Dave Morin

202 statements across 96 episodes · 88 bullish · 70 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jun 12, 2023 by Dave Morin · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Dave Morin's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Everything said about Dave Morin, oldest first

Jun 12, 2023
Insight
Dave Morin: 3D headset experiences are almost impossible to market in 2D
“Like my point of view is that it's almost impossible to communicate a three-dimensional or four-dimensional experience on a two-dimensional screen.”
Dave Morin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 4:14 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 30, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Morin: Sunrise Foundation funded landmark psilocybin depression efficacy study
“Britt and I have a small mental health-related foundation called Sunrise, and we've invested in, The basic science around psilocybin. We were one of the first investors in the study that proved that psilocybin has over 80% efficacy for depression.”
Dave Morin Jun 30, 2023 ▶ 9:16 #4: MMA, M&A and Misfits; Silicon Valley's weird cultural moment · More or Less Podcast
Aug 4, 2023 neutral
Insight
Dave Morin: Nostalgia cycles peak after 20 years when buyers reach peak earnings
“The trends that start, you know, trends that happen 20 years after, they tend to happen 20 years after the products become popular because the people that were buying them, and in this case the nineties, are at their peak earning potential.”
Dave Morin Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 15:24 #8: Where's the Barbie business pop? Why brands beat marketplaces · More or Less Podcast
Aug 4, 2023 positive
Insight
Dave Morin: Post-internet hunger for real-world connection drives massive live event economics
“People really desire this like tribal connection to other people and to have a shared experience in the real world again. And that to some extent, this is one of the inputs driving this business output that we're talking about.”
Dave Morin Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 16:51 #8: Where's the Barbie business pop? Why brands beat marketplaces · More or Less Podcast
Aug 11, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Brit Morin discloses investment in photo-sharing app Locket
“We're investors in Lockett.”
Brit Morin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 3:14 #9: How to save ESPN. Barstool’s Bad (Good?) Example · More or Less Podcast
Aug 11, 2023 positive
Insight
Dave Morin: Betting is easiest interactivity because it holds the tension
“Well, I think that's why betting. It's just betting's the easiest way, right? Because betting's where all the tension is.”
Dave Morin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 26:31 #9: How to save ESPN. Barstool’s Bad (Good?) Example · More or Less Podcast
Aug 18, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: LLMs have only two use cases: summarization and data laundering
“There really are two use cases. One is Dave's point, which is summarization, and the other is Brisk's case, which is data theft, right, and data laundering. Like, I agree those are the only use cases”
Sam Lessin Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 50:23 #10: You should kill your startup, What replaces globalization · More or Less Podcast
Aug 25, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Apple needs a 'dinner time' family phone shutoff feature
“I sent an email down to Apple the other day asking for a feature called dinner time, which is a feature parents can use to shut all the family's phones down, make everybody come to dinner, including the parents, and the kids can do it too”
Dave Morin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 41:54 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
Aug 25, 2023 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: AIM status is the greatest product in internet history
“Aim status, I still to this day believe is the greatest product in the history of the internet, like in, because you knew somebody was there.”
Dave Morin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 40:06 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
Aug 25, 2023 negative
Insight
Dave Morin: Scheduling meetings in advance relies on outdated information
“People reaching out for meetings usually have a decision to make, or they are trying to work through an idea, and it is happening in the present. By asking for a meeting and then punching it out into the future, you're actually operating on bad information.”
Dave Morin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 36:04 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
Aug 25, 2023
Insight
Dave Morin: Founder breakups, not business failures, kill most seed startups
“Like the thing that kills most seed companies is actually founder breakups, not the business not working.”
Dave Morin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 15:39 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
Sep 1, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Morin: Path almost merged with Sam Liang's startup
“In a little known story, we actually almost acquired Sam and I almost merged companies during Path.”
Dave Morin Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 7:05 #12: Inside the VC brain · More or Less Podcast
Sep 29, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Dave Morin Says He Is No Longer Invited to Facebook's F8
“I started that conference and I don't even get invited to it anymore.”
Dave Morin Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 5:41 #16: Why Your AI Startup is Probably Already Dead · More or Less Podcast
Oct 6, 2023
Insight
Dave Morin: If a Founder Considers Layoffs, It Is Already Too Late
“Yeah, if you're thinking about laying people off, it's already too late.”
Dave Morin Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 16:07 #17: How to Save Your Startup, Twitter/X, Threads (and Swift’s Stunt Romance) · More or Less Podcast
Oct 6, 2023 positive
Insight
Dave Morin: Shutting Down After an Unsuccessful Seed Round Is Normal
“It's okay to get to the end of your seed round and turn to your investors and say, the card we flipped over didn't prove what we thought it would. And so we're either going to shut down or we're going to do something completely different. Right. Like that's th…”
Dave Morin Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 17:55 #17: How to Save Your Startup, Twitter/X, Threads (and Swift’s Stunt Romance) · More or Less Podcast
Oct 6, 2023
Insight
Dave Morin: Founders Should Cut Staff Directly to Profitability in One Round
“Don't do a half layoff with the hope you'll get to profitability. Do the layoff to profitability once get yourself to default alive and then start making decisions.”
Dave Morin Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 16:48 #17: How to Save Your Startup, Twitter/X, Threads (and Swift’s Stunt Romance) · More or Less Podcast
Oct 6, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Dave Morin: Taylor Swift is recreating 1989-era media overexposure for album release
“She's so clearly recreating the media overexposure of the 1989 era just in time for the 1989 re-release. That, to me, is what's going on.”
Dave Morin Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 44:14 #17: How to Save Your Startup, Twitter/X, Threads (and Swift’s Stunt Romance) · More or Less Podcast
Oct 13, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Dave Morin Asks Prospective LPs How They Will Spend Fund Returns
“One of my favorite questions to ask LPs is what are you going to do with the money that we make you?”
Dave Morin Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 34:56 #18: Why This Week Changed Social Media Forever · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 positive
Opinion
Morin: Evan Spiegel is one of the best product leaders on Earth
“Evan is one of the best product guys on earth.”
Dave Morin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 12:23 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Late 2023 venture up-rounds are only happening in crypto
“We're seeing up rounds in crypto, but nothing else.”
Dave Morin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 38:57 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Prior social app success gives no guarantee of repeating it
“To make a social part of that work, yes, you have to be in Dave's list of the top 10 product people in the world, but you also need incredible luck and incredible timing. And like, it's not clear that just because you did especially social once properly and go…”
Sam Lessin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 18:51 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Nov 3, 2023
Disclosure
Dave Morin tried and failed to centralize digital identity at Facebook
“Five years before that, I literally tried to do this with Facebook. Right? Like, we tried to centralize it, and that didn't work, right?”
Dave Morin Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 35:57 #21: AI Regulation, War and the Future of the American Tech Stack · More or Less Podcast
Dec 1, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: High-quality AI bots will dominate social media comments by 2033
“And so, it stands to reason that 10 years from now, like, you know, yeah, bots really suck today. They're awful at their job. And so, you know, 10 years from now, we're gonna have a bunch of amazing bots, like, you know, commenting on all of our stuff, and.”
