The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Scholl: Boom will produce first Overture by 2026, test in 2027
“We're breaking ground on the plant to build it, and we will be in production by the end of 24. We'll have the first airplane in 26, and we'll start flight testing it in 27.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 37:04 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Prediction Partly held up
Vaynerchuk: 99% of current NFT projects will fail and collapse in price
“Yeah, I mean, I think 99% of the projects that are being launched right now are gold rushes, and they're gonna be projects that fail, and people are gonna buy tokens from celebrities, leagues, different things, and the price is gonna go down.”
Gary Vaynerchuk Aug 2, 2021 ▶ 54:36 Serial Entrepreneur: Gary Vaynerchuk
Prediction Partly held up
Proto will halve the price of its flagship ProtoEpic device within months.
“In the next several months, I will be able to cut that price in half.”
David Nussbaum Mar 28, 2024 ▶ 24:41 “Beaming” people anywhere in the world with David Nussbaum of Proto
Prediction Partly held up
C16's Palmless Oil Will Enter Food Products Within Two Years
“By the end of this year, we'll be in a handful of other personal care products, so think skin care and body care products, and other brands featuring Palmless as the sort of innovator, and within two years or so, we will be able to be in food products.”
Shara Ticku Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 39:12 Saving the f#$%ing rainforests with Shara Ticku of C16 Biosciences
Prediction Partly held up
Liedtke: Adidas may eliminate virgin polyester ahead of 2024 target
“From what I hear and what I read from what Adidas is still doing is they're honoring that, that target, and they may even exceed that and hit, hit it in an earlier timeframe.”
Eric Liedtke May 16, 2022 ▶ 10:36 HIBT Lab! UNLESS Collective: Eric Liedtke
Prediction Partly held up
Zimmer predicted Lyft would sell monthly subscriptions mixing human and autonomous rides
“In fact, what you'll be able to do is buy, you know, likely a miles plan from us, a monthly subscription to handle all your transportation needs. And over the next few years, some of those trips will be done by human drivers, and others will be done by autonom…”
John Zimmer Feb 13, 2017 ▶ 32:05 Lyft: John Zimmer
Prediction Partly held up
Walker: Sweet Paws by Five Dot Post will launch in every Petco
“We won three golden tickets at Walmart's open call, and in a few weeks, we're gonna be launched at every Petco nationwide, so.”
Jess Walker Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 9:30 Advice Line with Alexa Hirschfeld of Paperless Post
Prediction Partly held up
Hyman predicted Rent the Runway would reach 3,000 employees by 2019
“And before Rent the Runway, I had managed all of 10 people. And now my company has 1500 people and will likely have 3000 people by the end of next year.”
Jenn Hyman Nov 15, 2018 ▶ 12:38 Rent The Runway's Jenn Hyman At The HIBT Summit
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