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S-curve

also referred to as: s curve

2 statements across 2 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Jan 26, 2025 by William Beauchamp · across every show →

Everything said about S-curve, oldest first

Jan 26, 2025 negative
Insight
Beauchamp: ML model performance plateaus near human-level on an S-curve
“With machine learning, first of all, you see that the performance of the models follows an S-curve. So it's not like it just goes off to infinity, right? And the S curve, it kind of plateaus around human level performance.”
William Beauchamp Jan 26, 2025 ▶ 9:39 Outlasting Noam Shazeer, Crowdsourcing Chai AI w/ 1.4m DAU — with William Beauchamp, Chai Research
Feb 13, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roucher: Visual AI models will likely jump the reasoning S-curve in 2025
“But as with text agents, we've really found that we made a jump on the S curve with reasoning models. I think it's going to be the same with the next visual models, basically better base models just allow you to jump over this S curve. And probably I think it'…”
Aymeric (Emmerich) Feb 13, 2025 ▶ 21:21 smol agents are all you need
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