Dave Morin Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 37:08 #25: TikTok, Porn and The Immediate Risks of AI · More or Less Podcast
Dec 22, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: The future of work will remain largely hybrid
“Largely people aren't gonna go back to [1541] Dave Morin: One or the other. I think it's going to be a hybrid weird world going forward. And so our takes almost don't matter. It's not like one of these things where all of society at large is just going to swit…”
Dave Morin Dec 22, 2023 ▶ 25:33 #28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24 · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 bearish
Disclosure
Dave Morin Declares He Will Not Invest in GPT App Store Startups
“Over here with my venture capital hat on, like what would I invest in that's building on top of these GPT app stores? Like nothing right now.”
Dave Morin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 31:51 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 26, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: One-third of portfolio companies used Brex, one-third used Mercury
“I remember when we were auditing our entire portfolio, like something like a third were using Brex and the other third were using Mercury and then everybody else was with”
Dave Morin Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 9:30 #31: Fintech Struggles, Netflix Rises and 'Big' is Winning · More or Less Podcast
Feb 2, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: M&A crackdowns will deter founders from starting companies
“I think there's going to be entire categories where people are going to be asking questions, whether they should even start companies.”
Dave Morin Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 11:49 #32: Taylor Swift vs. MrBeast w/ Casey Neistat and Ricky Van Veen · More or Less Podcast
Feb 9, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin calls Apple Vision Pro the pinnacle of human ingenuity
“The electronics development of this thing is, The pinnacle of human ingenuity right now in the world.”
Dave Morin Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 30:15 #33: Yes/No, Vision Pro? w/Special Guest Brian Singerman, Founders Fund · More or Less Podcast
Feb 9, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple Vision Pro Expands Headset Market, Leaving Room for Meta
“I also think that it's market expanding, right? There's room for both. And there's going, just like in computers, you know, you needed Dell, you needed Microsoft, you needed Apple, right? There's a lot of different customers out there.”
Dave Morin Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 20:28 #33: Yes/No, Vision Pro? w/Special Guest Brian Singerman, Founders Fund · More or Less Podcast
Feb 16, 2024 positive
Insight
Morin: Spatial computing replaces web browsers with physical surfaces like walls
“The browser isn't a browser anymore. It's like the walls are, you're able to, like, change the walls of the physical space and the floor, and you're able to, like, do things like what we would call a web page in the internet today, but it's like the surface of…”
Dave Morin Feb 16, 2024 ▶ 30:53 #34: 7 Trillion Reasons Why · More or Less Podcast
Mar 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Morin: China has laid groundwork via TikTok to sway US youth on Taiwan
“And so Sam's analogy earlier that like if China decides to invade Taiwan and they want the American youth on their side, they've already laid the groundwork. Like we've seen it time and time again.”
Dave Morin Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 23:21 #37: TikTok's Latest Crisis, Elon's Emails, AI Monopolies · More or Less Podcast
Mar 29, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Morin: Shockingly difficult to convince people to meet in person
“I've actually been pushing really hard to shift as much of my schedule to in person as possible. And I'm actually shocked at how hard it is to get people to meet in person. And it's been somewhat disheartening that I haven't been able to get it to push as far …”
Dave Morin Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 8:41 #40: Reddit IPO, Apple v. DOJ and the Return of the Power Lunch · More or Less Podcast
Mar 29, 2024
Assertion Partly supported
Dave Morin: Institutional Investors Allocate Maximum 5% to 10% to Venture
“Like, I think that, you know, for the most part, big institutional investors of all scales, you know, they're allocating five percent, you know, 10%, maybe maximum of their portfolio into the venture asset class.”
Dave Morin Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 29:55 #40: Reddit IPO, Apple v. DOJ and the Return of the Power Lunch · More or Less Podcast
Mar 29, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Investors Will Re-Allocate to Venture as Fed Cuts Rates
“Here we are, we're sitting here looking at an IPO that went well fed that's talking about lowering rates again. And so, you know, of course risk is going to move back on and people are going to actually start to think about allocating into the venture asset cl…”
Dave Morin Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 30:51 #40: Reddit IPO, Apple v. DOJ and the Return of the Power Lunch · More or Less Podcast
Mar 29, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin: DOJ's antitrust case against Apple lacks merit without narrowed market
“I don't think you can make a, I really don't think there's an antitrust case inside of this suit. I think it's very, very hard. You can't claim that I just on one simple piece of data, which is that Apple doesn't even have a monopoly position in the smartphone…”
Dave Morin Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 38:22 #40: Reddit IPO, Apple v. DOJ and the Return of the Power Lunch · More or Less Podcast
Apr 12, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin: ByteDance investors don't understand influence because they never built platforms
“That's also because these guys are capital allocators. And not builders of social networks. They've never built social networks, and then they don't know what is possible in terms of influence.”
Dave Morin Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 39:04 #42: OpenAI, IP Theft and a New Incentive Structure for the Internet · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 bearish
Disclosure
Dave Morin says he deleted the Facebook mobile app last year
“I deleted the blue app like last year sometime.”
Dave Morin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 25:18 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: AirChat is self-funded
“I think it's self-funded.”
Dave Morin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 31:26 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024
Insight
Dave Morin: Negative audience reactions drive engagement just as well as praise
“You can be, it doesn't matter. You can choose cheers as your KPI or booze and they both work.”
Dave Morin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 35:06 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Brit Morin discloses that she and Dave Morin are long Tesla stock
“We are long Tesla, and we're the only ones, we are users, so we know a little bit more.”
Brit Morin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 55:34 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 26, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Users Will Prefer Free Local AI Models Over Cloud
“If you can accomplish 80% of What you want to accomplish using a local model that's free on, on, on the person's iPhone or whatever, you're going to do it because it's free and you're not going to, you know, use the cloud based model.”
Dave Morin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 38:21 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
Apr 26, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin Predicts Taylor Swift's Next Release Will Be Rock
“And my prediction is that I think we're going to get like a hardcore America, like, you know, rock album next.”
Dave Morin Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 56:45 #44: The $1B AI Girlfriend Market, the Tech Hedge Fund Fallout and Why VCs Can’t Quit AI · More or Less Podcast
May 3, 2024 negative
Insight
Dave Morin says instant reviews fail to properly evaluate complex new products
“Well, I think there's this interesting thing where, like, people try to metabolize new releases of things, like, in the first hour after they launch, and something that's 31 songs long, or even You know, new gadgets that take a long time to understand. It's li…”
Dave Morin May 3, 2024 ▶ 54:16 #45: How Tech Cos. Quit the Culture Wars · More or Less Podcast
May 17, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Dave Morin: DTC is 'absolutely dead' alongside algorithm-dependent distribution
“Because like, DTC is like absolutely dead now. Media, basically all of this stuff that depended on the algorithms for distribution in one way or the other, whether it was organic distribution or paid, no longer works.”
Dave Morin May 17, 2024 ▶ 42:58 #47: Algorithm-Proof Media and New Twists in the AI War · More or Less Podcast
May 17, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Morin: AI copywriting startups like Jasper are 'game over'
“If you remember, like at the very beginning of, I think it was last year, or I guess right after ChatGPT launched or around that time, there were actually quite a few writing tools. There were copywriting tools... It's super clear that's game over.”
