why aren't all 672 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pearl: Women will dominate consumer apps because they control social distribution
“I would say women are going to dominate this app space and men should prepare for that because women dominate Distribution.”
Disclosure
Czerny Uses 15-Person Upvote Pod to Manipulate Reddit Algorithm
“What we've done internally is we have a group of 15 marketers where everyone shares their Reddit post, everyone upvotes the other post, and then external People are going to like, is going to rank higher and higher and higher.”
Opinion
Andre Heckel Jr.: Lebanese hires match US talent for $1,000 monthly
“You're paying anywhere from a thousand to 2000 dollars a month to get someone full time from Lebanon who's as good as, or better in my opinion, than someone in the U.S. That you might have to pay anywhere from five to 8000 dollars a month.”
Insight
Pearl: Founders should build products designed to fit existing viral video formats
“And once you have a video that really pops off, you want to like work backwards and ask yourself, What is a product that I could naturally insert into this video that would help the virality and also solve a problem that people are facing? Their first thought …”
Disclosure
Flame Sourced 60-Second UGC Videos for $1 Each via Kwork
“The second thing we also did is we hired UGC out of Eastern European countries and Russia, and it was literally one dollar for a 62nd video. You go on a channel like Quark.ru, and it's like the fiber of Russia, and you can find this UGC for this cheaper price.”
Insight
Bo: Unsexy markets provide high willingness to pay with minimal competition
“In sexy categories, AI apps, social platforms, creator tools, The market might be huge, but you're competing against hundreds of well-funded teams. In unsexy markets, you get the opposite. Real demand, high willingness to pay, and very few people who want to t…”
Insight
Mezzadra: Never reveal product pricing before actual launch day
“I never, ever show the price product before the day of launch, because otherwise people are going to make the purchase of this decision based on price. During the warmup campaign, they need only to evaluate the purchase of the product based on the features and…”
Opinion
Mezzadra: Lifetime deals are the smartest way to raise non-dilutive capital
“Early stage, a lifetime deal is the smartest move you can make. You're basically raising capital from your customers without giving away equity, control, board seats, and getting amazing feedback. So I don't think there is anything better than this.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Leavitt: Proper YouTube SEO guarantees top-five rankings even on new channels
“If you do SEO correctly, you will rank within the top three to five listings almost every time, even on a brand new channel.”
Opinion
Baron: Profitable Modern Mobile Apps Do Not Need Authentication or Databases
“Next thing is authentication. Honestly, isn't even needed for modern apps. Like mine doesn't have authentication or a database and I'm printing money.”
Opinion
Adeniyi: Twitter's 'build in public' movement is 'rubbish'
“I don't mean the whole Twitter build in public where you document the process of you building your SaaS. I genuinely think that's a whole bunch of rubbish, but that's my personal opinion on it.”
Insight
Lampropoulos: The best influencer deals pay $2–$5 CPM with view guarantees
“The best deals you can make
Are 20 to 50% upfront for four to five videos with a view guarantee.
That's based on a two dollar to five dollars CPM.”
Disclosure
Lotz sells to third-highest bidders to force deals to close in days
“So even when I'm actually selling my app, I don't like to sell to the highest bidder. And we like to sell to the third highest bidder and tell them that they have two other bids on top of them. But if they're able to close in like three to four days, I'll choo…”
Insight
Wagoner: MVPs must stand for minimum quantity, never minimum quality
“MVP doesn't mean shitty product, and it can't mean that. If it does mean that for you, your product is going to flop pretty hard. You should shoot for minimum quantity, not minimum quality.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anderson: AI backend compute costs are under 3% for most mobile apps
“Unless you're doing image generation or using advanced voice mode, AI costs are sub three percent.”
Assertion Supported
Jozef Gherman Settled With CFTC For $400,000 Over Crypto Firm
“We later settled with them after I think like two or three years of dealing with this issue. It was like a 400,000 dollar total settlement. Still paying for it to this day.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Microsoft simultaneously sent a cease-and-desist and reached out for add-on integration
“Microsoft actually reached out to me. They reached out to me twice. One for a cease and desist. And the other one, it was someone that was on their add-ons team.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Walls: Postiz Could Hit $1M/Month If Chosen as Default AI Agent Tool
“So where I think you can win and where he's winning right now is that he's sort of the one of the first in this space. And then his product will be recommended through LLMs for agents to use. And then that could be where the business goes to a million dollars …”
Insight
Pat Walls: AI Can Build Utility but Cannot Replicate Handcrafted Software Experiences
“This feels like the future of software. Yes. I can use my Pomodoro timer and it gives me utility and I could build that in, you know, two hours with AI coding. But what AI can't do is build this like handcrafted, this experience.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pearl: Stella hit ~$350K-$360K MRR and 12K paying users in two months
“So within the first two months since launching, we hit 300 K MRR, and I think this is a little lower than it actually is. We're like at about three 53 60 MRR. We have 12,000 paying customers. We've had, I believe, over 200,000 downloads,”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pearl: Guarantees 50K followers on a new TikTok account in 3-4 months
“I could start a new account today and Probably guarantee 50,000 followers in the next three to four months.”
Opinion
Pearl: Male-dominated app market neglects products addressing female issues
“I also saw that there was a huge gap in the market where there were all these apps that weren't necessarily designed to solve. Female issues because they were designed by men.”
