why aren't all 57 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Tandon: US antitrust targeting Google and Facebook ignores healthcare monopolies
“The fact that they're coming after like Facebook and Google makes no sense. Like it's so easy to switch between Google and some other search engine if you want. It's almost impossible to change the hospital that you visit because it is quite literally a region…”
Opinion
Krishnan: OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google models are within a hair's breadth of parity
“I do think these you know, models of OpenAI, Anthropic, Google have definitely gotten to the point where they are within a sort of hair's breadth of each other, ultimately. Yes, there are the, in domain A, one model might be better, in domain B, the other mode…”
Assertion Partly supported
Dalal: Nest shipped the first deep learning algorithm in the wild in 2016
“I worked on Nest camera algorithms, and through this experience, we did ship the first deep learning algorithm in the wild in 2016 on Nest cameras.”
Opinion
Nair: Anthropic leads in coding but lags behind in imaging and reasoning
“For example, coding. Anthropic has gotten the best model. Now, OpenAI is trying to catch up. But when it comes to reasoning definitely OpenAI models and Google models are better. Imaging like Anthropic sucks.”
What-if
Sharma: Antitrust Action Against Internet Explorer Enabled Google And Facebook
“So about 23 years ago, had they not challenged the monopoly of Internet Explorer,
I can tell you Google would not be an important company it is today.
You know, you won't have had Facebook as an independent company that you have today.
You know, even the curre…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Parekh: India won't build a tech giant for another 15 years
“So whether we'll get a Microsoft, Google, or we'll get a generative AI startup in India, I don't know, or something else which will happen, but it's not going to happen in the next five years. But it'll probably, you think the probability of that happening in …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mayya: Google will win the AI race because it controls distribution
“They own YouTube. They own Android. They own the browser. They own distribution. So, no matter who builds the LLM, like I said, LLMs are going to be commoditized. They are going to win the game.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jain: Recruitment industry has completely failed to adopt modern ad tech
“That technology is so advanced, and it's, in a simplistic way, it's ad tech. It's what Google does. It's what Amazon does at the core of it. That technology has not been implemented or used in any shape or form in our industry.”
Opinion
Sankar: India lacks the Bay Area's generational legacy of enterprise learning
“I think the challenge that India has is that India doesn't have the ecosystem that the Bay Area has, right? In the Bay Area, you had Adobe that passed to Google, who passed to Facebook, who passed to, you know, like, there's just this, like, legacy of learning…”
Insight
Gupta says Silicon Valley enterprise early adopters' risk tolerance drives startup success
“And then also for enterprise space, you know, if you look at Google, Facebook, Intel, all of these were startup at some day in the Valley. So the risk taking capacity of the enterprises or the customers, early adopter customers is also high. So that's where it…”
Assertion Partly supported
Bajaria: Major Ad Platforms in 2017 Could Not Target Specific Companies
“No advertising platform, whether it you take from Google to at that time, it was AppNexus to trade anybody, right, knew how to target accounts or companies.”
Assertion Partly supported
Vinod Khosla offered half a million dollars to acquire early Google
“And I have a feeling that Vinod had made an offer to buy out this, you know, budding little search engine for half a million dollars or something, you know, and people were tempted at that time because nobody had the money in those days.”
Insight
Brand Storytelling Beats Backlinks for AI-Era Google Ranking, Says Sharma
“Google sees that Astra as a brand is putting out a lot of content on YouTube or other channels, and other people are actually putting a lot of content about Astra and marking it as a top-end test company, and it has nothing to do with backlinks. Then Google wi…”
Opinion
Garg: Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI lead the consumer AI battle
“Ah, but really when you think about the players today, I think the three contenders today are really Anthropic, Google, And OpenAI, and I think Microsoft and Meta are sort of fast followers, ah, and Apple is the dark horse.”
Insight
Chopra: Corporate mission statements always take a backseat to profit
“Missions of companies are good stories.
but they always take a backseat when it comes to companies being in the marketplace, because
Almost always the economic considerations takes the forefront.
