Tesla

includes Tesla Optimus, Tesla Model Y, Tesla Full Self Driving, Tesla Model 3, Tesla Autopilot, Tesla Model X, Tesla Powerwall, Tesla FSD

22 statements across 11 episodes · 14 bullish · 2 bearish · 11 people on the record · first statement Sep 5, 2024 by Andrej Karpathy · said 136 times in 27 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Sarah Guo (29), Elad Gil (26), RJ Scaringe (21), Qasar Younis (21), Zach Dell (6), Jensen Huang (5), Peter Chen (4), Keller Rinaudo Cliffton (4)

tap a year for its mentions
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08152023202420252026episodes it came up in
0037.56152023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 33 mentions in 7 episodes 5 per episode
2025 56 mentions in 11 episodes 5 per episode
2024 41 mentions in 7 episodes 6 per episode
2023 6 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Tesla, oldest first

Sep 5, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Karpathy: Tesla is fundamentally a robotics-at-scale company, not a carmaker
“Basically everything transfers and I don't think people appreciate it. Cars are robots and Tesla, I don't think is a car company. I think this is misleading. This is a robotics company, robotics at scale company, because I would say at scale is also like a who…”
Andrej Karpathy Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 6:41 No Priors Ep. 80 | With Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI and Tesla
Sep 5, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Karpathy: Tesla is ahead of Waymo because software is easier than hardware
“I think, personally, Tesla is ahead of Waymo, and I know it doesn't look like that, but I'm still very bullish on Tesla and its self-driving program. I think that Tesla has a software problem, and I think Waymo has a hardware problem, is the way I put it, and …”
Andrej Karpathy Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 2:25 No Priors Ep. 80 | With Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI and Tesla
Sep 5, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2034
Karpathy: Tesla Autonomous Stack Will Be Pure End-to-End Neural Net in 10 Years
“And I do suspect that The end-to-end systems for Tesla in, like, say, 10 years, it is just a neural net. I mean, the videos stream into a neural net and commands come out.”
Andrej Karpathy Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 5:32 No Priors Ep. 80 | With Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI and Tesla
Sep 5, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Tesla Uses LiDAR During Training for Its Vision-Only Autonomous Stack
“Tesla actually does use a lot of expensive sensors. They just do it at training time. So there are a bunch of cars that drive around with LIDARs. They do a bunch of stuff that like doesn't scale and they have extra sensors, et cetera, and they do mapping and a…”
Andrej Karpathy Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 3:47 No Priors Ep. 80 | With Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI and Tesla
Sep 5, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Karpathy: Early Tesla Optimus ran car neural networks and vehicle computers
“In terms of the transfer from cars to humanoids, it was not, not that much work at all. And in fact, like the early versions of Optimus the robot it thought it was a car, like, because it had the exact same computer. It had the exact same cameras. It was reall…”
Andrej Karpathy Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 7:08 No Priors Ep. 80 | With Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI and Tesla
Sep 5, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Karpathy: Humanoid robots will scale internally first, then B2B, then consumer
“I think B to C should be the right Start point, because I don't think we can have a robot, like, crush grandma, is how I put it, sort of. I think it's like too much legal liability. It's just like, I don't think that's the right approach... So I think the best…”
Andrej Karpathy Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 8:43 No Priors Ep. 80 | With Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI and Tesla
Oct 24, 2024 positive
Opinion
Waymo's autonomous driving technology is fundamentally centered on AI, not hardware
“It's all about AI. Full stop. Like we talked about, you know, a few big breakthroughs that allowed us to get to where we are today. You know, content, transformers, big Ness now, you know, most recently kind of combining the Waymo AI with the congenital knowle…”
Dmitri Dolgov Oct 24, 2024 ▶ 15:58 No Priors Ep. 87 | With Co-CEO of Waymo Dmitri Dolgov
Oct 31, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Mansour: Probability of Elon Musk stepping down from Tesla is 15-20%
“I think Elon leaving Tesla is pretty underpriced. Or like stepping down and having someone run it. Like it says, you know, I mean, now that this year is close to done, but two percent chance, like one in 50, I don't know... I think the odds are more closer to …”
Tarek Mansour Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 32:08 No Priors Ep. 88 | With Founder & CEO of Kalshi Tarek Mansour
Feb 20, 2025 positive
Opinion
Vogt: Elon Musk Nailed Tesla's AV Business Model Over Cash-Burning Rivals
“To be fair, Elon nailed it from a business model perspective. He's been making billions of dollars of profit while developing self-driving cars, whereas everyone else has been burning billions of dollars to try to get to basically the same point.”
