Apple

includes Apple Vision Pro, Apple Intelligence, Apple App Store

182 statements across 75 episodes · 64 bullish · 70 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement Jun 12, 2023 by Jessica Lessin · across every show →

Everything said about Apple, oldest first

Jun 12, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: The Information leaked Vision Pro renders two years early
“Two years ago, we published the render of, and it looks the same, so that tells you how long it takes to make artwork.”
Jessica Lessin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 2:10 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 12, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Brit Morin: Apple Vision Pro displays will be the best screens in the house
“I do believe the screen technology that they've built is going to be, like, I mean, they literally are going to be, like, the sharpest, best screens in your house.”
Brit Morin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 7:14 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 12, 2023
Insight
Dave Morin: 3D headset experiences are almost impossible to market in 2D
“Like my point of view is that it's almost impossible to communicate a three-dimensional or four-dimensional experience on a two-dimensional screen.”
Dave Morin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 4:14 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 12, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: No consumers are actually going to use Apple Vision Pro
“But you get back to like, is this a consumer product anyone's going to use? And I don't think so. Right. Is the honest answer.”
Sam Lessin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 13:43 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 12, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: Smart headsets will look like normal glasses and go universal in 5-10 years
“I do think it's going to get More universal, obviously, in like five or 10 years when these look like real glasses, which everyone thinks will ultimately happen, but it's been a pipe dream for a long time.”
Brit Morin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 7:35 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 16, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Adult content will migrate to massive Apple iMessage groups
“I'm a hundred percent a believer in private spaces that will be booted everywhere. And, you know, ironically, like, you know, it'll be places like, you know, where the porn is going to go. It's going to go to like big iMessage groups and Apple won't talk about…”
Sam Lessin Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 12:11 #2: Reddit and the death of the public internet; the end of the VC "epoch" · More or Less Podcast
Aug 25, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Dave Morin: Apple needs a 'dinner time' family phone shutoff feature
“I sent an email down to Apple the other day asking for a feature called dinner time, which is a feature parents can use to shut all the family's phones down, make everybody come to dinner, including the parents, and the kids can do it too”
Dave Morin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 41:54 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 negative
Opinion
Jessica Lessin: Journalists cheering at Apple events is unusual and uncomfortable
“It always made me as a journalist somewhat uncomfortable to be part of like seeing like just journalists, like standing up and cheering. Not that people can't acknowledge the company, but it's very unusual. People don't cheer at press conferences.”
Jessica Lessin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 51:40 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple is the only company unifying ambient computing
“And Apple's really the only company that I see kind of taking this Cambrian computing and trying to put it all together into one big vision, and I think that's pretty powerful.”
Dave Morin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 23:00 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: The transition away from smartphones is ten years out
“I'm tired of this phone interface, and I think like, I guess my question is just how many years, I think it's like a closer to 10 year out, like transition, not five years out, but that's just my intuition.”
Brit Morin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 18:01 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple and big tech launches do not matter anymore
“Look, I just don't, I just think like at this point, Apple and the really big tech platforms are such incredible machines that like, it's really like none of these launches matter, right? Like they just churn shit out and it's fine and everyone buys it. And li…”
Sam Lessin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 19:55 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Tech brands using recycled materials yields zero climate impact
“Pay a little more for it, put a nice sticker on it, but it's not like you are actually having an impact from a climate perspective, right? Like we still need a bunch of rare metals.”
Sam Lessin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 9:43 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 negative
Opinion
Jessica Lessin: Incremental iPhone releases have made Apple events lose luster
“Now, I personally think that, like, we're on iPhone gazillion, and these events have lost some luster”
Jessica Lessin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 5:00 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Brit Morin: Apple Vision Pro will not be the next iPhone
“And you could say it's Vision Pro, but I don't think Vision Pro is the iPhone.”
Brit Morin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 13:57 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: On-device transformer models will radically improve Siri within years
“I think what they said yesterday is we've now put Siri on device because of our silicone. It has transformers in it. That points towards an investment in Siri. That means that within a few years, that's going to be radically different.”
Dave Morin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 24:25 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: Apple's U.S. chip manufacturing requires final assembly in Taiwan
“We reported the information that their big bet on, like, US semi-manufacturing actually has this wrinkle that final assembly still happens in Taiwan.”
Jessica Lessin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 26:03 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Apple's data and privacy architecture will hinder global innovation
“I think the bigger honest possible case is that Apple will, because of their data structures and how they've approached privacy and much of other stuff, at a pretty deep level, hold back the world's innovation on this stuff, right?”
Sam Lessin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 47:45 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Sep 15, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Apple's massive supply chain shifts will have environmental impact
“Like they're trying to take an enormous supply chain and move it in a better direction and it will have an impact.”
Dave Morin Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 10:05 #14: The Apple Episode (Carbon Neutralish) · More or Less Podcast
Oct 6, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2024
Morin predicts Apple will quickly ban Lapse from App Store
“I think Apple bans it pretty quick.”
Dave Morin Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 34:14 #17: How to Save Your Startup, Twitter/X, Threads (and Swift’s Stunt Romance) · More or Less Podcast
Oct 27, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Steve Jobs was as obsessed with business as product
“Our partner at Offline worked with Steve for 28 years, and he will tell you that they were as obsessed in the early days at building an amazing product as they were at building an amazing business. They were constantly focused back and forth.”
Dave Morin Oct 27, 2023 ▶ 26:30 #20: The New Founder Mindset: The End of the Product-Focused CEO · More or Less Podcast
Dec 1, 2023 neutral
Prediction Held up
Lessin: Apple will not remove TikTok due to China exposure
“Apple's not gonna kick them out. Apple's China exposure is enormous, right? Like, you know, even if they should, they won't, right?”
Sam Lessin Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 12:37 #25: TikTok, Porn and The Immediate Risks of AI · More or Less Podcast
Dec 22, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: Apple Vision Pro will sell modestly but exceed user expectations
“I don't think it's gonna sell a lot, but I think people are gonna be more impressed than they think.”
Brit Morin Dec 22, 2023 ▶ 48:08 #28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24 · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Incumbents like Meta and Adobe will win AI through grinding warfare
“And Meta and Adobe. And like, it's all the same people, right? And they're just going to do grinding warfare.”
Sam Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 34:49 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple's App Store controls are not anti-competitive but driven by trust
“I think broadly the app store has shown a pretty even hand, and the point of the thing is trust, right? Like, when I pick this thing up and I download anything onto it, I trust it. Right. And to build that trust, you have to invest and build something like thi…”
Dave Morin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 42:01 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Vision Pro is a developer truck, not a consumer car
“To me, what, what's going on right now is that Apple is distributing a pro device. This is a truck, not a car. They're sending trucks out to... They're sending trucks out to developers... And the developers are, you know, they're just trying to get a bunch of …”
Dave Morin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 38:23 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Apple Vision Pro will never be a $1,000 device
“This isn't a consumer product, and Apple literally named it the Apple Vision Pro. There's never been a 1000 dollar MacBook Pro. There's not going to be a 1000 dollar Apple Vision Pro. Whenever the Apple Vision comes out, we might have a 1000 dollar tool.”
