The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

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Everyone Andrew Gazdecki (4)Lotanna Ezeike (2)Chris Achard (1)Adam Sinise (1)
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Closed calls (3) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Naveen Arun: Global wellness economy will exceed $5T in five years
“It's going to be more than five trillion, ah, dollars wellness economy. Which has all these healthy eating, skincare beauty. It's all a lifestyle, I would call it, right? Almost more than five trillion in the next five years.”
Naveen Arun Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 24:33 Why is lifestyle the next big thing? | Startup Stories Uncut | Episode 1
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Startups that raised $40M will sell for $1M-$2M within 12 months
“And then the other thing I'm looking for is I'm waiting for that like company that raised 30, forty million dollars and now burned through it all, but built an amazing piece of tech to go and micro acquire and sell for a million or two. Like, It's inevitable. …”
Joe Speiser Aug 16, 2022 ▶ 20:32 Startup Acquisition Stories with Joe Speiser - Partner at HamptonVC
Prediction Held up
Crennan predicted in April 2022 that tech valuations would contract
“And so I think over the next 12 months or 20, 22, I think we're going to see some really bubbly valuations that we've had start to contract down again.”
James Crennan Apr 4, 2022 ▶ 23:05 Startup Acquisition Stories with James Crennan - General Partner at Xenon Partners
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