software engineer

also referred to as: software engineers

6 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 5 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jun 23, 2023 by Dave Morin · across every show →

Everything said about software engineer, oldest first

Jun 23, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Exuberance around AI far exceeds current technological capability
“I also think that people's exuberance around this is far exceeding what is possible with the technology today, and there is a theoretical future where your ability to create a lot more software with the same number of software engineers that you have today is …”
Dave Morin Jun 23, 2023 ▶ 22:04 #3: Mr. Beast's burger bust and will M&A ever return? · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: Software engineer headcount will shrink as AI agents multiply output
“I think more people overall will be building software, but the number of actual software engineers will need to go down because one great engineer can do the work of many engineers and their job will likely be to like manage and oversee some of these software …”
Brit Morin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 29:03 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Lessin: Bay Area software engineer headcount will drop to 300,000
“Well, so I will go down, in three years, I'll go down to 300,000, and then I think it probably drops.”
Jessica Lessin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 31:04 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Tech CEOs will not lay off half their software engineers
“Like if you are a major CEO in Silicon Valley, are you really gonna let go of 30% of your software engineers? 50% of your software engineers? There's no way.”
Dave Morin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 35:20 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 27, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Software workers will be eviscerated and potentially replaced by nothing
“I actually think of anything like a lot of people who like had a skill that was valuable, and allowed them to a lot of comfort and like to feel like they had a role economically or whatever are just going to get eviscerated. And it's very possible it gets repl…”
Sam Lessin Feb 27, 2026 ▶ 34:09 Apple, OpenAI & Why Nobody Makes Money in AI | The SaaS Apocalypse · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Brit Morin: Half of Bay Area engineers face unemployment within three years
“Well, you and I said half of the software engineers that are employed right now It in the Bay area will not be employed three years from now.”
Brit Morin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 24:00 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
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