Dave Morin May 17, 2024 ▶ 29:45 #47: Algorithm-Proof Media and New Twists in the AI War · More or Less Podcast
May 24, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Zuckerberg coined "move fast" so engineers wouldn't fear breaking Facebook
“And it was a lot about, we had actually just had an engineer that took down the entire site, and the engineer was feeling absolutely terrible because the, you know, the change he made in the code caused us to lose some ad revenue that day. And Mark was looking…”
Dave Morin May 24, 2024 ▶ 43:52 #48: Move Fast (But Don't) Break Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
May 24, 2024 neutral
Insight
Morin: Major tech waves require three generations before commercial success
“This pattern is the same across all of these technologies, right? Like you've got this really sort of hypey early hacker phase where you know, have a bunch of people working on something, a bunch of capital is deployed, none of it works and it all crashes. The…”
Dave Morin May 24, 2024 ▶ 15:18 #48: Move Fast (But Don't) Break Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
May 24, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Current generation of AI hardware startups will go to zero
“This whole generation is going to get wiped out. Everyone's going to zero. Dave, you're losing money. I'm losing money by proxy sucks, whatever.”
Sam Lessin May 24, 2024 ▶ 8:20 #48: Move Fast (But Don't) Break Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Jun 21, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: School phone bans will quickly become a national movement
“I think we should expect this to become a national movement very quickly because I think parents are panicking.”
Dave Morin Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 39:16 #52: Elad Gil on What to Build in AI (Part II) · More or Less Podcast
Jun 21, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Tech Has Extracted Most Value from Current LLM Cycle
“I mean, I think we've extracted a lot of the value out of this LLM cycle, and there's a lot of people, like, trying to find what the next, you know.”
Dave Morin Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 57:09 #52: Elad Gil on What to Build in AI (Part II) · More or Less Podcast
Jun 21, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin: Social media causes irreparable harm to an entire generation
“I think the data is abundantly clear. The science is, like, pretty hard. It's like really good science, and the science says that I think we're doing irreparable harm to an entire generation, and that it's a national mental health emergency, and that we have t…”
Dave Morin Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 38:02 #52: Elad Gil on What to Build in AI (Part II) · More or Less Podcast
Jun 28, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Facebook was already dead to him when Threads launched
“Facebook was already dead to me when threads launched. So it's like, it just didn't matter. I never use it. I don't log into it. I don't, I never open it.”
Dave Morin Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 37:50 #53: What We Got Wrong—and Right—in a Year of More or Less · More or Less Podcast
Jul 5, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin asserts that venture investors cannot trust lawyers with diligence
“You can't trust lawyers with diligence.”
Dave Morin Jul 5, 2024 ▶ 25:27 #54: Sun Valley, Tennis and Robots: Summer Adventure Preview · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 negative
Disclosure
Morin: Most pitch emails are ignored now because they are LLM-generated
“I don't take most pitch emails seriously anymore, because they're all LLM generated, and you can tell.”
Dave Morin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 39:39 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 9, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Helena property managers dropped Airbnbs for long-term residential leases
“All of the property management companies in my hometown that were in the business of Servicing Airbnbs were getting out of the business. They gave, you know, 60 day notices to like every Airbnb in town that they were servicing because they want to get into the…”
Dave Morin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 43:49 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 16, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Culture has shifted from software utopianism to body futurism
“We've shifted from a software utopian vision where we're talking about what software can do for our minds and do for our social cultures, and now we're focused on consciousness hacking, body improvement protocols, peptides, AI-guided meditation, designer babie…”
Dave Morin Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 31:19 #60: Body Futurism and Why Gen Z is Ditching Tech · More or Less Podcast
Aug 16, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: The next frontier is the physical world, not more screens
“The next frontier isn't more cloud, isn't more screen. It's something else. It's in the physical world. It's Big concerts. It's big. It's connecting with other people. It's taking care of your body. It's health.”
Dave Morin Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 37:13 #60: Body Futurism and Why Gen Z is Ditching Tech · More or Less Podcast
Aug 16, 2024 positive
Opinion
Morin: Body optimization protocols represent a new moral framework, not a fad
“This is not just a fad. This is, like, actually a new moral framework. Like, I think this is actually, like, a new moral framework.”
Dave Morin Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 35:31 #60: Body Futurism and Why Gen Z is Ditching Tech · More or Less Podcast
Aug 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin: Tech has mostly delivered dystopian nightmares, fatiguing society
“And I think that culture and society is broadly just tired of this. It largely hasn't delivered. In fact, it's mostly delivered dystopian nightmares to parents to, we've talked about it on this podcast for a year.”
Dave Morin Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 29:59 #60: Body Futurism and Why Gen Z is Ditching Tech · More or Less Podcast
Aug 30, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: We almost invested in the original Telegram TON token deal
“We were doing that original ton deal, Sam, and then it fell apart.”
Dave Morin Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 14:20 #62: Telegram, Free Speech and Its Limits · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Airbnb Experiences cannot scale enough to rival Booking.com
“Even so, is that business large enough to make you competitive with bookings.com? Like, I don't think so.”
Dave Morin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 42:22 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Sep 13, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: Acquired Live left Chase Center's arena mostly empty
“And I think it's interesting that the Chase Center was not even remotely full. Like, we had 6000 people or so that showed up. That's a place that can hold, what, 30, 40,000? And the, you know, the boxes were largely empty.”
Dave Morin Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 14:56 #64: Meta vs. Apple: the Future of Open vs. Closed Tech · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Free Apple on-device LLM APIs will trigger consumer app explosion
“And those APIs are not yet available to developers when they are. There's going to be a Cambrian explosion of consumer applications that happen because you can now use these things for free.”
Dave Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 21:07 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Dave Morin: Unprofitable OpenAI and Anthropic will be forced to increase prices
“Like at the rate they're having to raise capital and at the unprofitability of their business models, they can only increase prices from here.”
Dave Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 20:30 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
What-if
Dave Morin: AI enabled him to build an app that previously cost $2M
“I was able to build an application that would have taken three to five people and probably a two million dollar seed round one year ago to build.”
Dave Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 28:18 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 bullish
What-if
Dave Morin: AI coding breakthrough wouldn't exist without Claude 3.5 Sonnet
“It was Claude Sonnet that caused this to happen. Like it was to put a fine point on it. If it were not for Sonnet, this software engineering breakthrough, I don't think would be happening right now. So you can like literally go to the day that model was publis…”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 48:22 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: Path achieved one billion timeline views daily at peak
“The social network that I built, we were doing a billion timelines view a day at peak.”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 51:40 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Tech is transitioning from enterprise SaaS to personal software
“And now we're shifting to the personal software era where people can build their own software for their own use case. They can build it for their friends, their groups, small groups, and you don't have to depend on an organization to build you everything anymo…”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 47:21 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Value of developing software is rapidly collapsing to zero
“One, the value of all software being developed is kind of rapidly going to zero right now because anyone can build anything that they want for any workflow in their business or their personal life very, very quickly and for very low cost. And so that means tha…”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 45:35 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 bullish
What-if
Dave Morin: AI built an app in weeks that previously cost $1M-$2M
“I was able to build an app for myself using AI software engineering tools, which would have cost one to two million dollars in seed capital to build in five people and maybe one year to two year, maybe call it 12 to 18 months of time and one to two million dol…”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 44:26 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 bearish
Insight
Dave Morin: Prohibitive API costs prevent consumer AI apps from emerging
“Right now you're seeing almost no consumer AI apps because it's so expensive to use the big models, right? Like if I were going to build a consumer AI app of any kind, call it, let's call it a social app of any kind. And I needed to call that API every single …”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 51:14 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 bearish
Insight
Dave Morin: Surging domain prices signal when to short an asset class
“When an asset class is dot domain. So like, remember when web three was using dot X, Y, Z and dot X, Y, Z domains went through the roof. They were like, 10,000 dollars per domain. So like, when that happens, you know you should go short.”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 1:01:24 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 neutral
Insight
Dave Morin: Consumer AI apps require Apple to open on-device APIs
“The answer is, well, you need to depend on Apple making their small models that are on device available via API, which they haven't yet, right?”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 52:03 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 18, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Facebook built account deactivation because users repeatedly requested manual recovery
“I go back to when we didn't have the deactivate feature on Facebook, and we had to make the deactivate feature because of this problem.”