So Google's don't be evil, Apple's think different, whatever mi…”
Opinion
Consumer Brands Succeed by Outperforming Competitors on Paid Ads
“I think today, according to me, if you ask me, most of consumer brands will succeed if they're able to crack Facebook and Google and LinkedIn ads. Better than others, right?”
Insight
Mayya: Ambitious product visions attract and retain talent better than agencies
“It's easier to build a Google than it is to build an agency, because if you say that, okay, your longterm goal is to build, let's say artificial general intelligence. You are more likely to pick up smart talent that wants to work with you. And who will stick w…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Singhal: Tomorrow's Google, Facebook, and Microsoft will originate on blockchain
“Tomorrow's Google, Facebook, Microsoft, we believe would originate on blockchain, right? And hopefully would come from India, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wakefit reached 21 crore INR in revenue with zero paid marketing
“Till we were doing this 21 close-up business, we had spent zero marketing. Like, there was no money involved. No Facebook, no Google, no Amazon, nothing. Like, it was going autopilot.”
Insight
Kola: Most successful founders do not come from big-tech executive roles
“The so-called pedigree is not as important to me as the potential. So I'm assessing for the potential, but not your past is a small indicator of your future, especially for an entrepreneur, especially for a first time entrepreneur. Most successful entrepreneur…”
Disclosure
Rastogi: Locus links OKRs directly to performance appraisals
“That book on the Google, it mentions that in the Google, they don't link OKRs with appraisals, because that impacts ambitious goals. We haven't done it that way. Right now, we have linked it, and we are more like, you know, it's fine if you reach 70, 80% but w…”
Opinion
Asokan: Competing for talent in Silicon Valley requires 10x more capital
“You're not going to compete with the Google in the Valley. You are absolutely not going to be able to compete without, you know, 10 times, 20 times the capital that you get to raise in India, right?”
Opinion
Pai: Amazon and Microsoft move slowly and are process-oriented like analog companies
“You worked in a large company, and when I say large company, I'm also saying large tech companies like Amazon, Microsoft. These are as process-oriented as some of the other analog companies. So they move slowly in a very process-oriented fashion, and maybe Goo…”
Opinion
Delivery workers are in as much demand as top Google tech talent
“Delivery boys, especially bikers are in hot demand. They are in as much demand as the best tech folks that join companies like Google.”
Disclosure
Nariyawala: Google acquired Flutter for roughly $35M after $1.5M raised
“So, so we raised about one and a half million there. So it was very early on back then. There were no pre-said funds. There were no neon funds that we would raise from. So it was actually very different world. And then we were acquired for about 35.”
Opinion
The foundational DNA of Google is late Stanford professor Rajiv Motwani
“Yes, the DNA of Google is Rajiv Motwani. That's the DNA. And every Indian should know that.”
Disclosure
Atomicwork relies on outbound sales and spends zero on Google ads
“Our product managers are outbound. Our sales is outbound. We don't spend any money in Google digital ads, right?”
Assertion Supported
Rajeev Motwani's theoretical research led to Google's PageRank and AnchorText algorithms
“I think Rajiv's work in fundamental computer science, in theoretical computer science, has led to many algorithms, actually. One of which turned out to be PageRank and AnchorText, and those two algorithms powered the search that ultimately became Google.”
Assertion Partly supported
Rajeev Motwani was one of only five people given Google founder shares
“And so Rajiv got founder shares in the company. And I think it was four or five people only that got founder shares apart from Larry and Sergey.”
Disclosure
Darisi: Atomicwork currently spends zero dollars on Google digital ads
“We don't spend any money in Google digital ads.”
Insight
Chopra: Indexing startup strategy on outlier successes like Google is highly risky
“I think indexing on these outliers is, is also very risky for entrepreneurs. In our head, the stories of Google, Facebook dominates, but in reality, what would happen is you will end up making the median B to C app or the median SAS company.”