Dave Morin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 38:00 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Apple once rejected The Information's app over font color choices
“There's something about getting that email from Apple saying your price can't be in the color red. It has to be in the color blue. That just makes you realize how beholden you, like they were commenting on the colors of the fonts in our app, right?”
Jessica Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 13:49 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 negative
Opinion
Jessica Lessin: Apple does not enforce its App Store policies equally
“I just don't think they actually enforce them equally. I think there's the policies, and then there's the policies, right? And the strategy, and the negotiations, and the biz dev, and what's Shopify getting versus blah, blah, blah, right?”
Jessica Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 42:48 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Apple's 27% fee implies payment processing is worth only 3%
“The answer is, three percent is for payment processing, which is about what you pay for payment processing.”
Sam Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 11:59 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 negative
Opinion
Lessin: App developers no longer own customer relationships due to Apple policies
“I don't think that apps anymore do that with the obscuring of email addresses and tokenization and a bunch of this other stuff. You don't really own your app customers the way you used to.”
Sam Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 19:50 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: The AI platform race will end with Apple and Google winning again
“I think it ends up being Apple and Google all over again, to be honest, at the end of the day.”
Brit Morin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 34:42 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Jan 19, 2024
Disclosure
Sam Lessin Kept an Apple Executive's Business Card in an Emergency Glass Box
“I had a business card of one in an Apple executive that worked in the app store, and I put it in a glass box that you would break in an emergency and left it in the office. So then I'd say like, look, when you're pushing bills and things come up, if you need t…”
Sam Lessin Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 43:26 #30: The Great App Store Debate, Layoffs, and Playoffs... Oh My! · More or Less Podcast
Feb 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin predicts Vision Pro will spawn a new consumer device ecosystem
“I think you have to think of this almost like the new version of the Macintosh, and this will borne out its own versions of iPhones and iPads and watches, right? There'll be accessories that go along with this, and you have to like, think of this as like the t…”
Dave Morin Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 11:51 #33: Yes/No, Vision Pro? w/Special Guest Brian Singerman, Founders Fund · More or Less Podcast
Feb 16, 2024 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Lessin: Apple used the Vision Pro T-Rex demo to pitch Bob Iger
“I didn't watch it yet, but I knew about that because we reported in the information that that was the moment when they demoed it to Bob Iger.”
Jessica Lessin Feb 16, 2024 ▶ 31:57 #34: 7 Trillion Reasons Why · More or Less Podcast
Feb 16, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Apple and Meta will dominate VR; third-party OEMs cannot survive
“So there's no way for Sony to come out and like, make a good device and charge good margins on it's going to be a hundred percent software ecosystems. And like, those will end up being like, I think the Oculus world in the Apple world.”
Sam Lessin Feb 16, 2024 ▶ 25:03 #34: 7 Trillion Reasons Why · More or Less Podcast
Feb 16, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Android is dying while Apple iOS completely dominates the market
“Android is kind of dying slash not working and iOS is just completely dominating.”
Sam Lessin Feb 16, 2024 ▶ 20:17 #34: 7 Trillion Reasons Why · More or Less Podcast
Mar 8, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple could easily wipe out TikTok's US business using defaults
“Apple could cut TikTok's business if that's our concern. In the US down to nothing, very easily, just with defaults.”
Sam Lessin Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 12:05 #37: TikTok's Latest Crisis, Elon's Emails, AI Monopolies · More or Less Podcast
Mar 22, 2024 positive
Insight
Morin: Apple delays product launches intentionally to observe and build privately
“Apple's typically behind on a lot of product launches on purpose. They kind of do like a watch and see and private build.”
Brit Morin Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 4:53 #39: How (Not?) to Exit Your AI Company, Analyzing the New Google-Apple Tie Up · More or Less Podcast
Mar 22, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Apple will release AI as developer APIs reinforcing hardware
“I think Dave made this point, you know, weeks ago. I think he's basically right, or the smart point, which is like, the way Apple would release this is a bunch of APIs for developers. That's the powerful move, right? Is to figure out effectively how to make th…”
Sam Lessin Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 9:03 #39: How (Not?) to Exit Your AI Company, Analyzing the New Google-Apple Tie Up · More or Less Podcast
Mar 22, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Morin is extra long on Google in the AI race
“I think as everyone that listens knows, I'm extra long on Google in the AI race for a lot of reasons, but I'm also, I'm not short Apple.”
Brit Morin Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 4:38 #39: How (Not?) to Exit Your AI Company, Analyzing the New Google-Apple Tie Up · More or Less Podcast
Mar 29, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: DOJ Apple suit will drag on 5-10 years and become obsolete
“I think regardless of anything, what's going to happen is that the government can't keep up with efficiency on any of this regulatory stuff. And so it just is going to take five to 10 years. And by that time, Apple will be like, everyone will have moved on fro…”
Brit Morin Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 39:34 #40: Reddit IPO, Apple v. DOJ and the Return of the Power Lunch · More or Less Podcast
Mar 29, 2024 negative
Opinion
Dave Morin: DOJ's antitrust case against Apple lacks merit without narrowed market
“I don't think you can make a, I really don't think there's an antitrust case inside of this suit. I think it's very, very hard. You can't claim that I just on one simple piece of data, which is that Apple doesn't even have a monopoly position in the smartphone…”
Dave Morin Mar 29, 2024 ▶ 38:22 #40: Reddit IPO, Apple v. DOJ and the Return of the Power Lunch · More or Less Podcast
Apr 5, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jessica Lessin: Publishers will accept low AI licensing payouts out of fear
“Like, they're all sitting here now saying, you know, do we take the relative pennies from OpenAI and Apple and everyone who wants to license our content? And I actually think, unfortunately, they are, because publishers are so scared about what any kind of dro…”
Jessica Lessin Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 40:24 #41: Is AI Killing Media? · More or Less Podcast
Apr 12, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: The average Apple Vision Pro has been used for 10 minutes
“My theory is that the average Headset has been used for 10 minutes. And that means that at 3000 dollars, it's 18,000 dollars an hour.”
Sam Lessin Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 50:20 #42: OpenAI, IP Theft and a New Incentive Structure for the Internet · More or Less Podcast
Apr 12, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: Apple shifted 14% of iPhone production to India quickly
“Although, I did see, Jess, in, in Apple news this week, I'm quite impressed that they've shifted 14% of iPhone production to India in a very short period of time.”
Dave Morin Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 49:36 #42: OpenAI, IP Theft and a New Incentive Structure for the Internet · More or Less Podcast
Apr 19, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Dave Morin: Tesla is like Apple right now, but mis-executing
“I would argue that it is right now, but it's mis-executing.”
