time horizon growth

1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Feb 27, 2026 by Joel Becker · across every show →

Everything said about time horizon growth, oldest first

Feb 27, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Becker: Halving AI Compute Growth Halves Algorithmic Progress and Milestones
“And both of them both of those components half when compute halves sort of trivially, because compute is halving, and algorithmic progress halves because compute is this important input, and compute halves, then you might expect time horizon growth to half. An…”
Joel Becker Feb 27, 2026 ▶ 36:12 Measuring Exponential Trends Rising (in AI) — Joel Becker, METR
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