The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

1held up → 0didn’t hold up → 1partly held up →
100%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Sam Lessin (27)Jessica Lessin (26)Brit Morin (16)Dave Morin (13)Stuart Landesberg (3)Mike Brown (1)Ben Smith (1)Anatoly Yakovenko (1)
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The record (2) every resolved claim →

Prediction Held up
Landesberg: Seneca will deploy dozens and hopefully hundreds of aircraft next year
“I mean, I will have certainly dozens of aircraft, hopefully hundreds next year.”
Stuart Landesberg Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 33:57 Stuart Landesberg's Plan to Save the American West from Wildfires · More or Less Podcast
Prediction Partly held up
Landesberg: 2025 will be most expensive wildfire year, topping $1 trillion
“There's a joint Senate committee that a couple of years ago said the cost was about just shy of a trillion dollars, and we already know that because of Palisades, 25 will be the most expensive year on record, so almost certainly over a trillion dollars of econ…”
Stuart Landesberg Oct 31, 2025 ▶ 10:54 Stuart Landesberg's Plan to Save the American West from Wildfires · More or Less Podcast
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