The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 355 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Liemandt: Alpha Fifth Graders Beat Wharton MBAs on Teamwork and Leadership Assessments
“We have quantified all the metrics on the life skills, right? So I know it's not just, oh yeah, our kids have grit, or oh, they're good public speakers. I'm like, no, everybody in our class scored 95% on RI, and every fifth grader beat a Wharton MBA in teamwor…”
Liemandt: Alpha Pays Middle Schoolers $1,000 for Top 1% Academic Performance
“So in our middle school, we'll pay any kid a thousand dollars to become top one percent.”
Tenev: Robinhood does not have any business with hedge funds
“We don't really have any business with hedge funds.”
Tangen: Buying before researching creates urgency and relies on pattern recognition
“Well, I did that quite a lot, and I think it's, why do you want to do that? Well first of all, you, if your gut feel is good, and, you know, people don't believe in gut feel if you call it gut feel. If you call it pattern recognition, more people believe in it…”
Ovitz: Businesses should strive to eliminate competition rather than co-exist
“And I'm a monopolist. I believe in Peter Thiel's theory on monopoly. I don't believe that you should have competition. They have to be eliminated. That's the American way, in my opinion. Everyone says there's always room for competition. I don't think there's …”
Ovitz: Forced wokeness put Hollywood's content business in its worst state ever
“I think it contributed to the demise of the content business in Hollywood right now. I think the content business is in the worst place it's ever been, and I think this forced wokeness Has not been productive.”
Poilievre: There is no need for government-provided media
“There's no need for government to be the provider of media.
when people can, you have a, this is a media outlet right now.
Why is it that you need the government to do what other people, with people, free citizens,
Can do for themselves.
And the answer is tha…”
Poilievre: Post-national policy and mass immigration divide Canadians along foreign lines
“And what we've allowed to happen over the last decade is that the government has said the Canada has no national identity. We're a postmodern, post-nationalist state, and there's nothing that binds us together. And as a result of that and mass migration on lev…”
Poilievre: Canadian Government Will Cut Foreign Aid
“And, you know, I, I've said very clearly, I will be cutting foreign aid.”
Poilievre: Canada's 3% Population Growth Outpaces 1% Housing and Healthcare Growth
“The liberals have been bringing in a million people a year, growing our population almost three percent while our housing stock grows by one percent. Our job market grows by about the same and our availability of doctors and nurses grows by about That one or t…”
Poilievre: Temporary foreign workers are paid below prevailing wages and suppress employment
“There are temporary foreign workers who are making less than the, in reality, less than the prevailing wage and driving wages down and jobs out.”
Poilievre: Canada should eliminate the Temporary Foreign Worker Program entirely
“Stop bringing in temporary foreign workers. Get rid of that program altogether.”
Poilievre: Eliminating Capital Gains Tax on Reinvested Capital Is Economic 'Rocket Fuel'
“There's also, I think, some very exciting things we can do, like get rid of capital gains tax. When you reinvest in Canada, the government's going to get its pound of salt one day anyway. Eventually you'll fully cash out and you'll want to enjoy Everything you…”
Poilievre: Northwest BC pipeline would generate $30B annually in exports
“You got one pipeline to Northwest British Columbia that the liberals blocked and that I'm pushing for that would move a million barrels and 30 a day and thirty billion dollars a year overseas. That would be the single biggest boost to overseas exports in the h…”
Poilievre: Canada gave Stellantis $15B while Stellantis cut Canadian jobs
“And we've seen it with the Stellantis deal, where we're in for fifteen billion dollars, and Stellantis is cutting jobs in Canada. Fifteen billion dollars for one company. That works out to almost a thousand dollars for every Canadian family in taxes for a comp…”
Poilievre: Bill C-11 lets CRTC manipulate social algorithms
“We've seen this government has been trying to concentrate more and more media power, whether it's through C-Eleven
Which allows the CRTC to manipulate social media algorithms to favor certain types of media”
Poilievre: Governments and pharma companies perpetuate the drug crisis for profit
“Governments, pharmaceutical companies, and a whole group of parasitical interest groups have created this crisis and perpetuated it.”
Poilievre: Anyone caught distributing over 40mg of fentanyl should receive a murder sentence
“So I, my view is anyone who's caught marketing or producing more than 40 milligrams, enough to kill 20 people, should be given a murder sentence.”
Management consulting gainshare agreements are a scam
“A game share agreement is a management consulting scam where you claim a certain percentage of the cost savings you identify in year one.”
Sutherland: Shareholder Value Focus Prevents Effective Innovation and Customer Investment
“The shareholder value movement's totally incoherent because over what time frame which shareholder... What are you optimizing for? It's a completely incoherent nonsense, which is very, very friendly to stock market analysts who want a ready supply of quarterly…”
Scilipoti: The AI Ecosystem Relies on Circular Financing Involving Nvidia
“NVIDIA invests in OpenAI, and NVIDIA is a supplier of chips to OpenAI. So it's all circular, what's going on here.”
Scilipoti: EBITDA Is the Mother of All Disastrous Financial Measures
“EBITDA is the mother of all disastrous measures.”