Dave Morin Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 12:03 #69: Robots, Rockets, and Elon Hype · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Computing future belongs to small devices organized in symphonies
“I think that small devices. Organized in symphonies, like is like the thing that is going to be the future and that you're going to have to be in all these different places.”
Dave Morin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 52:54 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Opinion
Morin: The 2024 US presidential election was the first true podcast election
“To some extent, I think this election is the first real social media election, and it happened in a way that we didn't expect, right? Like, we thought that this was going to happen when Facebook and Twitter in a way, and then through the 20 tens, we thought th…”
Dave Morin Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 16:05 #72: Trump's Influencer Strategy Pays Off and the Future of App Building (with Guillermo Rauch!) · More or Less Podcast
Nov 15, 2024 neutral
Insight
Dave Morin: LLMs must dramatically increase user interactions to build ad networks
“Like they need people interacting with it a lot more for a lot more reasons in order to build a good ad market. It's basically the identical thing we were working on at Facebook.”
Dave Morin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 45:39 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
Nov 29, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin predicts emergent visual AI interfaces will drive the next wave
“It's clear that there has to be visual interfaces that are almost like emergent in the Tool or something that we just don't really have yet. And that's going to be a big part of the next wave.”
Dave Morin Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 53:57 #75: The Rise of the Tech Bro · More or Less Podcast
Nov 29, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Wrangling LLMs will remain necessary for a very long time
“I don't think the end is here. Wrangling LLMs is the thing going to be a thing for a very long time, but I think the way that we do it, There's going to be a lot of UI.”
Dave Morin Nov 29, 2024 ▶ 54:34 #75: The Rise of the Tech Bro · More or Less Podcast
Dec 6, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Morin: Voice AI will reliably book restaurant reservations within five years
“Five years from now, you will, Sam.”
Dave Morin Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 46:10 #76: In a World with 99.99% Accurate AI… (feat. Aaron Levie) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 6, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: AI will enable tens of millions to build high-margin custom software
“I think there's a large explosion of tens of millions of more people building more specific, more personalized software to various use cases that you can charge a higher margin for because it's custom to like, I don't know, to use Aaron's example, like the, yo…”
Dave Morin Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 56:15 #76: In a World with 99.99% Accurate AI… (feat. Aaron Levie) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 20, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: AI speeds up development, but software engineering won't disappear
“I'm nowhere near as bullish as Dave that like, All software engineering goes away, but yeah, like make some software developing and faster and cheaper. No question.”
Sam Lessin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 15:45 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
Dec 20, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Every consequential AI company is based in the US
“Every consequential company of this new technology is in the United States. We are the unequivocal leader in this.”
Dave Morin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 8:42 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
Dec 20, 2024 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dave Morin: Most programming will be done in English by late 2025
“I think a year from now you know, most programming will be done in English. And I think that's the, there's almost no question.”
Dave Morin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 11:25 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
Dec 20, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: 2025 will dramatically accelerate the era of personal apps
“I think that the era of personal apps is going to dramatically accelerate. I think you're going to see almost everyone, you know, will start to experiment with building their own software using these tools. And I think people will be shocked at what they can b…”
Dave Morin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 57:34 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 negative
Insight
Dave Morin: Fundamentalist ideologies become cults and cause grave miscalculations
“All fundamentalisms, and we've seen quite a, even, you know, in the last few months, we've seen other forms of fundamentalism make grave miscalculations in terms of the actions that they take in the real world. And fundamentalisms in all of their forms are the…”
Dave Morin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 21:51 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: I would vote Sam Altman back into OpenAI with two-tier board
“My vote would be to put him back to vote him back in. And I would do that with the creation of a You know, if it's going to stay a non-profit or, you know, whatever, I would do a two-board structure.”
Dave Morin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 34:21 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin: AI researchers treat AGI with religious deification
“The research side of the AI community has, you know, is largely a secular you know almost always talks in a deeply religious tone. They've made the, you know AI, in particular the AGI technology, into almost a sacred you know, they've almost deified this techn…”
Dave Morin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 19:56 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 31, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Medium has virtually no organic distribution left for writers
“I just wanted to do a test, frankly to see, I have a lot of followers there. And so I was just testing what, if any distribution is still left, turns out there's none.”
Dave Morin Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 9:45 #84: China's DeepSeek Shakes the Tech World · More or Less Podcast
Jan 31, 2025 negative
Insight
Morin: The loneliness epidemic is actually a parasocial relationship crisis
“And so my theory has been that if you take up a bunch of the spots in your mind with people who aren't your real friends, Then we, when you go off into the real world looking for your real friends, you're going to wonder where they are. And so I think that the…”
Dave Morin Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 10:58 #84: China's DeepSeek Shakes the Tech World · More or Less Podcast
Jan 31, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Morin: Fully quit and deleted all social media for a month
“Well, so I've been doing this experiment for the last three to four weeks. I just fully, fully quit social media. I've deleted it entirely.”
Dave Morin Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 8:20 #84: China's DeepSeek Shakes the Tech World · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Morin: Jelly-My-Jelly reached 40,000 to 50,000 holders in 24 hours
“I believe the number of holders of this coin went from zero to around 40 or 50,000 within 24 hours.”
Dave Morin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 11:19 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Morin: Vine Founder's Coin Contract Locked Up 20% Over Three Months
“The smart contract that he wrote locked up 20% of the developer wallet or 20% of the float into the developer wallet over a three month or so time period.”
Dave Morin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 27:26 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 7, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Morin: Offline was a seed investor in Solana, believes it is superior
“I think you and I and all of us here on this pod have always thought, you know, that Solana is the superior technology. It's the most scalable. We were seed investors.”
Dave Morin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 35:24 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
Feb 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Morin: AI agent startups are uninvestable because they just wrap OpenAI.
“You don't need to look at it. None of it's investable. It's all just built on top of open AI.”
Dave Morin Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 16:39 #86: Elon’s $97B Curveball For OpenAI · More or Less Podcast
Feb 21, 2025
Disclosure
Lessin: Morin and I spent a year looking to invest in digital drugs
“You and I have, we spent a whole year looking for digital drugs to invest in when the biggest one was staring us in our face the whole time.”
Sam Lessin Feb 21, 2025 ▶ 31:07 #87: SKIMS To Revive Nike? AI Drama & The Satoshi Mystery · More or Less Podcast
Feb 21, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Brit Morin: We lost about $100,000 investing in Humane
“But we lost like a hundred K, like not like a lot of.”
Brit Morin Feb 21, 2025 ▶ 50:32 #87: SKIMS To Revive Nike? AI Drama & The Satoshi Mystery · More or Less Podcast
Feb 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Morin: The New York Times is blatantly biased and untrustworthy
“I find myself reading the New York Times now, and it's so clearly blatantly bias anymore that I don't trust what I'm reading.”
