AI industry

7 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 5 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement May 2, 2025 by Sam Lessin · across every show →

Everything said about AI industry, oldest first

May 2, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Sam Lessin: AI Is a Terrible Business with Almost No Monetizable Patterns
“I think the answer is almost none of them, and I think AI is a terrible business.”
Sam Lessin May 2, 2025 ▶ 18:36 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
Sep 26, 2025 neutral
Insight
Lessin: AI mega-deals are about raw power dynamics, not dollars
“It's actually not about the dollars and cents. It's literally about this, like, meta power game of thrones.”
Sam Lessin Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 31:23 #118 Elon vs Altman: The $10B Capital War Reshaping Tech · More or Less Podcast
Nov 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin predicts a winner-take-all AI lockout outcome will not happen
“Well then to the point is there's no lock-in, right? It's like, it's always, the only thing that changes it, which is, was the original pitch, was that we're so close to this, like, game over nuclear style outcome that someone will get to first, and then there…”
Sam Lessin Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 1:01:05 OpenAI vs Google vs Meta: Business Model War · More or Less Podcast
May 22, 2026 negative
Insight
Dave Morin: AI's biggest hurdle is unusable UX for non-technical users
“The user experience is light years away from being easy enough for anybody that doesn't understand at a deeply technical level what's going on. And I think that's why you see only single digit millions people using things like cloud code and codex and, you kno…”
Dave Morin May 22, 2026 ▶ 18:53 Google I/O Just Killed SEO? Agentic Search, Universal Cart, and the New Web · More or Less Podcast
May 22, 2026 negative
Opinion
Sam Lessin: Sam Altman deliberately stoked AI fear to maximize funding
“The AI hatred narrative is partially just what it is. It's also, let's be honest, it's because Sam Altman in particular, but everyone leaned into it as marketing. This is so scary. This is so powerful. This is going to be like, it was a very explicit strategy …”
Sam Lessin May 22, 2026 ▶ 32:08 Google I/O Just Killed SEO? Agentic Search, Universal Cart, and the New Web · More or Less Podcast
May 22, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dave Morin: AI revenue misses over next 18 months will spur backlash
“And what I guess I'm saying is if anything goes wrong in the revenue execution path over the next 18 months and the retail is left holding the bag, it's going to be double hate. And that's very bad.”
Dave Morin May 22, 2026 ▶ 32:31 Google I/O Just Killed SEO? Agentic Search, Universal Cart, and the New Web · More or Less Podcast
May 22, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jessica Lessin predicts more AI companies in five years, not fewer
“Five years from now, when we're talking about AI, I think we're talking about more companies, not fewer.”
Jessica Lessin May 22, 2026 ▶ 38:34 Google I/O Just Killed SEO? Agentic Search, Universal Cart, and the New Web · More or Less Podcast
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