founder Communication Causes 90% of Stalled Acquisitions
“When I've seen acquisitions not fall through, we'll go and, you know, give advice to the founder, kind of look, and nine times out of 10, we'll see chat logs not responded to, we'll see you know, questions answered three days later. What that does is it signal…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Overpricing is the primary reason startups fail to sell
“The number one reason that startups don't sell on acquire.com is overpricing”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
JJ Englert built Bubble no-code systems processing 20 million monthly workflows
“Over the last year and a half, I've built no code systems that natively on bubble process over twenty million workflows a month without a problem, right?”
Assertion Contradicted
Amann: Spotify was the first to implement the bottom navigation bar on iOS
“The features that they put out are revolutionary, and they end up being industry leaders in a lot of areas, and it's very minor things. They were the first ones to put the bottom bar on iOS, and everybody followed suit”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: Overpricing is top reason startups fail to sell on MicroAcquire
“Yeah, I would say that's probably the number one reason we see startups not sell on Microquire is when they just price way too high.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gazdecki: MicroAcquire averages two to three acquisitions per day
“Believe it or not, at this point, we're seeing typically on average, usually two or three acquisitions per day.”
Assertion Partly supported
Gazdecki: BareMetrics doubled its total revenue in one day after doubling prices
“Yeah, that was fascinating because for those listening BareMetrics is a SaaS analytics tool, and they have something called, I believe OpenMetrics or something like that, so you can see how much money in real time BareMetrics is making, and when they doubled p…”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Sep 2022
Achard: WeWork-owned Meetup tested charging free users $2 to RSVP
“This was when meetup was owned by WeWork, and they were going to do something very strange. They were going to try to charge free users two dollars to RSVP, to free events, They were calling it a pricing test.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Almost every startup pitching Speiser is seeking emergency bridge funding
“I do a bunch of angel investing and every, almost every single contact that has reached out has asked for like a bridge round or some sort of emergency, you know, cash infusion. They're all looking at somewhere between six and eight months of runway before the…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kosarek: E-commerce merchants with under $10M revenue lack fast exit options
“A merchant maybe, you know, making in the one to ten million revenue range doesn't have as many options to pursue a fast and easy exit as you know, merchants that have achieved, you know, escape velocity above that ten million dollar mark.”