Dave Morin Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 12:26 #88: Meta’s $200B AI Bet, Instagram Reels & The Future of Content · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Morin: YC and Early-Stage Startup Valuations Are 20% to 40% Too High
“Like I went in there and I'm like, wow, like we're talking 25, 30, 35, 40, like the prices are just still too high. And so part of me is like, you know, if you look at the real estate market, you look at the, even the early stage startup market, like these pri…”
Dave Morin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 39:48 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: The U.S. economy will turn around by the midterms
“And you're absolutely right that by the midterms we'll be turning things around. And that's like the timeline to expect.”
Dave Morin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 33:41 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 positive
Insight
Morin: Startups Are Mostly Recession-Proof Because Outcomes Are Distant
“The good news about investing in startups is they're mostly, you know, recession proof. They're mostly off into the future.”
Dave Morin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 35:39 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 positive
What-if
Dave Morin: Dwell would not have survived pandemic without print magazine
“And if it weren't for the actual, by the way, if it weren't for the print magazine we would have never made it through the pandemic with dwell.”
Dave Morin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 49:57 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Dave Morin discloses backing Hubble Network for orbital Bluetooth tracking
“Like we've got a company called Hubble that we're involved with that does blue Bluetooth from low earth orbit. So you can put a Bluetooth chip on anything from a container to a cow literally and, you know, track basically anything.”
Dave Morin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 16:21 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Mar 14, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Dave Morin: Trump administration is using executive tools to suppress inflation
“And it looks to me like the same thing is happening right now. We've already exhausted the monetary side policies in terms of the you know, the Fed was already working on lowering inflation before Trump came into office and it's stubbornly kind of sticking aro…”
Dave Morin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 31:03 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Sam Lessin and I launched a cryptocurrency meme coin
“We didn't buy any domain names, but we did launch a meme coin.”
Dave Morin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 20:03 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Activist protests at dealerships are scaring Tesla owners into selling
“Whoever these activism organizations are that you know, organize the protests around Tesla dealerships, like they're having a real impact right now, right? They're scaring Tesla owners. Tesla owners want to sell their cars. People are afraid to be driving thei…”
Dave Morin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 16:35 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Willingness to pay guarantees OpenAI a massive long-term business
“The willingness to pay for this thing, provided they keep executing, like Facebook was executing in the same period of growth means that they will build a big, big business over the long term.”
Dave Morin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 44:19 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Used Tesla selloff creates a purely cultural underpricing opportunity
“People are just unloading Teslas at a ridiculous rate right now, and it's not like these are bad cars, right? It's a fully cultural under underpricing moment.”
Dave Morin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 7:29 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Excluding politics, Tesla makes the best American car unequivocally
“Like, look, I think at the end of the day, it's the best American made car that there is, right? Like it's unequivocal. If you kind of separate the cultural thing going on with Elon and Trump and mega and all of that stuff, and you just look at the Tesla objec…”
Dave Morin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 8:47 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
May 2, 2025 negative
Insight
Morin: Modifying AI Personality Without Transparency Threatens Mental Health
“Whether or not people use it for therapy or for helping them think through things or not, Sam, if you change the personality of the underlying tool or the underlying LLM without transparency, I think that's the most dangerous possible thing that you can do for…”
Dave Morin May 2, 2025 ▶ 40:49 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
May 2, 2025 bullish
Insight
Morin: AI is like the early PC market, not the internet
“I continue to believe that this is more like the computer business than it is the internet business, where we're all paying for computers. Like, we're paying for access to computers, and in the early personal computing revolution, everybody was, if you're a se…”
Dave Morin May 2, 2025 ▶ 29:58 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
May 23, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Morin: I replaced every Zapier integration at Offline with AI-written code
“I ripped out every Zapier, you know, integration anywhere in our code base for offline. You can just replace it. It's, like, super easy. Like, there's no point.”
Dave Morin May 23, 2025 ▶ 51:59 OpenAI Teams Up with Jony Ive, Vibe Coding, Gemini, and More | More or Less #100 · More or Less Podcast
May 23, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: AI code editors like Cursor will be superseded within a year
“My general point of view is that none of these tools are actually going to be where this is going to be in the next couple of years, and probably within the next six to 12 months.”
Dave Morin May 23, 2025 ▶ 11:47 OpenAI Teams Up with Jony Ive, Vibe Coding, Gemini, and More | More or Less #100 · More or Less Podcast
Jun 6, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Tesla FSD's sensor "exoskeleton" feels safer than manual driving
“I actually feel that it's safer because it, it's like a exoskeleton that has more sensors on it than I have.”
Dave Morin Jun 6, 2025 ▶ 47:11 #102: Snap Spectacles, Build-A-Bear, and the Myth of the Everything App · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: AI note-taker sparked crisis after emailing sensitive meeting notes to everyone
“We had a hilarious story happen where Someone did a call in one of our companies. And it was a very sensitive call and they accidentally left the AI note taker in the call. And then the AI note taker sent the email to all of the participants that were supposed…”
Dave Morin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 1:02:39 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Early research proves synthetic data cannot effectively train AI models
“Yeah, I mean, that goes back to that first research paper that came out right after ChatGPT launched, which basically said you can't create Fake data for training models. It just doesn't work, and so there was, like, this very early paper that effectively told…”
Dave Morin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 38:58 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: The era of venture investing in mobile applications is over
“Here's the thing I would push you on, Dave, though, and you and I can both, I can name a handful of exceptions to this, but the era of app investing is just so over, right?”
Sam Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 27:42 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Claude Code can autonomously re-architect entire codebases
“And it's pretty mind-blowing how powerful this tool is and how it will just go and re-architect your whole thing, make all the right directories, write all the code, ask you for input when it needs it.”
Dave Morin Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 7:06 #105: Tesla, Bumble, And Bezos' Wedding - Everything Is A Mess · More or Less Podcast
Jul 18, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Subscribed to Grok Pro, found it underwhelming, and unsubscribed
“I subscribed to Grok, you know, pro this week. Tried it. Doesn't work that much better. Unsubscribed.”
Dave Morin Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 39:17 #108 Meta vs. OpenAI: Who Wins the Next Attention War? · More or Less Podcast
Jul 18, 2025 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin: Meta lacks a consumer AI product to compete with ChatGPT
“I think that's the real question here is that can they build a product that can compete? Cause right now they don't have one. And so they have to figure out how to use yesterday's ad dollars to fund the creation of a new product.”
Dave Morin Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 46:19 #108 Meta vs. OpenAI: Who Wins the Next Attention War? · More or Less Podcast
Jul 18, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Switched from Cursor to Claude Code for software development
“I've gone like deep Claude code and not doing cursor anymore.”
Dave Morin Jul 18, 2025 ▶ 47:28 #108 Meta vs. OpenAI: Who Wins the Next Attention War? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 8, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Investing Exclusively in Repeat Founders to Counter AI Diligence
“My answer to this has been, I'm going to work with founders that are second time, third time, that I know are extremely talented and are working”
Dave Morin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 35:06 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 positive
Opinion
The North Mission is San Francisco's new AI hotspot
“Sort of the north mission because of OpenAI and Anthropic all being over there. That's like the hot spot.”
Dave Morin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 3:44 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 15, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Dave Morin pledges to always back his failed founders again
“So if you're a founder and you failed and we invested, call us for your second, third, fourth time. I will always invest.”
Dave Morin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 19:26 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
Aug 22, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Early-stage startup pitch decks are now filled with LLM content
“Our pitches are actually filled with LLM now. And how do you figure out if an idea is an authentic idea or whether it was, you know, harvested out of the LLMs instead?”
