why aren't all 24 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Brockman: Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I Agreed OpenAI Needed For-Profit Structure
“Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I all agreed. That the only path forward for OpenAI, the only path to achieve the mission, was to create a for-profit entity associated with OpenAI of some form. And so we were committed to that direction, and that is something that we kne…”
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Research shows cellular epigenetic aging damage can be reversed
“And what we've discovered is that there are ways to, well, we discovered one of the main causes of scratches, that's broken chromosomes, which happens all the time in our bodies. Extreme cell damage also does that if we crush nerves. But we've also figured out…”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: Canada's 3% Population Growth Outpaces 1% Housing and Healthcare Growth
“The liberals have been bringing in a million people a year, growing our population almost three percent while our housing stock grows by one percent. Our job market grows by about the same and our availability of doctors and nurses grows by about That one or t…”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: Canada gave Stellantis $15B while Stellantis cut Canadian jobs
“And we've seen it with the Stellantis deal, where we're in for fifteen billion dollars, and Stellantis is cutting jobs in Canada. Fifteen billion dollars for one company. That works out to almost a thousand dollars for every Canadian family in taxes for a comp…”
Assertion Supported
Dick's Destroyed $5M in Guns and Accepted $250M Annual Sales Loss
“After Parkland in 2018, where the shooter had bought a shotgun at Dix, Ed made a decision that would cost at least two hundred and fifty million dollars annually. No more assault rifles. No firearms to anyone under 21. They destroyed five million dollars in ex…”
Assertion Supported
Deel planted a spy at Rippling who tried to flush their phone
“Like in the tech world, we're seeing a very interesting story play out between Rippling and Deal, which are these two payroll processors, and Deal planting a spy, and the spy, like, running into the bathroom, and then trying to flush a phone.”
Assertion Supported
Johnson: 70% of therapists treating couples lack actual couples therapy training
“Because the fact of the matter is, 70% of mental health professionals in North America say they seek Couples now, because the demand is huge, and most of those people have not been trained in couples therapy.”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: University of Ottawa Hired Convicted Paris Terrorist as Professor
“The University of Ottawa had hired a guy as a professor who had committed a terrorist attack in Paris before he came to Canada.”
Assertion Supported
Poilievre: Bill C-75 mandates releasing accused under least onerous conditions
“Bill C-seventy-five is the liberal bail law, and it requires judges release the accused under, quote, the earliest opportunity under the least onerous conditions.”
Prediction Held up
Wolfe: AI will generate full feature films without actors or crew
“One of our companies, Runway ML, you can, and there's others that you can conjure. Today it's 10 seconds, but tomorrow it'll be two minutes, and full feature films with no key grips, no lighting, no costume design, no set design, no actors, and voices entirely…”
Assertion Supported
Research Disproves the Claim That Yelling Causes Children Lifelong Trauma
“This is their idea that anything we do to get, anytime you yell at a kid that can traumatize a kid, that injury, emotional injury can be with them for a lifetime. It's not true. It's not what the best research has shown”
Assertion Supported
Studies Show Kids Excluded From Social-Emotional Learning Have Lower Anxiety
“Researchers in Australia and England actually tested this, separate groups of researchers, and they were able to show that the kids in the control group who didn't go through these practices ended up happier, better adjusted, better in, in terms of depression …”
Assertion Supported
NIMH Protocols Exclude Parents While Asking 8-Year-Olds About Suicide
“And it was created by our National Institute of Mental Health. This is a federal government agency, and they decided, and this is part of the protocol, kids age eight and up, they asked the parents to leave, and then they asked the children five escalating que…”
Assertion Supported
CDC Research Shows Normalizing Suicide Discussions Increases Youth Suicide
“The CDC has great research on this, which is that if you present, if you normalize suicide with kids, if you present it as a means of coping with distress, you know, basically telegraphing, this is something other kids are doing. When they feel sad, you consta…”
Assertion Supported
Sinclair: Data Shows Carnivore Diet Does Not Promote Long-Term Longevity
“I'm convinced and the data shows it from population studies that a carnivorous diet isn't a longevity producing diet in the long run, right?”
Assertion Supported
Huberman: 1mg Melatonin Is ~100x Natural Secretion and Suppresses Puberty
“What you take in terms of one milligram melatonin, very small dosage, something like a hundred times what you naturally secrete. I get really concerned about this, especially in kids because melatonin is actually the hormone that suppresses the onset of pubert…”
Assertion Supported
Barrett: No universal physical signature exists for any studied emotion
“In fact, there is no universal physical signature for any emotion that's ever been studied.”
Assertion Supported
Johnson: 70% of North American therapists see couples without specialized training
“The fact of the matter is, 70% of mental health professionals in North America Say they see couples now, because the demand is huge, and most of those people have not been trained in couples therapy.”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: A child would wait 700,000 years in a car before abduction
“There are about a hundred people, a hundred kids abducted a year in the United States by strangers. At present rates of abduction, you'd have to leave your kid alone in a car in a parking lot for 700,000 years before they would probably be abducted.”
Assertion Supported
Markham: Children face higher abuse risks when an unrelated male moves in
“When a new man comes on the scene in a child's life, a new man is now with their mother, their risk of being abused or in fact being killed in childhood goes up.”
Assertion Supported
Gawande: Spinal surgery for pain provides no average benefit at nine months
“In, ah, back surgery, we have a bunch of studies showing that when you do back surgery for pain, spinal, spinal surgery for pain as opposed for, as opposed to for neurological symptoms where you have actual nerve damage. But when it's for pain, the average peo…”
Assertion Supported
Oakley: Research Shows Visual and Auditory Learning Styles Are Scientifically Groundless
“There was a excellent study done by a woman named Beth Rogoski and what she did was she took one of the standard tests to kind of analyze a very widely used test that is used to distinguish an individual as to whether they're a visual learner or an auditory le…”
Assertion Supported
Type 2 Diabetes Is Reversible Without Drugs via Low-Carb Diets
“Even type two diabetes was irreversible. Once on insulin, always on insulin, basically, until you get taken down by the side effects. And now people are showing that on these diets, and maybe others as well, but they're showing that this is a reversible diseas…”
Assertion Supported
Exercise and Dancing Outperform Psychotherapy for Treating Mild to Moderate Depression
“And the reason is, is they've measured things. You know what better for mood, for mild to moderate depression than psychotherapy or antidepressants? Dancing. Yeah. Exercise. Dancing.”