why aren't all 241 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Park: Standard base pay for in-house UGC creators is roughly $2,000 monthly
“The industry standard is usually you pay like 2000 ish per month. It could be a little lower, a little higher depending on who you're targeting, but 2000 dollars per month, and then some incentive bonus on top of it. And it usually shakes out. Like you will pr…”
Assertion Partly supported
Myers: Google and Microsoft each employ 120,000 offshore workers
“Google has like a 180,000 FTEs around the world. They have a 120,000 people offshore. Microsoft, same ratio.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
ChatGPT helped Adam Lytle build and release nine apps in one month
“It turns out ChatGPT only made me a nine X developer because I only had nine, nine apps released.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Daniel Lubetzky defended and consulted Neuro for 18 months during lawsuit
“He hopped on a phone call with us right away for 18 months, consulted us, defended us. He was talking to his lawyers, our lawyers, their lawyers.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Joe Rogan's endorsements of Neuro are entirely unpaid and organic
“Joe Rogan, big fan of Neuro. He talks about it organically. None of that's paid.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Neuro is generating nearly $10 million in revenue per month
“We are now doing almost ten million dollars a month.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McIntosh: Cheap OpenAI Credits Won't Last Forever
“Right now you can get open AI credits dirt cheap. And I don't think it'll be like that forever. They're just doing user acquisition right now on their end.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anderson: CalAI generates over $1M in monthly revenue six months post-launch
“CalAI was launched about six months ago and is now doing over a million dollars in revenue per month.”
Assertion Supported
Anderson: Apple's effective App Store cut is 20% under $1M, 33% beyond
“Apple charges 15%, but for whatever reason, it's really closer to 20% of revenue, up to your first million dollars in earnings. Beyond that, Apple charges 30, but really closer to like 33%”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anderson: Umax consistently generates over $100,000 in monthly net profit
“Umax does a little bit over a 100,000 dollars profit a month consistently. Used to do more.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anderson: Cal AI generates a few hundred thousand dollars in monthly profit
“Cal AI does a few 100,000 dollars in profit a month.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Moubeche: Lemlist generates $30M ARR and $10M EBITDA
“So right now we're at thirty million dollar ARR and ten million dollars in EBDA.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krasun: Personalized yes-no churn emails achieved near 100% response rate
“And I almost got a 100% success rate of getting these answers.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cravotta: Health and self-improvement mobile apps will absolutely crush
“When I look at like the most profitable niches in mobile apps, I think a lot of them do have to do with helping people be better, lose weight, quit vaping, quit drinking, anything in the health space, I think will absolutely crush.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nick Buzz Scaled Baked From $0 to $160k MRR With Two Founders
“End of July is when we made our first money from Baked, and then in August, we took it to 24,000 dollars, monthly recurring revenue. Next month, we made 48,000 recurring revenue, 94,001 10, one 20, One 60, and then I'd flatline to, like, one 20, a hundred, and…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andre Heckel Jr.: ListKit grew by cloning Apollo with verified leads
“Because I was a user of Apollo already, the one thing I knew that I did not like, and other people also did not like after speaking to them was the fact that Apollo leads were not verified. And so that presented an opportunity to say, okay, we can build exactl…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dickie Bush: Writing businesses on track to generate $10M in 2024
“Now, two or three years later, I am a full time writer with a portfolio of writing based businesses on pace to do ten million dollars in 2024.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ship 30 for 30 generated $1M at a 90% margin in 2021
“So, 20, 21, ShipThirty did a million, like, 90% margin.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Executive ghostwriting agencies typically run 30% to 35% profit margins, says Lieberman
“The profit margin on this type of business is roughly 30 to 35%.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lieberman: Ghostwriting agencies typically retain clients for 3 to 5 months
“And I've heard historically for ghostwriting agencies that when I talk to people who own ghostwriting agencies, they retain their average customer for like three to five months.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Next agency wave is AI and no-code workflow automation, predicts Lieberman
“I think the next big one will be basically like notion or air table or different forms of automation agencies using these no code tools like Zapier and make as well as using AI and offshore talent.”