Diller: Google's search monopoly treats dependent web businesses like serfs
“Google, absolute monopoly on search, and all your traffic, I mean, at least half your traffic, if you were healthy, would come from people coming directly to you. But the other half, Without which you wouldn't be able to survive came from Google and Google ove…”
Diller: Cash payouts beat stock-based compensation for developed corporate enterprises
“For developed enterprises, it's not the best route. The best route is, to me, a much simpler one. If you create value working in a project, or you create value to whatever degree you create it, You should share in that value on a cash basis, meaning any time p…”
Diller calls using unvested equity handcuffs for employee retention "ridiculous"
“I've heard a retention arguments from time immemorial, decades of, well, we do this to retain people. I think that's ridiculous. You retain people, people stay in your enterprise because they like what they do, and there's opportunity there. A handcuff, so to …”
Dick's Destroyed $5M in Guns and Accepted $250M Annual Sales Loss
“After Parkland in 2018, where the shooter had bought a shotgun at Dix, Ed made a decision that would cost at least two hundred and fifty million dollars annually. No more assault rifles. No firearms to anyone under 21. They destroyed five million dollars in ex…”
Most successful startups operate exactly like cults in many ways
“I would say that most successful startups are like cults in many ways”
Deel planted a spy at Rippling who tried to flush their phone
“Like in the tech world, we're seeing a very interesting story play out between Rippling and Deal, which are these two payroll processors, and Deal planting a spy, and the spy, like, running into the bathroom, and then trying to flush a phone.”
A CEO's human remorse has never lost a company a court case
“In practice, I've never seen someone lose a case because the CEO expressed human remorse in And empathy, and that was the thing that made them lose in the courtroom.”
Evans: Claims that AI will produce bioweapons and kill humanity are idiotic
“Personally, like most people in tech, I think the idea that this is all going to kind of produce bioweapons and take over the world and kill us all is just idiotic. Like, I think it's just a bunch of kind of childish logical fallacies within that.”
Evans: OpenAI's weekly active user metric is deliberately misleading
“Now, OpenAI is doing weekly active users, and Sam Waltman was a social media startup founder. He knows this. It's a bullshit number.”
Evans: Opinions on Sam Altman among former colleagues are unanimously negative
“OpenAI Sam Altman is, I was going to say polarizing figure, but actually opinions about him tend to be fairly unanimous and tend to be fairly negative, like everybody who's ever worked with him quit.”
Evans: Tesla is just another Android phone maker in EV market
“What's happening is that cars are becoming Android with no iPhone, and Tesla is just selling, and in that metaphor, Tesla is just another Android phone maker, and they're competing with the whole Chinese industrial policy.”
Johnson: Biology rejects polyamory trends because human love is neurologically hardwired
“The New York Times writes articles about how Oh, romantic, love is changing, and, you know, we're all going to be polyamorous, or we're going to have hookups until we're 60, and it's all going to be great, and, you know, there's going to be lots of freedom, an…”
Johnson: 70% of therapists treating couples lack actual couples therapy training
“Because the fact of the matter is, 70% of mental health professionals in North America say they seek Couples now, because the demand is huge, and most of those people have not been trained in couples therapy.”
Paul Graham advised Petersen to never surrender his company to an executive
“He said that's like saying this other guy would be a better husband for your wife. Might be true, but like, don't act on it. Like, this is your company. You need to stay in there.”
VCs cannot provide useful business strategy advice to obsessive founders
“It's why, like, no investor ever gives me useful advice, really. Because like, I'm not, sure, they can about people and some high-level stuff, for sure, or capital markets, but like, Business, like, strategy? Like, how could they ever know my business better t…”
U.S. tariffs are causing Flexport customers to halt domestic manufacturing
“I haven't met anyone who said, oh, because of these tariffs, I'm gonna start doing production in the U.S. I've read some headlines on it, and they've done some White House announcements and things, but like, those aren't my customer base. And my customer base …”
Nooyi: Choosing to work from home limits promotional opportunities
“However, I'm also of the belief, Shane, that if you choose to work from home, male or female, I don't care. If you choose to work from home, you might also want to accept that your promotional challenges may be, your promotional opportunities may be limited.”
Exceptional high-performers do not maintain a work-life balance
“Outliers don't have work-life balance. They have standards that follow them everywhere.”
Hastings: Teachers will stop instructing and evolve into social-emotional motivators as AI teaches
“Well, the teacher will evolve to be a little more like a social worker and a motivator so they're not actually giving the instruction in that long-term case. All the AI is doing that, and they're doing the social emotional learning.”
Hastings argues government-run schools are the fundamental problem in American education
“I came to believe that the government running the schools was sort of the essence of the problem and that it would be better and more effective to have non-profits. Like, if you look at the university sector, you know, and all of our top universities, they're …”
Gil: AI Is Dramatically Under-Hyped Because Enterprise Adoption Has Barely Begun
“And so I think AI is dramatically under-hyped, because most enterprises have not done anything in it, and that's where all the money is, all the changes, all the impact is, all the jobs, everything, right?”
Gil: Employees should bring their professional selves to work, not their whole selves
“You actually should bring your professional self to work. You should bring the person who's going to be effective in a work environment and can work with all sorts of diverse people and be effective and doesn't bring all their morals and values and everything …”
Gil: Big tech operates like UBI for elite graduates doing little
“One argument I make sometimes is that big tech is effectively a big experiment in UBI, universal basic income, for people who went to good schools, right? You're literally just giving money to people for not doing very much.”
Gil: Big tech companies could cut headcounts close to 80%
“If you look at what Musk did at Twitter, Where they cut 80% or whatever it was. I wouldn't be surprised if you could do things that are pretty close to that at a lot of the big tech companies.”
Gil: The largest startup successes had solo or unequal founders
“If you look at the biggest successes in the startup world over time, they were either solo founders or very unequal founders. So that, and there's counter examples to that, of course, but that was Amazon, right? Jeff Bezos was the only founder. Microsoft, it w…”
Tan: Delegating without founder agency turns tech companies into political fiefdoms
“If
The founder and the CEO does not exercise agency, you know, then it's actually a political game, and then you have sort of fiefdoms that are fighting it out with one another, and the leader is not there, then you enter the situation where, ah, neither the l…”