software engineer

also referred to as: software engineers

16 statements across 13 episodes · 9 bullish · 2 bearish · 12 people on the record · first statement Apr 25, 2023 by Noam Brown · across every show →

Everything said about software engineer, oldest first

Apr 25, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Next-token prediction will not replace big-company software engineers
“Like next, next token prediction is going to, is getting you surprisingly far. But I don't think it's gonna get you all the way there to like replacing, you know engineers at big companies.”
Noam Brown Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 37:25 No Priors Ep. 1 | With Noam Brown, Research Scientist at Meta
Apr 25, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Matei Zaharia: Every software engineer will become an ML and data engineer
“And I think over time, like I increasingly think that basically, especially because of the capabilities of these AI models, every software engineer will need to become an ML engineer and a data engineer also. As they build their application and we'll, we'll fi…”
Matei Zaharia Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 39:02 No Priors Ep. 11 | With Matei Zaharia, CTO of Databricks
Dec 7, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shih: Software roles will shift to defining goals while AI executes
“There's a lot of other ones where the job of the software engineer and product manager and designer is going to shift from prescribing the how to Prescribing or describing the why and the what and the goal, and we leave it to the AI to figure out stochasticall…”
Clara Shih Dec 7, 2023 ▶ 22:10 No Priors Ep. 43 | With Clara Shih, CEO of Salesforce AI
Jan 18, 2024
Insight
Liu: Developers spend most time reading existing code, not writing new features
“I think we both realized that we're spending a lot of our time in the process of reading and understanding the existing code rather than building new features. Cause all that is a prerequisite for Being able to build quickly and efficiently.”
Beyang Liu Jan 18, 2024 ▶ 1:19 No Priors Ep. 47 | With Sourcegraph CTO Beyang Liu
May 2, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Scott Wu: AI will lead to more software engineers, not fewer
“I think if anything, there's going to be more engineers, not less and I'll kind of give two reasons why. I think the first is there's just so much demand for engineering out there and so much demand, honestly, even in ways that we don't always think about, rig…”
Scott Wu May 2, 2024 ▶ 9:53 No Priors Ep. 62 | With Cognition CEO and Co-Founder Scott Wu
May 2, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu: AI will enable software engineers to do 5x more
“I think the average software shares today might spend 20% of their time thinking through all these, like, really fundamental problem solving questions, and 80% of the time writing that in code. And I think they'll, they'll be able to do five x more, and they'l…”
Scott Wu May 2, 2024 ▶ 10:54 No Priors Ep. 62 | With Cognition CEO and Co-Founder Scott Wu
Jul 11, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Software engineers in 5–10 years will resemble architects and product managers
“I think the role of A software engineer five or 10 years from now, it looks something like a mix between a technical architect and a product manager today, you know, where, where a lot of what you do is, you know, you take problems that you're facing or that y…”
Elad Gil Jul 11, 2024 ▶ 19:11 No Priors Ep. 71: The Best of 2024 (so far) with Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
Jul 25, 2024
Insight
Liu: The most curious software engineers seek meta-solutions out of laziness
“The most curious software engineers are actually fundamentally lazy at heart, right? Because you're trying to find ways to, like, you know, build the meta solve to, like, solve the thing that you're trying to do, right?”
Howie Liu Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 17:36 No Priors Ep. 73 | With Airtable co-founder and CEO Howie Liu
Jan 9, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bernhardsson: AI will expand rather than destroy demand for software engineers
“So I, I'm very bullish on software engineers. I think it would take a lot to sort of destroy that demand. I think people look at a lot of like AI as like a kind of fix something, but in my opinion, it's like, No, it's just gonna unlock more latent demand for m…”
Erik Bernhardsson Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 18:55 No Priors Ep. 96 | With Modal CEO and Founder Erik Bernhardsson
Jan 9, 2025 positive
Insight
Bernhardsson: Developer productivity gains historically increase the number of engineers
“Every time that's happened, you know, It turns out like there's so much latent demand for software that actually like the number of software engineers goes up. So like, I feel like you look back at like, you know, last like four years of software development, …”
Erik Bernhardsson Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 18:32 No Priors Ep. 96 | With Modal CEO and Founder Erik Bernhardsson
Apr 10, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Foody: Software engineer evals will take years to build
“All the things that go into making a good software engineer, that's gonna be really hard to do. Like, I think it's going to be a years long build out for even some of the verifiable domains. Cause there's so much that goes into a good software engineer of like…”
Brendan Foody Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 16:14 No Priors Ep. 110 | With Mercor CEO and Co-Founder Brendan Foody
Jul 17, 2025 neutral
Insight
Laskin: Engineers spend 80% of their time comprehending complex systems
“When you look at what an engineer does in an organization, 80% of their time they're spending trying to comprehend complex systems and collaborating with teammates.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 10:28 No Priors Ep. 123 | With ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
Aug 21, 2025 positive
Insight
Ng: Top Engineers Pair 10+ Years Experience With AI Tools
“The best engineers I work with today are not fresh color strats. They're people with, you know, 10, 15 or more years of experience, but they're also really on top of AI tools, and that, those engineers are just completing a class of their own.”
Andrew Ng Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 25:56 No Priors Ep. 128 | With Andrew Ng, Managing General Partner at AI Fund
Feb 19, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Craftsmanship-focused engineers will become unhappy at large companies due to AI
“I think we're going to see a lot of these really great engineers who care about the bespoke craftsmanship of everything they do. They're going to be unhappy working at larger companies. As these coding tools get even more. Accelerant because it goes against th…”
Elad Gil Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 8:17 The AI Code Slop: Risk or Opportunity?
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Insight
Gil: AI engineering productivity boosts will be absorbed by infinite software demand
“I think that fundamentally you know, there's so much demand for software and there's so little supply of engineering and reality relative to that demand that as you add this enormous boost of productivity to software engineers it just gets soaked up. Right. Be…”
Elad Gil Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 6:53 The AI Code Slop: Risk or Opportunity?
May 1, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Srivastava: AI will lead to more software rather than fewer software engineers
“There's all this stuff about there being less software engineers, and I think we just build more software. I think we just build a ton more software”
Tuhin Srivastava May 1, 2026 ▶ 41:15 Baseten CEO Tuhin Srivastava on Custom Models, and Building the Inference Cloud
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