Kyle Vogt Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 3:43 No Priors Ep. 102 | With The Bot Company CEO Kyle Vogt
Feb 20, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vogt: Tesla may start AV rollout with 1:1 remote operator ratio
“Like, I think even, even someone like Tesla may start off with like a one-to-one ratio of remote operators to vehicles.”
Kyle Vogt Feb 20, 2025 ▶ 8:48 No Priors Ep. 102 | With The Bot Company CEO Kyle Vogt
Jun 17, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Younis: Tesla has solved autonomous business model, but Waymo has not
“The Waymo stuff is super impressive, but it is worth putting an asterisk. The business model hasn't been figured out yet. The Tesla business model has been figured out.”
Qasar Younis Jun 17, 2025 ▶ 25:00 No Priors Ep. 119 | With Applied Intuition's Qasar Younis and Peter Ludwig
Jun 17, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2030
Younis: FSD-like systems will become standard vehicle features within five years
“So I think general availability on a FSD like system over the next five years is going to be common, just like navigation systems.”
Qasar Younis Jun 17, 2025 ▶ 32:35 No Priors Ep. 119 | With Applied Intuition's Qasar Younis and Peter Ludwig
Jun 17, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Younis: Chinese Automakers Outperform Tesla on Autonomy and Features
“The autonomy stuff, you know, we go to China regularly and we test drive these vehicles. Super impressive. And better than Tesla to be like very, very clear.”
Qasar Younis Jun 17, 2025 ▶ 13:46 No Priors Ep. 119 | With Applied Intuition's Qasar Younis and Peter Ludwig
Jun 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Younis: Applied Intuition is likely largest employer of ex-Waymo staff
“I think we're probably Waymo's biggest employer outside of Waymo, and Cruise and Tesla, all, all of these organizations.”
Qasar Younis Jun 17, 2025 ▶ 25:21 No Priors Ep. 119 | With Applied Intuition's Qasar Younis and Peter Ludwig
Dec 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Tesla and Chinese Companies Will Win the Robotics Race
“It feels to me like Optimus or some form of like Tesla robot will be one of the winners, most likely, right? High probability... The most likely global winners in robotics will be some subset of China plus Tesla plus something else, right?”
Elad Gil Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 8:44 No Priors Ep. 144 | The 2026 AI Forecast with Sarah & Elad
Dec 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Waymo and Tesla Autonomous Driving Will Dominate 2026
“I do think that on the topic of robots, the biggest trend perhaps, or one of the biggest trends of 20, 26, 100% will be that self-driving will really begin to matter. And that'll be both in terms of your own car. It'll be in terms of Waymo and Tesla cabs.”
Elad Gil Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 11:46 No Priors Ep. 144 | The 2026 AI Forecast with Sarah & Elad
Jan 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Huang: NVIDIA self-driving stack is rated number one in safety globally
“NVIDIA's self-driving car stack, by the way, number one rated safety in the world today. Number one. We just got that rating today. last week, and number two is Tesla”
Jensen Huang Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 48:46 NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang on Reasoning Models, Robotics, and Refuting the “AI Bubble” Narrative
Jan 15, 2026 negative
Opinion
Michael: Boston Dynamics made less AI progress than Tesla Optimus
“Which is why Boston Dynamics didn't make as much progress as Optimist did in the AI. You know, the things that started later on robotics just worked better because they were more AI infused.”
Emil Michael Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 16:47 The Largest Untapped Market Inside U.S. Defense | Emil Michael
Feb 12, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Scaringe: Rivian's perception stack sits between Tesla and Waymo in sensor density
“We're going to go, you know, not as heavy as let's say a Waymo on perception, but heavier than let's say Tesla to build a really robust data platform on a vehicle by vehicle basis.”
RJ Scaringe Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 21:34 AI, R2 and the Future of Everyday Driving | Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe
Feb 12, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Scaringe: Only Tesla and Rivian avoid domain-based vehicle architectures
“With the exception of Tesla and Rivian, every car on the road has what is called a domain-based architecture.”
RJ Scaringe Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 14:29 AI, R2 and the Future of Everyday Driving | Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe
Apr 9, 2026 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Allaire: Circle is the most actively traded tokenized stock
“There are tokenized stocks that are out there, and the most active tokenized stock today is not Tesla. It's not the S&P index. It's actually Circle.”
Jeremy Allaire Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 31:22 How AI Agents Will Transform the Financial System with Circle Co-Founder and CEO Jeremy Allaire
Aug 15, 2026 neutral
Insight
Taylor: Nuclear Has Never Had a Ford or Tesla Mass-Manufacturing Moment
“Nuclear has never had its Ford moment or its Tesla moment, if you want to put it that way.”
Isaiah Taylor Aug 15, 2026 ▶ 1:45 How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Taylor
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