Dave Morin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 52:06 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
May 17, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: Google and Apple will be last standing in AI race
“And for me, it got me to believe that Google and Apple, I continuously believe are going to be the last remaining horses in this race.”
Brit Morin May 17, 2024 ▶ 8:54 #47: Algorithm-Proof Media and New Twists in the AI War · More or Less Podcast
May 24, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Morin: Humane's ex-Apple team is arguably tech's most valuable talent pool
“One of the things that they have done is they've recruited an enormously talented team of many, many, many, many, many ex Apple people, probably arguably one of the most valuable teams out there right now.”
Dave Morin May 24, 2024 ▶ 5:41 #48: Move Fast (But Don't) Break Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Jun 7, 2024 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Brit Morin: Life360 Is Uniquely Interoperable Across Apple and Google
“And it's really the only app and network that is interoperable across Google and Apple.”
Brit Morin Jun 7, 2024 ▶ 5:36 #50: Startups to Start: Media Edition · More or Less Podcast
Jun 14, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Morin: Apple restricts developers from directly accessing its on-device AI models
“The one thing that I was disappointed about is that you cannot access these local models directly. It's something that a lot of folks aren't talking about. They've put a pretty intense wrapper around it, at least on the developer front. You know, you can use t…”
Dave Morin Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 21:38 #51: Vinod Khosla on What to Build in AI · More or Less Podcast
Jun 14, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Khosla: Apple Partnership Validates OpenAI as the Best LLM
“Obviously from an open AI perspective, it clearly establishes where open AI is in the competition for the best LLMs. Obviously many people wanted that business. And many things were evaluated, and so it's really rewarding to see where Apple thinks the best AI …”
Vinod Khosla Jun 14, 2024 ▶ 2:46 #51: Vinod Khosla on What to Build in AI · More or Less Podcast
Jun 21, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Steve Jobs Warned in 2008 That Facebook Would Become Like Cigarettes
“Dave and I both worked at Apple back in the day, and I remember the town hall that Steve spoke at in like, oh, seven, oh, eight, where he specifically pointed out that Facebook was going to be seeing the equivalent of cigarettes, and like how prescient was tha…”
Brit Morin Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 39:58 #52: Elad Gil on What to Build in AI (Part II) · More or Less Podcast
Jun 21, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Morin: Apple's AI release lacks native access to local model APIs
“I was hoping actually that the Apple release would include Like native access to local APIs, but it doesn't which is unfortunate as I was like ready to write checks for social AI stuff”
Dave Morin Jun 21, 2024 ▶ 33:02 #52: Elad Gil on What to Build in AI (Part II) · More or Less Podcast
Jun 28, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Vision Pro is history's most expensive device per minute used
“Yeah, I would say that I think the Vision Pro is almost certainly the most expensive device per minute used in history.”
Sam Lessin Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 46:43 #53: What We Got Wrong—and Right—in a Year of More or Less · More or Less Podcast
Jun 28, 2024 bearish
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: The Information reported Apple paused next Vision Pro
“The information is reported there, they're not even working on the next version of it.”
Jessica Lessin Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 46:23 #53: What We Got Wrong—and Right—in a Year of More or Less · More or Less Podcast
Jul 5, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sam Lessin: Public markets reward tech giants for burning billions on AI
“It's AI because it's such a Hail Mary that, like, you can burn fifty billion, a hundred billion dollars, and the coin toss of whether it pays off or not is so favorable if it's, if the narrative plays out, that people will spot you that. They'll actually proba…”
Sam Lessin Jul 5, 2024 ▶ 48:57 #54: Sun Valley, Tennis and Robots: Summer Adventure Preview · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 positive
Opinion
Morin: Apple's smart replies are far better than Gmail autocomplete
“Smart replies, which is anytime you're text messaging or writing an email, the keyboard automatically suggests like entire sentences for you to include into what you're doing. And the first time it started doing it really kind of shocked me. Like I was taken a…”
Dave Morin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 16:59 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: AI journaling app Dot is the best companion app available
“The one thing I will say is that there's a great app called Dot, which is a former Apple designer that started a AI app. And it's similar, but different in that you give it access to your calendar and you answer some questions, which of all of these apps that …”
Dave Morin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 24:37 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Morin: Apple's AI keyboard defaults will insidiously influence how billions communicate
“I was sitting there going, wow, this is the new devil in the defaults for how a billion people are going to use AI every single day. This thing is recommending what I should say in response to my friend that I'm text messaging.”
Dave Morin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 33:57 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 2, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Apple will probably put a native LLM chip on board
“And will Apple actually improve the speed of the chip? Will they put a native LLM chip on board? I think the answer to that question is probably yes.”
Dave Morin Aug 2, 2024 ▶ 18:24 #58: The Death of Friends · More or Less Podcast
Aug 9, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Google's $20B search deal accounts for a quarter of Apple's services revenue
“Google paid Apple, twenty billion for the default search deal, and Apple's services division, which this revenue went into, generated eighty-five billion. So about a quarter of its services division is coming Directly from Google.”
Brit Morin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 14:14 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
Aug 23, 2024 positive
Opinion
Jessica Lessin: Apple TV succeeds by catering to 'prestige dad TV'
“Apple is prestige dad TV, and, you know, they're, that's, like, a market, and I think that's fine, so.”
Jessica Lessin Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 59:54 #61: The Venture Capital Reset Era · More or Less Podcast
Aug 30, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Only Big Tech or crypto protocols can defend online speech
“Because I do think that in the end of the day, we're going to rely upon Facebook, Apple, and Google to defend free speech on the internet, right? Because they're the only ones powerful enough, or crypto, or it's like a crypto decentralized thing.”
Sam Lessin Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 44:09 #62: Telegram, Free Speech and Its Limits · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Morin: Steve Jobs bypassed hierarchy for quarterly top 100 meetings
“There was like a central core that Steve would meet with on Mondays. And then, you know, once a quarter, he would meet with 100 people that weren't necessarily respected of the actual org structure. It was like more where the work is flowing to.”
Dave Morin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 16:03 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2024 positive
Insight
Morin: Founder mode means bypassing middle managers to reach workers directly
“One of the things that defines this idea of founder mode is skipping the organizational structure. And going directly to the people that do the work. And you know, this is famously how Steve Jobs did it with the top 100 at Apple. It's how Elon, I think, seems …”
Dave Morin Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 5:44 #63: 'Nasty' Founder Mode · More or Less Podcast
Sep 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: The Apple Vision Pro was "ultimately a failure"
“For what it's worth, I will say that since the Vision Pro, talk about flashy Apple launches, since the Vision Pro was such a failure, ultimately.”
Sam Lessin Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 22:13 #64: Meta vs. Apple: the Future of Open vs. Closed Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
Brit Morin: Apple ignores parental controls because the market is too small
“I just think it's a small enough market size that they don't care, and they'd rather make a better camera button on the iPhone that impacts the billion people.”