Assertion Supported
Pearl: Manifestation content generated over one billion TikTok views
“I have 1.2 million followers on Instagram. Yeah. I post a bunch of manifestation content, and this is my TikTok with 2.8 million followers. Combined views have generated over a billion views on TikTok, which is crazy.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pearl: Previous TikTok Shop brand generated seven-figure monthly revenue
“And then I want to say about a year and a half ago, I launched a brand on TikTok shop, which also has been I've been super successful making like seven figures a month.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pearl: Initial MVP for Stella app was built in just two days
“In terms of how fast I whipped up an MVP, I think it might've been in two days.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flame Hit $10K MRR and 250K Downloads in Eight Months
“Sitting at 250,000 downloads right now, fifty million organic views, and we took the app from 3000 to 10,000 MRR in less than eight months.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
ToneAdapt organically ranks second on the App Store for 'guitar tone'
“I'm looking on the app store right now, but yours shows up after the sponsor results as number two for the Keyword guitar tone.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huberge: PepAI reached $11,000 MRR and $51,000 total revenue in seven weeks
“So this is our revenue cat dashboard. This is in the last 28 days. We have 33,000 revenue, almost 2000 active subscriptions. Our MRR is 11 K total revenue 51 K.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Huberge: PepAI captured App Store traffic from a competitor's viral post
“One of them, like there was a post on X that blew up about that. People started looking up peptide AI, but ours was the top search and we got like a bunch of like just traction from that. So it puts us in a good spot.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beau: SavvyNomad acquires 120 to 150 new customers monthly
“Every month we add 120 to 150 new customers.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shin: ONCE has around 10,000 to 12,000 weekly active users
“So it's been around three months since launching, and our weekly active users is around 10,000 to 12,000 users at the moment.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jeremy Redman: Task Magic Hit $3M ARR With Just Two People
“And we eventually scaled Task Magic to over 60,000 users. And about 8000 paying customers. And some months we would do north of 400 grand. And gotten it to about three million annually. To making the Inc. 500 List last year with a single employee.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jeremy Redman Sold Task Magic For Mid-To-Upper Seven Figures
“We got one that was good. That was in the mid upper seven figures a million, enough to get that very cheap plaque with the badge.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jeremy Redman: Task Magic Side Product Mail Lead Generated Almost $1M
“This brought in alone almost seven figures of revenue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mezzadra: Floga generated over $120K in 24 hours from lifetime deals
“We pre-launched it in May, 2025 with a lifetime deal, and we generated over 120,000 dollars in just 24 hours.”
Assertion Supported
Mezzadra's yoga deck generated over $200K on Kickstarter in first month
“We launched our first product on Kickstarter and generated over 200,000 dollars in the first month.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ben Leavitt: Follow Buddy generates $20K monthly with zero ad spend
“Follow Buddy makes 20 K per month. We have 82,000 users currently, 3128 paying users, and we've spent zero dollars on ads.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schmidlkoffer: DuckMath scaled to 150,000 DAUs and $15,000 monthly revenue
“I launched it four years ago, but then the last four months, we went from five to a 150,000 daily active users, and from about a thousand a month to 15,000 a month.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schmidlkoffer: Sold DuckMath for $120,000
“I did actually sell this business just a few weeks ago for a 120,000.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schmidlkoffer: DuckMath monetizes 1.5M monthly users at roughly one cent each
“So I have about 1.5 million users a month, and off of each of those users, I get around one cent.”
Assertion Supported
ChartDB has surpassed 21,000 stars on GitHub
“So this is our GitHub chart to be chart to be, and we just passed 21,000 stars on GitHub.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
ChartDB hit the Hacker News front page after three weeks of development
“The growth for ChartDB started with launch on Arker News. That got us, like, for the front page. So we started, like, developing RDB, and after three weeks of development, we decided to go for lunch, and we did some preparation, and then we decide, all right, …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Katie Keith: Barn2 generated over $1.7M in 2025 plugin revenue
“This is our 20 25 revenue. You can see it's just over 1.7 million dollars. I know I said 1.8 million earlier. That's Because we have other revenue streams such as affiliate income, and we offer some development services.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Katie Keith: Barn2 has sold $9.8M in WordPress plugins lifetime
“Over the entire lifetime of the business, we've sold 9.8 million dollars worth of WordPress Plugins.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Katie Keith: Barn2 has 17,000 subscribers; lifetime deals account for 15%
“We have 17,000 on an active subscription. We do have more paying customers than that, because that doesn't include people who bought a lifetime deal, which is about 15% of our revenue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Florin Pop Made Over $500K From Online Projects Across Six Years
“Over the last six years, I built a portfolio of online projects that together had made over 500,000 dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Czerny: Scaled Goji Berry AI to $30K MRR in Four Months
“We do about 30 K MRR. Four months ago, we were doing zero in revenue, and Reddit is an important part in our success”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Czerny: Scaled Coco AI to $50K MRR Before US Sale
“So in 2023, I launched my first SaaS called Coco AI. We scaled it to 50 K MRR with Outreach. And then we sold it to a U.S. Venture.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Czerny: Reddit Marketing Drove 11M Impressions and 40K Visitors
“We got more than eleven million impressions and more than 40,000 visitors on our website, which is insane.”