Opinion
Pearl: Female founders hold unfair advantage in overlooked app niches
“I'll start off by saying I don't think most men would have come up with this idea, right? And so I think that's actually the unfair advantage of being a woman in this space is there's so many of these problems that we experience as women that we're like, I wis…”
Opinion
Pearl: Female creators face online cancellation and intense backlash for using AI
“When I talk to women, there's actually a huge demonization of AI amongst women. I don't even know if men know this, and I think some men are demonized for using AI, but, like, when women use AI in their products, or just in general, they're, like, completely, …”
Insight
Pearl: Spite and pain are the greatest motivators for building empires
“I think spite is the greatest motivation that you could ever have. Peace and love doesn't build empires. Pain does quite frankly. And so I truly believe that usually the most successful people in the world, the reason they started was because someone didn't be…”
Insight
Pearl: Building audience before product drives faster startup success
“Everyone works front to back. And I think the reason a lot of my products have been so successful and so fast is because I actually work backwards, create the content and the distribution first, and then I create the product and it becomes so obvious when you'…”
Insight
Walls: Content creators have replaced software developers as kings of tech
“Developers used to be kings because they held the keys to the kingdom with their development skills, but now this is gone. The kings and queens are now content creators. This is the future.”
Insight
Jake Glacer: Marketing is the most valuable skill in the AI era
“Focus on top of funnel only. That is the most valuable skill right now is marketing. There's so many people that can build an app and it's so easy with AI, but there's not so many people that know how to market and know how to get views.”
Insight
Walls: Even low-quality apps can succeed in fast-growing niche markets
“Let's say he had a really crappy app. It still would make money. It still would be successful. If you just build it on something exciting rather than something that's dying, like, I don't know, newspapers or something like that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bo: No real product exists for cross-border banking and asset holding
“Founders, investors spread across multiple countries who need help with things like opening a bank account in Singapore, choosing the right jurisdictions for holding real estate or IP, Today, there is no real product for this.”
Insight
Bo: Founders should productize a single workflow rather than build a platform
“Don't try to build a platform, pick the most common, most painful workflow, and turn it into repeatable step-by-step product.”
Insight
Pat Walls says the future of app building is distribution, not features
“This is the future of building apps. It's not about the features that you build. It's not about, you know, using AI to code it up. It's about distribution.”
Insight
Brian Shin: Never use AI for consumer app design
“Consumer app is basically a craft. And I use a lot of AI for dev or finance for everything, but for design, we never use AI. And that's because we really believe that design requires taste. And we think that the more opinionated, the better design that could p…”
Insight
Brian Shin: Founders haven't tried enough cold outreach until platforms ban them
“Honestly, what I tell other friends and founders is that if you haven't been banned in these platforms at least two times, you haven't tried enough.”
Insight
Mezzadra: Lifetime deal launches must enforce a strict no-refund policy
“And then set a clear line, so no refunds, ok? Otherwise, your lifetime deal gets jeopardized.”
Insight
Walls: Informational Google Search Queries Are Dead Due to ChatGPT
“Google search is not dead, but informational queries are dead. So if you search not dead, but essentially dead, if you search Google for how to create a great social media post that you're probably not going to rank. It's going to be harder to rank for that. A…”
Insight
Walls: Founders should prioritize cash flow over prestigious 'ego businesses'
“There's Two different types of businesses. When you're starting out, there's the ego business, and then there's the business you're actually meant to build. The ego business is what people will congratulate you for because it is a real business, quote unquote,…”
Insight
Walls: AI commoditizes software development, shifting all value to audience ownership
“But with AI, you don't really need engineering teams to build stuff now. Actually, software is becoming commoditized and you can spin up an app in one day In the audience and the customer is what's valuable.”
Insight
Pat Walls: Mature platform SaaS yields lower churn than standalone AI tools
“This is a business that is gonna go like this, like slowly grow and have lower churn because it's a mature market. You know that these Pinterest people have been there for 10 years, and it's a totally proven thing. It's not like some AI tool that's a flash in …”
Insight
Pop: Staking everything on one business idea quickly causes burnout
“Placing all your bets on one idea is very risky, both emotionally and financially. This can quickly lead to burnout”
Insight
Walls: Reddit is for Your First 100 Customers, Not Scale
“I think red is not a platform to get scale. It's not a platform to hit 10,000 MRR, 20,000 MRR, but Reddit is amazing and why it's especially valuable for anybody watching this right now. If your product is not good enough, go post on Reddit. If you're worried …”
Insight
Baron: Skip designing mockups and jump straight into coding apps
“First of all, what I always say is do not design any mockups. Instead, study the best apps in your niche and study the best apps in other niches with tools like screens design and just go straight into coding.”
Opinion
Adeniyi: Discord is ten times better than email for user relationships
“I think emails are great, but discord is 10 times better in terms of building a relationship with your users.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lara Acosta's SaaS Clio hit $60K MRR in under two months
“We literally launched it in October of 20, 25, and we've gone from zero to 60,000 dollars a month in less than two months.”
Opinion
Acosta names LinkedIn the best monetization platform due to low competition
“If you want to make money, LinkedIn is your best shot. Twitter is cool, Instagram is cool, but LinkedIn is so much better. There's just not, no competition at all.”
Insight
Lampropoulos: Distribution Is Useless Without an Inherently Viral Product Idea
“There's a lot of talk now that distribution is the most important part. I kind of pushed back against that because if you don't have a viral idea in nature, distribution doesn't matter. So in my opinion, there are three pillars for a good idea, uniqueness, hel…”
Insight
Lampropoulos: Longer App Onboarding Drives Free Trial Conversions via Sunk Cost
“The length of the onboarding process also contributes to how many people convert. Although it does add friction, it also makes the people who go through it have the sunken cost fallacy. Which causes users to at least get the free trial.”
Opinion
Lampropoulos: Rork is the best vibe-coding tool, beating Bolt and Replit
“By far the number one tool for vibe coding apps is Roark. Bolt, the vibe code app, Replit, in my opinion, none of them come close to how good Roark is.”