Dave Morin Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 28:33 #113 GPT-5 Disappoints: The End of the AI Gold Rush? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 29, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Dave Morin invests in space energy startup founded by Robinhood's Baiju Bhatt
“We just did a really interesting space energy investments with Baiju, who was the former founder of Robinhood.”
Dave Morin Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 22:30 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Aug 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Dave Morin: SpaceX Starship will be viable for investment within 24 months
“Yesterday was a pretty strong signal that, you know, you can start investing in this new platform, and you're probably gonna see it in the next 24 months.”
Dave Morin Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 26:03 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Aug 29, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Morin: Slow Ventures and Offline Ventures never submit data to investor rankings
“When I was building Slow Ventures, we were non-attribution. We never submitted data, right? And so we like, we're never on any of these lists. We do the same thing at offline. We really are non-attribution. We don't submit data, right?”
Dave Morin Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 43:11 #114 Seed Rounds at $2B? The Dangers of AI Hype in VC With Tony Conrad · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Private companies should be required to IPO at $10B or $100B valuation
“There should be actually a threshold at which you're required to go public. And it, I mean, it seems like a hundred billion dollar valuation is a reasonable take on that. Ten billion might even be reasonable, but it's just a little bit I think unfortunate that…”
Dave Morin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 22:35 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Anthropic's funding round is roughly 20x oversubscribed
“I mean, it looks like Anthropix, something like, 20 x oversubscribes still.”
Dave Morin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 28:10 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Anthropic LPs are trading derivatives across its equity chain
“In the back channels, you've got the LPs of funds with primary positions in Anthropics selling derivatives, and then their LPs selling derivatives. There's like many derivatives being sold across the entire Anthropic equity chain.”
Dave Morin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 22:07 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
Dave Morin: Feeds segment users into thin cultures to maximize ad surfaces
“The feeds for a long time were trying to split you into as many cultures as it possibly could, right? Because you can, like, that makes sense from an advertising perspective, right? Like you want people to have as many thin cultures. You want to have a very la…”
Dave Morin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 36:03 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Morin attended YC Demo Day specifically to meet app BitRig
“The reason that I was at Y Combinator yesterday is because I found a startup four weeks ago that I fa I found it on like the design internet. Like it wasn't even, I didn't even know it was a Y Combinator company and I started using it and I just fell in love w…”
Dave Morin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 21:46 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 19, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Kids will access harmful AI models regardless of guardrails
“Kids are gonna get access to this stuff. Just like, you know, everyone, our generation, parents tried, tried, tried to keep pouring away from them, but that didn't work. Right? Like the kids are gonna get the bad stuff no matter what we do.”
Dave Morin Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 42:48 #117 TikTok’s New Owner and Hiring a US CEO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Ty Haney's Platform TYB Has Millions of Users
“They've got millions of users, a lot of stuff going on.”
Dave Morin Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 1:35 #117 TikTok’s New Owner and Hiring a US CEO? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 3, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Founders are pitching AI-generated startups they don't even understand
“We have founders that show up and they will start showing me their idea and they'll clearly have vibe coded, whatever it is they're showing me. And they'll be trying to explain the idea. And it's clear they don't actually understand the idea and that the AI ac…”
Dave Morin Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 19:43 #119 OpenAI Sora vs. TikTok: Can “AI Entertainment” Fund the Compute Bill? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 negative
Insight
Dave Morin: Facebook Knew It Beat MySpace When MySpace Sold Homepage Takeovers
“When we were building Facebook in the 2000, we knew we had beaten MySpace when they started selling the homepage to the Hulk movie, and the Hulk started, the Hulk, like, punched through the MySpace homepage.”
Dave Morin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 50:16 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Accelerator Demo Day Deals Are Already Done in Advance
“The main thing though, perhaps the more interesting inside story that we keep hearing is that all of the deals are done before demo day. So demo day is just a social party that doesn't matter anymore.”
Dave Morin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 5:36 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Oct 17, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Morin: Passed on Jasper because models would do copywriting natively
“I remember we looked at internally, we looked at all the versions of Jasper, what there was Jasper, there was another copywriting tool, there was a story writing tool, and we actually at the time were like, eh, like this seems obvious that the models are going…”
Dave Morin Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 33:26 Meta’s Teen Rules, OpenAI’s Content Shift, and Roblox the New Social Media? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 24, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Dave Morin: I routinely ask senders how much AI they used
“No, I will just respond to people now and ask how much AI is in this thing that you just sent me.”
Dave Morin Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 7:05 TPUs Are Winning? Gemini + Anthropic vs NVIDIA, and OpenAI’s Atlas Explained · More or Less Podcast
Nov 7, 2025 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin claims San Francisco parents only let their children ride Waymos
“Everybody in the city only allows their children to use Waymo.”
Dave Morin Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 49:14 Apple Chooses Gemini, Sequoia's Leadership Shake-up, and Meme Coins · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Dave Morin reveals he co-founded stealth defense robotics startup Sauron
“It's a company that I co-founded with Kevin Hartz”
Dave Morin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 26:21 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: People will wear two smart rings within five years
“I think two, Sam. I think you've got, yeah, you've got health and probably AI interface. Seems like it's pretty clear gonna happen.”
Dave Morin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 11:30 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Investors funding humanoid robotics today will lose a lot of money
“A lot of people are just, you know, investing in VR in 2011 right now, and there's going to be a lot of money lost.”
Dave Morin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 25:33 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Investor inbox is flooded with startups building AI smart rings
“My inbox right now is full of startups working on various types of rings that you can use to interact with AI.”
Dave Morin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 8:40 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Unlike rivals, Meta AI has zero personal context about individual users
“If you go ask all, all the four main systems, or five, the same question, the context is wildly different. Meta knows literally nothing. Like, they don't have any contextually relevant information about you.”
Dave Morin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 42:55 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin predicts an authenticated agent social graph will never happen
“No, Britt, this is never going to happen.”
Dave Morin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 5:32 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Dave Morin claims recent Tesla FSD versions drive better than human drivers
“Whatever it is, 14 dot one and 14 dot two, like, they're just so good. It's really crazy. You can just feel it. It's better at driving than you are.”
Dave Morin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 49:34 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Morin's Tesla interface shows 70 percent of his driving is currently autonomous
“This week I was looking at there's a new interface on the Tesla when you click on autopilot that tells you the percentage of time that the car has been self-driving. And I hadn't seen this before. And mine is somewhere in the range of 70%, which is like actual…”
Dave Morin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 48:34 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin predicts AI-generated UIs will threaten traditional SaaS business models
“And I think we're sort of rapidly moving towards a world where the UI, which largely was the entire business model of SAS for the last 10 years, most of SAS was like, I'm going to build this complex UX on top of a Postgres database, then I'm going to sell it t…”
Dave Morin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 47:05 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
Dec 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Aggressive explosion in physical third-space culture coming in 2026
“I think that in combination with how tired people are getting of the internet and of just kind of digital culture rotting their brains, I think we're going to see an even more sort of aggressive explosion in third space culture.”
Dave Morin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 29:22 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
Jan 9, 2026
Opinion
Dave Morin: "Billionaire" is no longer the right term for ultra-wealthy
“I mean, that's why billionaire isn't the right word to use to describe this universe anymore. Right. Cause there's also a lot of hundred billionaires, which a hundred billion is extremely larger than a billion.”
Dave Morin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 11:24 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
Jan 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin predicts embodied real-world experiences and smaller trust networks will matter more
“Smaller trust networks, like embodied real world experiences, like are going to matter even more as this plays out.”
