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interest rates

4 statements across 4 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Dec 11, 2018 by Adam Robinson · across every show →

Everything said about interest rates, oldest first

Dec 11, 2018
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Robinson: Metal traders haven't miscalled interest rate direction this century
“In fact, in the last 18 years, this century, Metal traders haven't been wrong once about the direction of interest rates, either to the upside or the downside.”
Adam Robinson Dec 11, 2018 ▶ 1:17:50 #47 Adam Robinson: Winning at the Great Game (Part 1)
Jan 23, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gaynor: Zero percent interest rates will not return for a long time
“But I think that the environment we've just lived through of essentially zero percent rates, that's just weird. There's no fundamental justification for that. And I think we'll look back on it as a, as just a very unusual episode, but we'll be looking back on …”
Tom Gaynor Jan 23, 2024 ▶ 57:52 Tom Gayner: Invest Like The Best
Oct 7, 2025
Assertion Supported
Panic of 1893: 500 banks failed and interest rates hit 75%
“Interest rates soared as high as 75%. 500 banks failed. 15,000 businesses went under.”
Shane Parrish Oct 7, 2025 ▶ 24:52 Hetty Green: The Witch of Wall Street [Outliers]
Feb 17, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tangen: Structural issues will probably keep interest rates higher
“I think there are some structural issues which mean that they probably will be A bit higher than they have been.”
Nicolai Tangen Feb 17, 2026 ▶ 2:21 The $2 Trillion Mind | Nicolai Tangen
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