Brit Morin Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 26:27 #64: Meta vs. Apple: the Future of Open vs. Closed Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 13, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple is to blame for child safety failures on devices
“It is Apple's fault. They are the ones that actually have identity. They are the ones that actually could do financial controls properly. They're the ones, and they've done a really good job of deflecting that.”
Sam Lessin Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 24:20 #64: Meta vs. Apple: the Future of Open vs. Closed Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 13, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple would crush CPAP makers with a high-design machine
“Apple would crush these people with a high design CPAP machine.”
Sam Lessin Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 25:07 #64: Meta vs. Apple: the Future of Open vs. Closed Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 13, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: The Apple App Store did $1 trillion in business in 2022
“You know, he was telling me that the app store did a trillion dollars in business in 20, 22 alone.”
Dave Morin Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 19:04 #64: Meta vs. Apple: the Future of Open vs. Closed Tech · More or Less Podcast
Sep 20, 2024 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Dave Morin: Apple's native parental control features have languished for years
“Cause that's the thing that I think about a lot is that the Apple ones haven't been updated in years.”
Dave Morin Sep 20, 2024 ▶ 19:15 #65: Instagram, YouTube and the Kids · More or Less Podcast
Sep 20, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple is the haughty Harvard of tech and ignores competitors
“I think realistically, Apple is very haughty. It's kind of like the Harvard of tech companies, and if someone else does it, they're gonna do the opposite.”
Sam Lessin Sep 20, 2024 ▶ 10:16 #65: Instagram, YouTube and the Kids · More or Less Podcast
Sep 27, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Apple's design and quality processes stem from Japanese manufacturing philosophies
“Apple, many of its processes, the way it focuses on design and engineering first and quality is really Japanese processes and ways of thinking.”
Dave Morin Sep 27, 2024 ▶ 46:43 #66: Meta Connect, the Hardware Renaissance (or Not?) and Special Guest Dan Feder · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Apple's Small LLMs Cannot Synthesize Full Personalized Health Data
“Like the point I was making about Apple making the small LLMs available via API is not like the small LLMs are not going to achieve what you're talking about.”
Dave Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 25:44 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Free Apple on-device LLM APIs will trigger consumer app explosion
“And those APIs are not yet available to developers when they are. There's going to be a Cambrian explosion of consumer applications that happen because you can now use these things for free.”
Dave Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 21:07 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: Apple and Google will win the consumer AI market
“I do buy that like anthropic or open AI might have a big play in the enterprise world, but for the consumer world of AI, those two have to be the winners.”
Brit Morin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 21:29 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 4, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Jessica Lessin: Apple decided not to build frontier LLMs to protect CapEx
“Apple appears to really not be in like the frontier model LLM game. They've made that decision. You know, I think a lot of that is also coming from investors, like Apple cares so much about its CapEx, and so on and so forth, like they clearly aren't trying to …”
Jessica Lessin Oct 4, 2024 ▶ 32:26 #67: OpenAI Sets a Record and Will Apple Make Its Next Move? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 11, 2024 neutral
Insight
Dave Morin: Consumer AI apps require Apple to open on-device APIs
“The answer is, well, you need to depend on Apple making their small models that are on device available via API, which they haven't yet, right?”
Dave Morin Oct 11, 2024 ▶ 52:03 #68: Google's Antitrust Saga Continues… · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Strategically, Apple has never been weaker for the next generation
“It's kind of hard to foot the fact that the stock's never been higher, but I actually think strategically they've never been weaker in terms of what this next generation looks like.”
Sam Lessin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 48:14 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Computing future belongs to small devices organized in symphonies
“I think that small devices. Organized in symphonies, like is like the thing that is going to be the future and that you're going to have to be in all these different places.”
Dave Morin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 52:54 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 negative
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2025
Jessica Lessin: Apple Is Suspending Production of Vision Pro Version One
“Also, according to the information, we've known the Vision Pro hasn't exactly been a rocket ship, but it does appear like they are suspending production on version one.”
Jessica Lessin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 23:42 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple Vision Pro Was Never Meant to Be a Consumer Device
“The point of this product was to get it in the hands of software developers so that they can see what's possible with you know, this new operating system, this entirely new context. It wasn't meant ever to be. A consumer device.”
Dave Morin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 24:30 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple Needs Tim Cook to Retire for a Visionary Leader
“You probably need Tim Cook to like nicely retire into supply chain management and promote someone who's a real visionary leader who has a vision for the company that isn't, you know, more efficiency.”
Sam Lessin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 49:40 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: 2024 Makes It Hard Not to Be Bullish on Meta
“It's hard to not say that this is a year that Apple, to be less bullish on Apple, not more bullish on Apple, and shockingly more bullish on Mark and what's going on at Meta in terms of being like, oh my God, did these guys actually start producing hardware”
Sam Lessin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 42:47 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: Apple Targets 4M–8M Units for Cheaper N109 Headset
“They're working on this like internal code named N one Oh nine. It's the cheaper version likely the smaller version, the more Orion esque version of the vision pro. And they're expecting to produce somewhere between like four and eight million units of that is…”
Brit Morin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 32:02 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Dave Morin: Large models don't drive Apple Intelligence's current experience
“The large models have almost nothing to do with the experience that they're delivering on Apple Intelligence right now.”
Dave Morin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 45:08 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Apple Cut Vision Pro Sales Targets From 3M to 450K
“Apple initially targeted sales of three million Vision Pro units. Then they revised the number to 900,000. Then they revised the number to 800,000, and it looks like they sold 450,000.”
Sam Lessin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 34:15 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Oct 25, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Apple Intelligence Will Mark One Billion First-Time AI Users
“Like, and it will be actually, I think, the first time a billion people use AI in a, you know, tiny way.”
Dave Morin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 46:42 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
Nov 1, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Vision Pro is the most expensive device per minute used
“I do maintain that if you want to say, Cost per minute of use that the Vision Pro is probably the most expensive device in the history of the world.”
Sam Lessin Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 9:33 #71: Big Tech Earnings and the AI Revolution · More or Less Podcast
Nov 1, 2024 negative
Opinion
Morin: Apple's iPhone 16 lacks good cases and basic product polish
“There's no cases, like the case stuff, it's like they've cut all of the good cases. They don't make good cases for it anymore. It's very, it's like, it's a very strange product in this way. There's a bunch of details that are just missing.”
Dave Morin Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 4:42 #71: Big Tech Earnings and the AI Revolution · More or Less Podcast
Dec 6, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Levie: FTC scrutiny is hyper-targeted at just four or five Big Tech firms
“I think if you look at the actual track record it, you know, this is probably, you know, unfortunately, a negative on, on the FTC environment, but it does seem hyper targeted at four or five companies. You know, Splunk was acquired for thirty billion dollars b…”
Aaron Levie Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 30:11 #76: In a World with 99.99% Accurate AI… (feat. Aaron Levie) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 6, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: Increased AI device activity will counteract ad inventory collapse
“And that's why I think it will counteract whatever your sort of 10 blue link shift is.”
