algorithmic progress
2 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Feb 27, 2026 by Joel Becker · across every show →
Everything said about algorithmic progress, oldest first
Feb 27, 2026 bearish
Becker: Halving AI Compute Growth Halves Algorithmic Progress and Milestones
“And both of them both of those components half when compute halves sort of trivially, because compute is halving, and algorithmic progress halves because compute is this important input, and compute halves, then you might expect time horizon growth to half. An…”
Feb 27, 2026
Becker: Algorithmic Progress in AI Is Strictly a Function of Compute
“The suggestion in this paper is that if you think that algorithmic progress, you know, that, that is coming up with the transformer, coming up with RLHF, you know, MOEs, all of this stuff, better learning rate schedules is, is is itself a function of compute b…”