The Calls

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Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

0held up → 1didn’t hold up → 0partly held up →

0%of resolved predictions held up

Everyone Dino Mavrookas (13)Keller Rinaudo Cliffton (4)Alex Immerman (4)Shaun Maguire (3)Pete Shadbolt (3)Doug Bernauer (3)David Ulevitch (3)Ben Lamm (3)Sir Peter Beck (2)Scott Nolan (2)Richard Socher (2)Pedro Franceschi (2)

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The record (1) every resolved claim →

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Ulevitch: All future autonomous vehicles will be electric

“Part of the shift to electric vehicles, obviously we have EVs today, but as we shift to more autonomous vehicles, all those vehicles are going to be electric as well.”

David Ulevitch Nov 18, 2025 ▶ 24:29 How Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz, & David Ulevitch Started a16z’s American Dynamism Fund · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

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The Calls

The record (1) every resolved claim →

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