Aaron Levie Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 48:51 #76: In a World with 99.99% Accurate AI… (feat. Aaron Levie) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 6, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Levie: Google is the most threatened Big Tech company by AI
“Google is, is in, you know, singularly the trickiest spot, I think of the big tech players. Cause you know, this is not particularly disruptive to Meta. It's basically all upside. It's all kind of like an adjacent side business to AWS and Amazon. It's all net …”
Aaron Levie Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:00:04 #76: In a World with 99.99% Accurate AI… (feat. Aaron Levie) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 20, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: Apple will be 2025's tech company of the year
“Apple usually is the last to come in with the innovation. So I think 20, 25, my prediction is Apple is the company of the year.”
Brit Morin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 41:37 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple uniquely executes tech, platforms, and products simultaneously
“Apple kind of, or not kind of, they really showed that they have the trifecta down there of the ability to build technology The ability to build platforms and the ability to build products all at once. Most of the big tech companies can only do two of the thre…”
Dave Morin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 39:48 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khosla: Siri Marks the Beginning of Evolution Toward Agentic Interfaces
“And Siri is the beginning of what will evolve over time into agentic sort of interfaces for humans.”
Vinod Khosla Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 39:09 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Khosla: Apple Partnership Establishes OpenAI Leads LLM Competition
“Obviously from an open AI perspective, it clearly establishes where open AI is in the competition for the best LLMs.”
Vinod Khosla Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 36:52 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 positive
Opinion
Britt Morin: Chrome gives Google an AI agent advantage over OpenAI and Apple
“And I think that, like, plays to Google's advantage in the AI race that they have Chrome. Like, OpenAI doesn't have a browser that they can install this into, and Apple's certainly not, like, ahead in this race with Safari.”
Brit Morin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 1:04:16 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 27, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: Apple denies developers direct access to on-device models
“At the same time, the one thing that I was disappointed about is that you cannot access these local models directly. It's something that a lot of folks aren't talking about. They've put a pretty intense wrapper around it, at least on the developer front. You k…”
Dave Morin Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 41:17 #79: The More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 1 (AI Highlights) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 4, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: DOJ artificially narrowed Apple smartphone market to claim a monopoly
“You can't claim that I just on one simple piece of data, which is that Apple doesn't even have a monopoly position in the smartphone market. You know, and like the lawsuit had to reduce the scope of the smartphone market to like just the expensive part of the …”
Dave Morin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 1:42 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 4, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Britt Morin: The Apple DOJ lawsuit will take 5 to 10 years
“And so it just is going to take five to 10 years. And by that time, Apple will be like, everyone will have moved on from this and like the whole OS will probably be much different anyways.”
Brit Morin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 2:54 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 10, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Lessin: Meta, Amazon, Apple, and Musk are aligning with Trump
“Clearly Meta and Amazon and Apple, to a lesser degree, Google, Definitely Empire Elon are all quite in alignment with Trump, right? And I think, like, have decided to really, like, lean in in every way to this administration from, like, you know, the money the…”
Jessica Lessin Jan 10, 2025 ▶ 19:36 #81: Meta's Community Notes: More Speech and Fewer Mistakes? · More or Less Podcast
Feb 21, 2025 negative
Opinion
Brit Morin: Apple introduces update bugs around phone launches to drive upgrades
“I think they do this anytime a new phone launches because they just want you to get rid of your phone and update it no matter what, so you can fix all the bugs.”
Brit Morin Feb 21, 2025 ▶ 21:23 #87: SKIMS To Revive Nike? AI Drama & The Satoshi Mystery · More or Less Podcast
Feb 21, 2025 negative
Insight
Morin: Apple-style product launches cannot work in the social media era
“You can't do Apple style launches in the social media era.”
Dave Morin Feb 21, 2025 ▶ 48:18 #87: SKIMS To Revive Nike? AI Drama & The Satoshi Mystery · More or Less Podcast
Apr 4, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Morin: ChatGPT's defensible moat will be user memory and personal data
“The thing that ChatGPT is becoming and continues to get better at is memory. And just like we've seen at Apple, Dropbox, like many places where data is a moat, like...”
Dave Morin Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 31:11 Can Tesla Survive? | More or Less #93 · More or Less Podcast
May 2, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Brit Morin: Apple Disbanded Its Centralized AI Team Across Vertical Teams
“Apple disbanded its centralized AI team and actually is now distributing all the AI people onto the vertical teams.”
Brit Morin May 2, 2025 ▶ 21:14 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
May 9, 2025 negative
Prediction Held up
Lessin: Courts Likely to Bar Apple-Google Search Deal in Current Form
“The courts are likely to say that the Apple Google search deal cannot continue in its current form for antitrust reasons.”
Jessica Lessin May 9, 2025 ▶ 25:37 OpenAI Acquires Windsurf for $3B, Google's Stock Dips | #98 · More or Less Podcast
May 9, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Lessin: Internal reporting reveals Apple's LLM efforts are in complete disarray
“Apple really It needs, if it's going to be in the sort of LLM type game in search and AI, as opposed to like optimizing cool on device use cases, it's really got up its game. And by all accounts, all our reporting of the information just shows a huge freaking …”
Jessica Lessin May 9, 2025 ▶ 24:20 OpenAI Acquires Windsurf for $3B, Google's Stock Dips | #98 · More or Less Podcast
May 23, 2025 neutral
Insight
Morin: Frontier AI subscriptions are hardware replacements, not conventional SaaS
“These AI Companies and business models that they are like computers. They're not like services. Like I buy chat GPT pro because I want to have the best computer to use for my, you know, everyday life. Just like I buy a new Mac book once every two years or a ne…”
Dave Morin May 23, 2025 ▶ 34:05 OpenAI Teams Up with Jony Ive, Vibe Coding, Gemini, and More | More or Less #100 · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Apple only opposes OS-level age verification because it hurts business
“There's also no reason to fight against this other than it will hurt their business.”
Jessica Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 18:49 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 negative
Opinion
Morin: Parental controls on major platforms are rife with dark patterns
“The fact that, like, these parental controls are all rife with dark patterns to me is, like, an actual crime, and that you should be able to actually control these things and protect kids from them, but most of them you cannot.”
Dave Morin May 30, 2025 ▶ 17:35 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: OS is the obvious place for age enforcement, not apps
“Obviously the OS is the place to do this enforcement. If you care about it, it's one of those things. I've always found it fascinating that Apple and the community was able to like, put the blank, put the finger on Facebook or Google or Snapchat or whatever, w…”
Sam Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 16:11 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lessin: Apple Scrapped Satellite Internet Project to Protect Carrier Relations
“Our new, but was previously at the information reporter, Aaron Tilly, and one of our reporters out of Hong Kong, Wayne Ma, published this really interesting in-depth piece about Apple's ambitions in satellite internet, including a lot of details about Project …”
Jessica Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 47:35 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Musk gave Apple a 72-hour deadline on Starlink proposal
“Also, some amazing detail about their conversations with Elon Musk and SpaceX over using Starlink, where Apparently must gave them a 72 hour deadline to accept or reject his proposal.”