Dave Morin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 32:04 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bearish
Insight
Dave Morin: Seed VC top quartile is synthetic beta; alpha lies in illegible spaces
“In the seed market, you have the multi-stage firms, And 2000 seed funds competing for the 75th percentile of all of those sort of just like you said, the mainstream stuff out there in the market. And so that effectively means you have almost perfect pricing an…”
Dave Morin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 41:19 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026
Disclosure
Dave Morin generated essays from 131 podcast transcripts in under an hour
“I took all of our transcripts. We have a 131 transcripts for this podcast. And I ripped through all of them and generated essays across 131 transcripts and did that in less than an hour.”
Dave Morin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 30:18 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: In six months, developers will deploy to Vercel in minutes
“It was very hard for him to understand GitHub and there's all these like, Intricate things that are very nerdy about how to interact with these tools, but they're not that complicated and will just get eliminated from the process. And so, you know, it's gotta …”
Dave Morin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 31:15 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: AI will eliminate traditional user interfaces within five years
“Yeah, just what I'm saying is that like, if you're investing in something now or you're an entrepreneur starting something like you're what you're shooting a rocket that lands five years from now. Right. And so five years from now, like this is going to be cra…”
Dave Morin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 29:14 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 13, 2026
Disclosure
Dave Morin closed more deals in three days than in prior months
“I've done more deals in the last three days than, like, the last couple months.”
Dave Morin Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 1:04 Why OpenAI Can't Win The Decentralized AI Future (OpenClaw, Apple's Win, X.AI Exodus) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 13, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Offline Ventures runs OpenClaw in Slack as firm's brain
“Like we put open claw at the center of our firm in Slack. And so it like becomes this like brain that's like everyone's interacting with.”
Dave Morin Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 37:13 Why OpenAI Can't Win The Decentralized AI Future (OpenClaw, Apple's Win, X.AI Exodus) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Stagnant SaaS Companies Will Get Eaten by Three-Person Teams
“So I'm sure that's going to go all of those plays are going to get eaten by the three person teams that you're talking about, right? Like they're going to come at like a freight train using these new engineering methods, and they're going to be able to eat tha…”
Dave Morin Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 56:58 Why OpenAI Can't Win The Decentralized AI Future (OpenClaw, Apple's Win, X.AI Exodus) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 13, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: One engineering team mandates spending entire salary on AI tokens
“Like one of the teams that I talked to They have the rule where you must spend your salary in tokens.”
Dave Morin Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 50:11 Why OpenAI Can't Win The Decentralized AI Future (OpenClaw, Apple's Win, X.AI Exodus) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: People are adding personal AI bots into group chats
“This is one of the more fun use cases that I've seen a bunch in the last few days, which is people adding their bots Just do a group chat with me and having their bot explain things and get into the conversation.”
Dave Morin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 54:57 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Dave Morin: Narrative-driven AI founders can raise at billion-plus valuations
“The private Meg seven and any sort of founder that can command a serious narrative has the ability to raise at, you know, a billion plus valuations for very big, crazy visions.”
Dave Morin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 24:26 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Everyday non-technical consumers are not going to build custom apps
“Britt, they're not gonna make apps.”
Dave Morin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 40:57 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Building functional software with AI will remain deeply technical
“Also on this front, the technical people and the non-technical people and the skills that it takes to make this stuff really work, even though it's really powerful right now are still very technical. And I think that's not going to change for many years.”
Dave Morin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 39:21 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026 bullish
Insight
Dave Morin: AI agents are this era's websites, browser isn't built yet
“I think that the it's like agents might actually be the website of this, like of this era and like the browser hasn't been built yet.”
Dave Morin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 48:55 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: The Number of People Making Software Worldwide Will Increase
“I'm telling you that the number of people making software for people in the world is going to go up. Like, it's just gonna happen.”
Dave Morin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 25:32 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
Mar 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: OpenClaw Foundation Is Chartered as a Delaware Nonprofit
“It's a Delaware non-profit. Why Delaware? We are chartered as of last week. It's actually news I haven't published, so I should probably put it out there.”
Dave Morin Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 1:51 Nvidia’s GTC Was “Taylor Swift for Straight Men” (Apple, OpenAI, and OpenClaw News) · More or Less Podcast
Mar 20, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: OpenClaw Built Skill Approval System After Malicious Code Exploits
“Like we had to build an entire approval process now for skills because the skills that were going into the, that was the thing making open clause unsafe was that people would download a new skill and then there would be Instructions in there that would exfiltr…”
Dave Morin Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 50:19 Nvidia’s GTC Was “Taylor Swift for Straight Men” (Apple, OpenAI, and OpenClaw News) · More or Less Podcast
Apr 3, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Firm Is Going Maximum Long on Local Inference
“Like, we're going maximum deep and taking a maximum long position in local inference and open claw because we just believe.”
Dave Morin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 38:06 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 3, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Core AI Agent Is Locked Down From Reading Personal Email
“I do not allow my email For example, to be read by my core agent, like my core agent is super locked down, you know, has really tight security around it. But then I have other agents that do specific things that I want to get done.”
Dave Morin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 20:04 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 3, 2026 bearish
Insight
Morin: Full-stack AI code generation breaks traditional internet cybersecurity
“A lot of the way that we built software, which was like, we're going to build all these little shims in between, and there's going to be all this open source software and I'm going to use yours and you're going to use mine and it's going to make my life easier…”
Dave Morin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 24:57 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 3, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: In 1-2 years, users will generate software on demand
“The through line on this is that people are going to be able to request the software that they want in like one to two years from now, and it will just materialize onto the internet.”
Dave Morin Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 31:39 OpenAI's $852 Billion Valuation Makes Zero Sense (ClawCon Tokyo, Anthropic's Leak, Goodbye Internet)
Apr 10, 2026 neutral
Insight
Morin: Adopting AI coding tools is like moving up the compiler stack
“We're kind of like just moving up the compiler stack again.”
Dave Morin Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 41:26 Vercel CEO: 70% of Our Traffic Is Now AI Agents "Nobody Was Prepared" | Anthropic, OpenClaw, OpenAI
Apr 10, 2026 positive
Insight
Dave Morin: Agent personality and memories must be portable across models
“Because like one of the other things that we're seeing a lot of is that, you know, if Anthropic decides that they need to shift their business model or whatever, whatever intelligence you're using underneath your agent, you still want its soul and its memories…”
Dave Morin Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 27:30 Vercel CEO: 70% of Our Traffic Is Now AI Agents "Nobody Was Prepared" | Anthropic, OpenClaw, OpenAI
May 8, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Every founder he knows is trying to use Chinese AI models
“Every single founder, every company I know, everyone I am talking to about OpenClaw is like trying to figure out how to use Chinese models to make their AI pipelines more efficient by the day”
Dave Morin May 8, 2026 ▶ 12:23 Why the Met Gala Hates Tech, Elon vs OpenAI Drama, and the Rise of Chinese AI Models · More or Less Podcast
May 15, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Dave Morin Achieved 100x DPI on Oura Ring Seed Investment
“I'm official a hundred X DPI on Aura.”