Insight
Khare: Post-COVID Indian Startups Favor Organic Growth Over Paid Ads
“I think post COVID, post sort of the air coming out of the growth sort of investing market in India, a lot of companies not only right size their models, but the new companies starting have started with a whole different mindset. For example, a lot of the cons…”
Assertion Supported
Sasi: Indian researchers rank in top ten on Google and Meta bounties
“In fact, if you look at Facebook or Google's bug bounty is where companies pay security folks money to find a security incident. So they, Google typically pays 10,000 dollars, which is what, seven lakh for a good security bug. Now, in the top three list of eac…”
Insight
Sasi: Privacy regulations hamper ad giants while driving cybersecurity business growth
“And if you look at the, if you look at this space, the last 10 regulations that came is a headwind for marketing companies, Google, Facebook. Their business is hampered by this. But cybersecurity market is booming because of these same regulations. This is a h…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agarwal: Gen Z Uses ChatGPT Over Google for Search
“Instead of going to Google to search for the information, they're searching on ChatGPT. They're just going and searching on the ChatGPT now, or asking the question and getting the more precise answer. And even for learning things that they're going more to thi…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Agarwal: Centralized conversational interfaces routing backend apps will arrive much sooner
“From the user perspective, they can just come and ask and it has to leave then transfer to the right app... You're right. That's like, okay, I can come to the Google. I can ask a question and it should just figure it out. Like, okay, which app and how to get t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Rayapati: Trilogy paid more than Google and Microsoft in mid-2000s India
“They used to hire like, ah, top of the top, you know. And, ah, they used to pay a lot more than Google, Microsoft Amazon, you know, any of these players back then, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Radhakrishna: No Indian company exists among global consumer tech giants
“So when you say global tech, it's Google, Facebook, Twitter, you know, Microsoft, everybody else. There is no Indian name there.”
Insight
Khurma: Fact memorization has lost educational value compared to creative reasoning
“There's no point anymore in teaching students facts or helping them memorize things that, you know, can instantly be looked up on Google, for example. What will become valuable is the ability to think new things, is the ability to be creative.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vikas Nahar says e-commerce customer acquisition cost typically runs 500 rupees
“For example, when you want to promote your own website, acquiring a customer on an Instagram or a Facebook or even on Google, it's like, you know, typically the CAC, the acquisition of, the customer acquisition cost is typically, you know, 500 hundred rupees.”
Insight
Online marketplaces can scale early D2C brands to 1 crore monthly revenue
“I think online platforms, Facebook ads, Google ads, Amazon, Flipkart, they are more than capable. Could take you a crore rupees a month also without, without actually thinking about distribution.”
Insight
D2C brands compete easier with FMCG giants online than physical offline
“It's easier for me to compete with Gillette and Nivea on Amazon or on Google, as opposed to in Two million stores.”
Assertion Supported
Adam: Google invested $7 million in Fynd's $10 million funding round
“So Google, I think the round was 10, was total ten million dollars in which Google contributed seven million dollars. And the remaining came a mix of between ProRata and some other family offices also joining the round.”
Disclosure
Jain: Firebase founders became early Afore Capital LPs and founded Tasklet
“I was a seed investor in Firebase back in 2012. They sold out to Google. It was a great outcome for us, but also More importantly, became one of the most used developer tools in the world. And they helped really build that inside of Google. Then they spun out …”
Assertion Supported
Rajiv Motwani received founder shares in Google rather than seed equity
“Rajiv was not a seed investor. He was a founding stakeholder. So they gave him shares, you know, as a founder.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rayapati: Senior leadership tenure at Big Tech ranges from 7 to 15 years
“When you look at really good companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Google, even Oracle. The leadership tenure, especially senior leadership tenure is, as I said, anywhere from seven, eight years to even 15 years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
One of Facebook India's first seven hires was for Learning & Development
“The first seven hires of Facebook was someone from L&D, which was a learning that came from a lot of our leaders coming from Google, and what is it that they thought was important from building a company and an organization.”
Disclosure
Reddy passed on pre-IPO Google, doubting the search engine market size
“When I was at in, I interviewed with Google during its pre-IPO times. And this during my MBA. Right. And I walked away thinking, how big can a search engine really be? Okay. Famous. So I, you know, I don't even think I pursued it like really hard. I just explo…”