Jessica Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 48:06 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Morin: Apple will rebrand all operating systems based on calendar year
“Basically, they are now going to rebrand all of their operating systems based on the year it is today.”
Brit Morin May 30, 2025 ▶ 49:08 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
May 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Apple acquired the studio behind Sneaky Sasquatch
“And you know, it's the top of tech meme today. You know who acquires it? Apple.”
Sam Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 53:57 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Apple will never retire the Siri brand
“They're never gonna kill Siri. They're gonna, like, ride Siri to the grave.”
Sam Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 15:58 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 negative
Insight
Lessin: Visual redesigns of digital products almost always temporarily tank metrics
“Like when you announce like a visual redesign, which I agree, Dave, I've been through them. They're awful. Like it's the worst experience to redefine a lot of services, a huge amount of resources. You almost always tank your numbers when you're doing it. Like,…”
Sam Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 17:25 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Free Apple on-device LLMs will enable new class of AI apps
“Apple announced on device Large language models that are available to developers, which means that you can now access a large language model for free on the device, and that will enable a whole new class of AI apps that just weren't possible before because it'…”
Dave Morin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 10:49 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Apple should probably acquire Anthropic
“They should just probably buy Anthropic.”
Dave Morin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 23:42 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 positive
Opinion
Morin: Apple's transparent OS redesign signals a spatial computing future
“And it seems clear to me that, you know, spatial computing, which was an enormous piece of this year's keynote is actually where they're headed, right? They've said it out loud. And so I don't think that this is rocket science to project that that's what's goi…”
Dave Morin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 22:04 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 neutral
Insight
Morin: Apple's deterministic ethos fundamentally conflicts with probabilistic modern AI
“I think that there's this fundamental thing which is hard about AI for Apple, which is that Apple really believes in consistency and delivering a quality experience the same time every time. That's pretty opposed to the nature of these probabilistic computers …”
Dave Morin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 24:05 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Apple teams are internally divided between incremental AI and frontier LLMs
“There's different teams inside the companies relates to AI who have different strategies. There's a more incremental let's play to our strengths. Let's keep evolving around the on device stuff. Let's partner to make our services better. There's a group that sa…”
Jessica Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 25:12 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jun 13, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Apple won't acquire Anthropic because of Amazon and Google's stakes
“The problem is Anthropik's biggest investors are Amazon and Google, so that's why it's probably not gonna happen.”
Jessica Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 23:56 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
Jul 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Jessica Lessin: Apple is not yet in the frontier AI league
“Apple is not in this league yet. They're doing cool things in AI in different areas, but, like, they're not-”
Jessica Lessin Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 39:42 #106: AI Researchers Earning More Than Cristiano Ronaldo · More or Less Podcast
Jul 11, 2025 negative
Insight
Yakovenko: Apple's 20% app fee cannot function on scarce crypto assets
“With crypto, you can't produce another loot box. There's only one, you know, CryptoPunk NFT. There's only one Bordet. So, You are selling it for 10,000 dollars. You cannot add a 20% fee inside the Apple store on that digital item. It would be absurd, right? A …”
Anatoly Yakovenko Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 21:06 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
Jul 25, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: AI threatens Google's core business, but not Apple's
“His core business isn't threatened. Like, Google has to put chips down because, like, their core business is, like, too threatened. Meta has to put chips down, one, because Mark is just, like, hyper-competitive and cares about this. And because, like, they hav…”
Sam Lessin Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 35:26 #109 OpenAI vs Google: The Real Business Model War Begins · More or Less Podcast
Aug 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet put 60-80% of cash into AI; Apple 10%
“Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet are all in the 60 to 80% range right now. Apple is at 10%.”
Dave Morin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 26:37 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
Sep 6, 2025 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Brit Morin: Meta and Apple Will Use AI Defense in Antitrust Battles
“That makes a lot of sense, but now it feels like everyone's going to use that. Meta's going to use that. Apple's going to use that.”
Brit Morin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 14:13 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Morin: iPhone Air electronics fit entirely behind top camera bump
“I mean, this thing is like mostly battery. The craziest thing about it is that the phone part, like the electronics all fit in the very top and like the top 10th of the phone, like right behind the bump that the camera's in and the rest of the phone is just ba…”
Dave Morin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 3:27 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 positive
Opinion
Lessin: Apple's refusal to engage with AI hype is a great vibe
“But the basic point is like, I just kind of like the vibe of Apple just being like, fuck all of you. Like, this is all stupid. And we're just gonna make more iPhones and lots of money. Like, I love that as a vibe.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 9:56 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin: OpenAI pushes 'Apple is doomed' narrative to raise $1 trillion
“You know, it is very easy for the people who need to raise a trillion dollars, by the way, so they need to have a narrative of why Apple is doomed, aka OpenAI, right?”
Jessica Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 11:22 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Lessin: Spent $100,000 on Apple products despite disliking the company
“Despite spending easily a 100,000 dollars on Apple products in my life, I don't like Apple, if you didn't know, if you're not, if you're a new listener to the pod.”
Sam Lessin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 8:42 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 12, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Morin: iPhone 17 Pro features 48MP cameras and 200mm telephoto lens
“I like the pro it's got a great new camera suite. All three cameras are 48 megapixels and Sam, you'd probably appreciate this, but the Telephoto lens on the pro is now 200 millimeters, which is pretty insane.”
Dave Morin Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 4:21 #116 iPhone Air or Pro: Apple Ignores AI and Wins? · More or Less Podcast
Sep 26, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lessin: Platform lock-in stems from bundles of many small services
“The general story is you don't really have a login because of any one service, but there's just, like, so many little services that, like, as a bundle, you're stuck on the platform”
Sam Lessin Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 19:21 #118 Elon vs Altman: The $10B Capital War Reshaping Tech · More or Less Podcast
Oct 10, 2025
Assertion Supported
Dave Morin: Apple spends 10-20% of income on CapEx versus 50%+ for peers
“Apple spending something like 10 to 20% of income on this capex. Everyone else is like well north of 50.”
Dave Morin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 34:13 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
Nov 7, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin says Apple and Google partnered for Gemini to power Siri
“Google and Apple are doing a Siri deal, so Siri is going to be powered by Gemini, essentially, until, until Apple, quote, figures it out, but it, there seems to be this pattern here of Apple realizing Google is, is pretty good at this stuff, and they'll be pre…”
Jessica Lessin Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 13:28 Apple Chooses Gemini, Sequoia's Leadership Shake-up, and Meme Coins · More or Less Podcast
Nov 7, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin says Apple spends only 10-20% of operating cash on AI
“They've shown only an appetite to invest something like 10, maybe 20% of their operating cash flow in AI infrastructure. They're not willing to spend 70, 80% like Meta or Amazon or Microsoft.”