Dave Morin May 15, 2026 ▶ 6:26 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
May 15, 2026 positive
Insight
Dave Morin: Voice input is replacing typing to meet AI context demands
“Your hands can only type so fast and it's just more context per second, right? That you can input into the computer. And I think that's the big change here is that the models want more context to do a better job for you. And so we are shifting our way that we'…”
Dave Morin May 15, 2026 ▶ 21:30 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
May 15, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Enterprise resistance to deploying multi-agent AI is enormous
“So I'm in a lot of conversations related to this, and the resistance on the front lines is absolutely enormous. People do not want, and I've actually only really in the last two weeks really Come around to having a lot of first party conversations about this. …”
Dave Morin May 15, 2026 ▶ 29:42 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
Jun 5, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: The singularity and autonomous AI agents are far away
“Well, I can report from the singularity as someone who's building agents every day that these things are way far away.”
Dave Morin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 12:32 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Jun 5, 2026 negative
Opinion
Morin: Keeping massive tech companies private is almost a financial crime
“They should have been public like years ago. I think it's like kind of almost a financial crime that the American public didn't get to participate in the growth.”
Dave Morin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 11:51 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
Jun 12, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin's Infamous Vanity Fair 'Two Phone' Quote Was PR-Written
“I didn't even write that the PR firm did.”
Dave Morin Jun 12, 2026 ▶ 25:07 Apple’s New Siri, SpaceX’s $300B IPO & the AI Company Killing Its Own Brand · More or Less Podcast
Jun 26, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Dave Morin: AGI is not happening at frontier AI labs
“AGI is not happening at any of these places.”
Dave Morin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 23:01 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast
Jun 26, 2026 negative
Opinion
Morin: Prediction markets and sports betting cause significant harm to young adults
“It's just doing quite a bit of damage to kids in their twenties. Like they're very addicted. They're very addicted to sports gambling.”
Dave Morin Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 14:54 Chinese AI Model GLM 5.2 Beating Frontier Models | Meta Glasses, Polymarket Scandal, AI Talent War · More or Less Podcast
Jul 3, 2026 bullish
Insight
Dave Morin: Engineers now prompt models rather than writing compiler languages
“You no longer have to speak a language that a compiler has to understand. Now you just have to be able to speak a language that the models can understand, and the models go speak compiler, and the compiler speaks to the assembler speaks machine language, and l…”
Dave Morin Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 32:19 Every CTO Is Quietly Switching Off Anthropic and OpenAI | GLM 5.2, Vox Americanus, Claude Fable 5 · More or Less Podcast
Jul 3, 2026 positive
Opinion
Morin: Verified platform Vox Americanus would be deeply healthy for society
“I actually want to participate in Vox Americana at scale, without question. I think it would be deeply healthy for the American populace and for society.”
Dave Morin Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 21:30 Every CTO Is Quietly Switching Off Anthropic and OpenAI | GLM 5.2, Vox Americanus, Claude Fable 5 · More or Less Podcast
Jul 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Morin: Robinhood built the application for the Trump accounts program
“I do think it's cool that Robin Hood built the app for them. Like that's kind of cool.”
Dave Morin Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 20:40 AI Frontier Lab Is Essentially Doomed | Open AI Offered U.S. Equity, Xbox Is In Trouble, Post-AGI · More or Less Podcast
Jul 17, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: OpenAI's new voice model solves interruption and inference restart issues
“Everyone who's used the voice model knows that it's been this pretty janky experience where if you, like, say the wrong thing, it interrupts it restarts the inference, it gets confused. This is really good. It doesn't do that stuff anymore. You can just talk t…”
Dave Morin Jul 17, 2026 ▶ 38:47 Open Source AI Wins. Now Labs Are Running to Washington |Thinking Machines, Johnny Ive, Realtime API · More or Less Podcast
Jul 17, 2026 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Real-time streaming AI voice will supersede meeting transcripts
“I don't think that's actually how the future looks. I think the future looks much more real time and that you're just gonna be like streaming, you know, in and out of these things in real time. And they'll like tell you things and it's gonna look much more lik…”
Dave Morin Jul 17, 2026 ▶ 37:43 Open Source AI Wins. Now Labs Are Running to Washington |Thinking Machines, Johnny Ive, Realtime API · More or Less Podcast
Jul 24, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Fewer Than 10 Million People Currently Use AI Agents
“The truth is there's about, you know, there's less than ten million people using these things.”
Dave Morin Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 23:31 Stripe Is Trying To Buy PayPal For $150b | OpenAI Cyber Incident, Frontier Model Economics, Peptides · More or Less Podcast
Jul 24, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Frontier AI Models Can Hack Any Hardware System
“There's no hardware that you can't hack with one of these things.”
Dave Morin Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 23:03 Stripe Is Trying To Buy PayPal For $150b | OpenAI Cyber Incident, Frontier Model Economics, Peptides · More or Less Podcast
Jul 31, 2026 neutral
Insight
Morin: Concurrent AI Agents Require Substantial Local Desktop Memory
“In order to run multiple agents at once, your Mac has to manage each thread, right? So if you're running, you know, one, two, three, 10, 100 agents at the same time, whether they're running through Codex, Pi, OpenClaw, or whatever, you have to have memory and …”
Dave Morin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 36:30 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Jul 31, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: AI Hardware Supply Chain Is Operating at Complete Capacity
“Everyone is compute constrained and everyone You know, at every manufacturer is trying to develop, manufacture chips, RAM, the entire supply chain is operating at, you know, complete capacity to fill the demand.”
Dave Morin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 34:04 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Jul 31, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Morin: OpenClaw Aims to Remove Computing From the Cloud
“One of the reasons I'm personally working so much on OpenClaw is that I really believe that we have to put the power in the hands of the people. Like, you have to take the computer out of the cloud”
Dave Morin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 23:55 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Jul 31, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Morin: Isolated AI Workers Use Open Letters as Emotional Outlets
“These folks that are working in AI in San Francisco and, you know, interacting with agents all day. Isolated to Zoom, you know, they actually don't have an emotional outlet. So, like, maybe the emotional outlet is coming out through X and through these types o…”
Dave Morin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 54:14 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Jul 31, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Morin Is Building OpenClaw for High-Agency, Personal AI
“I'm spending an enormous amount of time working on open claw and trying to give people A much higher agency version of AI that is much more personal and much more individually empowering.”
Dave Morin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 12:03 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Aug 7, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Frontier AI research labs will fail to find product-market fit
“LLMs are only going to carry us so far into AI, but all of these labs are not going to find product market fit and business value. Like it's just not going to happen.”
Dave Morin Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 31:02 Jeff Dean Leaves Google, Airtable Sells, and the Bag-Securing Era · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin predicts AI harms will be far worse than social media
“AI is gonna be so much worse.”
Dave Morin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 30:20 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smartphones will soon let users remove unwanted OS features via AI prompts
“Maybe in a few years, you're just gonna be able to be like, please get rid of all of this. The phone will just finally do it.”
Dave Morin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 32:08 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Sep 4, 2026 negative
Opinion
Morin: Anthropomorphizing AI Models Does Great Damage to Society
“This does great damage to the discourse and to society, anthropomorphizing these things.”
Dave Morin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 15:07 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
Sep 4, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Morin: Eager to Invest in Startups Sandboxing and Observing AI Agents
“All this really says is that we have to have enormous amounts of energy and new startups totally up for investing in them that focus on observability of agents and controlling and sandboxing agents into very strong boxes, right?”
Dave Morin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 15:51 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
Sep 4, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: Waymo Vehicles Cost Between $250K and $500K Each
“I think these Waymo's cost on the order of 250 to 500 K a piece.”
Dave Morin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 35:13 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
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