reasoning models

also referred to as: reasoning model

9 statements across 8 episodes · 6 bullish · 1 bearish · 9 people on the record · first statement Oct 17, 2024 by Sarah Guo · across every show →

Everything said about reasoning models, oldest first

Oct 17, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sarah Guo predicts massive excitement when reasoning models gain tool integration
“I do think on how it is received and how people use it, as the labs, you know, attach tools and function calling to the ability to do this type of planning and iterative reasoning, I think people are going to get a lot more excited.”
Sarah Guo Oct 17, 2024 ▶ 16:37 No Priors Ep. 86 | With Sarah Guo & Elad Gil
Nov 21, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Reasoning Models Will Become Highly Robust Within Two to Three Years
“I think right now it's extremely inefficient and it's quite brittle, similar to the early versions of language models. But over the next two or three years, it's gonna become incredibly robust and unlock just a whole new set of problems.”
Aidan Gomez Nov 21, 2024 ▶ 32:10 No Priors Ep. 91 | With Cohere Co-Founder and CEO Aidan Gomez
Mar 5, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hendrycks: Reasoning models have reached expert-level virology capabilities
“The AIs are getting very good at STEM PhD level types of topics, and that includes virology. So I think that they are sort of rounding the corner on being able to provide expert level capabilities in terms of their knowledge of the literature, Or even helping …”
Dan Hendrycks Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 5:43 No Priors Ep. 105 | With Director of the Center of AI Safety Dan Hendrycks
Mar 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dohmke: Improved model reasoning will push SWE-bench scores near 100%
“As the models get better in reasoning we're going to get closer to a hundred percent of this VBench, which is that benchmark out of 12 repos open source Python repos a team in Princeton identified 2200 or so issue pull request pairs. Effectively, all the model…”
Thomas Dohmke Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 2:25 No Priors Ep 106 | With GitHub CEO Thomas Dohmke
Apr 24, 2025
Insight
Fulford: Training reasoning models on math and coding generalizes to writing
“So I think in general you will always get a model better, better at a specific task if you train on that task, but we also see a lot of generalization from training on one kind of task to, you know, other domains. So you can train a reasoning model on mostly m…”
Isa Fulford Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 7:23 No Priors Ep. 112 | With OpenAI Deep Research, Isa Fulford
May 1, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Mitchell: AI reasoning improvements will not be limited to math and code
“So like there, I think there's some reason for spikiness, but I think some people will probably go too far with this and saying like, oh yes, these models will only be really good at math and code. And like, not, you know, like everything else is like, you can…”
Eric Mitchell May 1, 2025 ▶ 31:16 No Priors Ep. 113 | With OpenAI's Eric Mitchell and Brandon McKinzie
May 1, 2025 positive
Insight
McKinzie: Tools prevent reasoning models from degrading during test-time compute
“We've in the past for our reasoning models talked a lot about test time scaling, and I think for a lot of problems you know, without tools, test time scaling might occasionally work and, but at some point the model is just kind of ranting in its internal chain…”
Brandon McKinzie May 1, 2025 ▶ 3:45 No Priors Ep. 113 | With OpenAI's Eric Mitchell and Brandon McKinzie
Oct 9, 2025 neutral
Insight
Zelikman: Training reasoning models on just positive examples causes a plateau
“So if you only train on like the positive examples, then you end up in this kind of like potential minimum where there's just no more data that it can actually solve.”
Eric Zelikman Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 5:44 No Priors Ep. 135 | With Humans& Founder Eric Zelikman
Apr 3, 2026 positive
Opinion
Fedus: Reasoning and coding agents connect software AI to physical domains
“And I think those were foundational technologies necessary To then connect these systems to the physical world. Like it was just not impossible, not possible with like the AI technology of.”
Liam Fedus Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 6:24 AI for Atoms: How Periodic Labs is Revolutionizing Materials Engineering with Co-Founder Liam Fedus
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