Dave Morin Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 18:44 Apple Chooses Gemini, Sequoia's Leadership Shake-up, and Meme Coins · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: Apple's iPhone Air miniaturization will likely power future smart glasses
“I think that the air was actually an exercise in miniaturizing and You know, moving their silicon and, you know, surrounding PCB stacks to be extremely small, and that this is, it's like a road sign on the way towards what they're going to be doing with wearab…”
Dave Morin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 7:41 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 14, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Jessica Lessin: The Information reports Apple's thin iPhone is suffering weak sales
“Turns out this thing isn't selling as reported in information, delaying next versions, et cetera.”
Jessica Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 5:05 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Lessin: Laurene Powell Jobs is clearly backing OpenAI over Apple
“Laureen is clearly in team open AI in this In this battle playing out. And that, you know, she has had longstanding, obviously, relationships with Altman, and it's all relational, but I think it's interesting. And I do think that there's a time when it would h…”
Jessica Lessin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 47:14 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Brit Morin: Apple design lead Alan Dye is leaving to join Meta
“Alan Dye, Apple's design lead. Is leaving the company and joining Meta.”
Brit Morin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 21:57 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 5, 2025 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Tim Cook's public statement signals Alan Dye is a major loss
“So Mark Garman at Bloomberg had the scoop and Tim actually had a statement on it, which I thought was highly unusual and is a sign of what a big loss it was for them.”
Jessica Lessin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 23:59 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Dec 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brit Morin: Apple will launch a sleeper hit hardware product in 2026
“That they will have one new HIT product next year. And I don't know if it's gonna be for the home, or something in the AR space, or something else, but I think there's a sleeper product that's gonna happen next year.”
Brit Morin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 17:10 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
Dec 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Brit Morin predicts Apple will acquire a major AI company like Anthropic
“Speaking of Apple, I think they come back next year, both in the AI realm, like they're going to make either one big acquisition, like an topic.”
Brit Morin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 16:43 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Open-source AI hacks will drive users to Apple and Google
“What's going to happen at some point is someone's going to come out with one that's great. Right. And it's open and whatever, and it's free. And then you're going to be, and it's going to be totally controlled by like some hacker network that's going to do ter…”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 13:54 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Jan 16, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Trusted big tech brands will beat startups in AI agent wars
“So like, I actually think when you think about the AI wars, which happens a lot, what's gonna happen is like in order to do good stuff beyond the like, you ask it a question or a chat bot, you give it access to such a level of scary security stuff, that the pe…”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 12:34 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 13, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple's low AI CapEx positions it to win decentralized AI
“The irony of all this is kind of plays to Apple's hands in a weird way, right? Like I have to say I am a perennial Apple hater. I love how little they're spending on CapEx. I think it's the greatest thing ever.”
Sam Lessin Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 35:35 Why OpenAI Can't Win The Decentralized AI Future (OpenClaw, Apple's Win, X.AI Exodus) · More or Less Podcast
Feb 20, 2026 positive
Opinion
Dave Morin: Perhaps Only Apple Can Deploy Personal AI to Edge Devices
“Perhaps only Apple has the technology and the ability to deploy personal AI to, you know, the edge, I guess onto people's personal devices. Because that's their business.”
Dave Morin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 9:33 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
Feb 27, 2026 positive
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Apple's restraint on AI CapEx is a great move
“I hate Apple, but Apple's lack of CapEx has made me start liking them, because it's just so great. They're like, fuck you, no CapEx.”
Sam Lessin Feb 27, 2026 ▶ 44:39 Apple, OpenAI & Why Nobody Makes Money in AI | The SaaS Apocalypse · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026 positive
Opinion
Morin: Apple and Google have the only working AI business models
“They're like the only ones in AI, other than, I guess, Google, that's executing a business model in AI that actually works.”
Dave Morin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 21:12 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
Mar 6, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Morin: Edge inference is Apple's unique competitive advantage in AI
“It's super clear that Apple is focusing on inference at the edge. I mean, we've been saying this, I've been saying this for You know, I don't even know how many podcast episodes now, but you know, this is their unique advantage.”
Dave Morin Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 20:20 Fire Sam Altman, The End of Software Engineers, and Why AI Is All Narrative · More or Less Podcast
Mar 20, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Morin: Apple blocks vibe-coding apps over Guideline 2.5.2, not Xcode protection
“It's also not about protecting Xcode, right? There was some sense, I think, in that article that potentially this is about protecting Xcode. I don't think it is. Apple's always allowed like React Native and Flutter and like all these different sort of develope…”
Dave Morin Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 45:10 Nvidia’s GTC Was “Taylor Swift for Straight Men” (Apple, OpenAI, and OpenClaw News) · More or Less Podcast
Mar 20, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Apple requires BitRig to display server-generated code in Safari
“So what we've done at Bitrig, we've actually like done some of what you guys have talked about in that article. We, you know, went server side with it. Now you can generate code on a server in a virtual machine, and you can display that in a pop-up, right? But…”
Dave Morin Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 47:12 Nvidia’s GTC Was “Taylor Swift for Straight Men” (Apple, OpenAI, and OpenClaw News) · More or Less Podcast
Mar 20, 2026 negative
Opinion
Jessica Lessin: Apple Leverages Privacy Pretexts While Exempting Itself
“I also think Apple has a history of saying things are privacy related and then letting them do it and not letting other people do it. Ad targeting, for example.”
Jessica Lessin Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 50:40 Nvidia’s GTC Was “Taylor Swift for Straight Men” (Apple, OpenAI, and OpenClaw News) · More or Less Podcast
Mar 20, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: OpenAI and Major Apps Face Month-Long App Store Delays
“I heard that open AI and some of the bigger apps have been stuck in the queue for a month. For changes that are unrelated to VibeCode, it's just random changes unrelated.”
Dave Morin Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 49:02 Nvidia’s GTC Was “Taylor Swift for Straight Men” (Apple, OpenAI, and OpenClaw News) · More or Less Podcast
Mar 20, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Ex-Apple team's vibe coding app BitRig is blocked since November
“We have a company that we're very close with and working on called BitRig. This is the co-founders of actually Swift UI, which is one of the best Apple frameworks in the Swift world. So a bunch of ex Apple, it's a whole ex Apple team. They're world-class engin…”
Dave Morin Mar 20, 2026 ▶ 44:13 Nvidia’s GTC Was “Taylor Swift for Straight Men” (Apple, OpenAI, and OpenClaw News) · More or Less Podcast
Apr 10, 2026 neutral
Insight
Morin: Adopting AI coding tools is like moving up the compiler stack
“We're kind of like just moving up the compiler stack again.”
Dave Morin Apr 10, 2026 ▶ 41:26 Vercel CEO: 70% of Our Traffic Is Now AI Agents "Nobody Was Prepared" | Anthropic, OpenClaw, OpenAI
Apr 24, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple plans for John Ternus as CEO, Tim Cook as Executive Chairman
“This is a transition plan with John Ternus, who we should talk about, taking over as CEO, and Tim Cook staying on as executive chairman, and him taking on some of the going to the White House diplomatic kind of roles.”
