Shane Parrish asks Nicolai Tangen whether he utilizes Stanley Druckenmiller's approach of buying a stock position before completing full diligence.
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“Well, I did that quite a lot, and I think it's, why do you want to do that? Well first of all, you, if your gut feel is good, and, you know, people don't believe in gut feel if you call it gut feel. If you call it pattern recognition, more people believe in it. But if your pattern recognition is good, and you see something that looks really interesting, The probability of that being a good investment is pretty high. Okay. It's like way over 50%. And by taking a position, you create some urgency in the research process.”
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More from Nicolai Tangen
Opinion
Tangen: Contrarians should do less AI and more real estate
“Well, I think the stuff to lean against if you really want to do the opposite of everybody else would be to, you know, do less AI related investments and more real estate investments.”
Tangen: Passive investing tends to perpetuate market bubbles
“The natives is that you will, I mean, they would typically perpetuate bubbles because with more passive money, they go into, you know, stocks which have done historically well and they perpetuate the moves.”
Tangen: Big investors fleeing real estate signals better times ahead
“And I see that a lot of big investors are reducing their exposures to real estate. So that's probably a good sign, right? That there are better times ahead.”
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