Jessica Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 13:23 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Apr 24, 2026 neutral
Prediction Held up
Jessica Lessin: Apple Will Not Hire an External CEO
“They're not going to run a search and hire a CEO from another company to run Apple, unless they're like covering.”
Jessica Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 18:44 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Apr 24, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Cook staying executive chairman allows him to retake CEO role
“If you're executive chairman, then if shit goes wrong, you can step back in. Yeah. It's not a full transition.”
Sam Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 15:47 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Apr 24, 2026 negative
Opinion
Morin: Apple Cannot Pick a Software Leader as CEO
“Like you can't choose the software people. They are not under the same timelines and same pressure that drive the fundamental business of Apple on a global basis. And so you have a very narrow set of internal choices that you can choose from.”
Dave Morin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 21:13 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Apr 24, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Dave Morin: Cook's executive chairman role represents an Alphabet-style structural shift
“The CEO job that John Ternus is inheriting is not the CEO job that Tim Cook inherited. Like, this is more of an alphabet moment, I think, for Apple. Like this is a three trillion dollar, four trillion dollar company that is, you know, has an enormously importa…”
Dave Morin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 14:37 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Apr 24, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jessica Lessin: Tim Cook Will Still Direct Apple's China Strategy
“I think it will still be very much a cook call, you know, how they're deciding, what are they doing with their manufacturing? What are they doing with their China business”
Jessica Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 19:51 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
Apr 24, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tim Cook has told confidants for years he wants to step down
“Tim had been telling everyone he knows how tired he is for years, and how he doesn't want the job anymore, and how exhausting it is.”
Jessica Lessin Apr 24, 2026 ▶ 19:01 What Tim Cook’s “Executive Chairman” Move Really Means | Musk vs OpenAI, xAI and Cursor Rumors
May 15, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Dave Morin: The Mac mini is the breakout AI device of the year
“The Mac mini. The Mac mini is the breakout AI device of the year.”
Dave Morin May 15, 2026 ▶ 17:17 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
May 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Dave Morin: 512GB Mac Studio sold out immediately upon OpenClaw launch
“The Apple's Mac Studio, for example, at 512 gigs sold out immediately when OpenClaw launched and has never come back into stock because you want to be able to load an entire model into memory”
Dave Morin May 15, 2026 ▶ 11:50 Google's AI-First Laptop, Meta's Spy Games, AI Monks in Middle America · More or Less Podcast
Jun 12, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Redesigned Siri Will Be First Advanced AI for Most Consumers
“I would expect that actually a lot of people switch to using this or actually that it's their first experience with advanced AI in their everyday life.”
Dave Morin Jun 12, 2026 ▶ 4:51 Apple’s New Siri, SpaceX’s $300B IPO & the AI Company Killing Its Own Brand · More or Less Podcast
Jun 12, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Apple's Foundation Models Are Actually Distilled Google Gemini Models
“And what it looks like they've done here is just taken, you know, state of the art Gemini models, both the on-device local flavor, as well as the cloud flavors and distilled them for their own purposes into these, you know, quote, Apple foundation models. Whic…”
Dave Morin Jun 12, 2026 ▶ 6:20 Apple’s New Siri, SpaceX’s $300B IPO & the AI Company Killing Its Own Brand · More or Less Podcast
Jun 12, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple's Ban on Self-Modifying Apps Forced Dev Tools Off iPhone
“No, actually, they are no longer focused on the iPhone because Apple will not allow you to create an iPhone app that modifies itself after being downloaded, which, you know, makes sense actually, but it's shifted the entire strategy of not just this company, b…”
Dave Morin Jun 12, 2026 ▶ 1:57 Apple’s New Siri, SpaceX’s $300B IPO & the AI Company Killing Its Own Brand · More or Less Podcast
Jul 31, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Morin: OpenClaw Partnered With Apple on Custom Mac Studios
“We've actually now worked in partnership with Apple to develop a bunch of Mac studios in custom configuration That is enabling us to unblock our engineering team's ability to be, you know, extremely productive.”
Dave Morin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 35:06 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Jul 31, 2026 negative
Opinion
Lessin: Apple Evolved Into the Most Centralized Company in the World
“It's a political movement for decentralization that became the most centralized company in the world.”
Sam Lessin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 26:22 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
Aug 7, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Ex-Apple employees almost certainly took IP to OpenAI
“I think both are almost certainly true in that I am sure that it is true that people lifted a bunch of IP out of Apple on their way to OpenAI.”
Sam Lessin Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 33:22 Jeff Dean Leaves Google, Airtable Sells, and the Bag-Securing Era · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lessin: Apple is internally extremely confused organizationally on AI
“Apple internally is extremely confused organizationally on AI. There's a lot of reasons they're having trouble moving forward on it.”
Sam Lessin Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 16:16 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 14, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Stanford: Apple and Google block independent developers from accessing Wi-Fi location
“Apple and Google or Android have both locks Wi-Fi location. You cannot access it as a developer.”
Scott Stanford Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 15:29 Special Edition MOL with Josh Wolfe, Rachel Holt, Scott Belsky, Scott Stanford, and Peter Deng. · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 negative
Opinion
Jessica Lessin says the Apple Intelligence launch largely missed its intended mark
“It felt like they had the Apple AI, Apple intelligence launch that largely did not pan out in the way they wanted it to”
Jessica Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 44:57 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 negative
Opinion
Apple easily deflects child safety and age verification blame onto Meta
“On the kids stuff, they get to blame. I mean, the stuff like the, like, age verification stuff will be It's so easy for them to do, but somehow it's Facebook's problem. Like, they're pretty good at pushing off blame to others.”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 35:25 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Apple's custom silicon shift is this era's most important strategic tech decision
“Like the system on a chip, the SOC decision, I think will go down as one of the most strategically important technology decisions that happened in Silicon Valley in this era.”
Dave Morin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 46:10 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Apple risks a Nike-style decline if it relies solely on supply chain
“This is my being really cynical snarky, but the cynical snarky take is in about 15 years, you can supply chain optimize the hell out of a company and make stock go way up, but then Apple better figure out how to not be Nike, right, and come up with the innovat…”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 40:54 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin bets Apple will dominate in 10 years avoiding AI capex
“So I'm going to bet that it's kind of one of these accidental genius moves, right? Which is that he goes down in history and Apple looks Fucking great, because they avoided a incinerator box of cash, and they're gonna be on top in 10 years.”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 49:08 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Sam Lessin algorithmically screenshots his son's iMessages all day to bypass Apple
“And like, by the way, you know, I have a desktop, like sitting in my computer in my room where I just like logged into my son's iMessage account. And I've sit there and fucking screenshot it all day long algorithmically. Cause there's no APIs to it. So I can p…”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 34:19 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
Aug 28, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Apple is no longer TSMC's largest client
“But they're no longer TSMC's biggest client.”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 50:59 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
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