why aren't all 17 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steve Ells: Robots will not displace restaurant cooking anytime soon
“And so the, your question, will robots displace that? I mean, maybe someday, but certainly not Not anywhere in the near future.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ells: Chipotle sold more carnitas after raising prices to use premium pork
“So, you know, I remember when I put Naiman ranch pork on the menu, I had to increase the price of the carnitas burrito, and I think it increased by about a dollar or something. And so in the world of fast food, that was just not understood. I mean, gotta remem…”
Assertion Supported
Ells: 52 people contracted E. coli during the 2015 Chipotle outbreak
“Over, over a one month period from basically mid October to mid November 52 people got sick with E. Coli.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steve Ells: Chipotle succeeded by ignoring industry demands for broader menus
“In the early days of Chipotle, when I presented the offerings, people said, well, Steve, you just, you're not offering enough to people. They want more variety. And I said, no, no, no, people can make all different kinds of combinations of the base ingredients…”
Assertion Supported
Ells: 25 to 30% of Greenhouse Emissions Come From Food
“And I come to understand that, you know, 25 or 30% or so of the greenhouse gases that we emit come from what we eat, and the vast majority of that comes from animal sources.”
Assertion Supported
Steve Ells: Fast-food industry turnover is typically around 165%
“One of the problems is that we see extraordinarily high turnover in the industry. I think it's something like a 165% is, is typical.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2033
Ells: Kernel will rely on human teams for at least the next decade
“There will always be a place, you know, for our teams to operate the kernel model for the foreseeable future, and I'm talking about the next decade at least, right?”
Assertion Partly supported
Ells: McDonald's invested around $360 million in Chipotle over seven years
“Over a seven-year period, I think they put in three hundred and sixty million dollars or so, but the majority of that was in the last couple of years.”
Assertion Supported
Steve Ells: Chipotle served over one million customers daily upon his retirement
“By the time I retired, 27 years later, I think we had well over a million customers a day.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chipotle Allowed Steve Ells to Launch Plant-Based Chain Despite Non-Compete
“No, I was speaking with Chipotle. Of course I have a non-compete in, in place, but I asked them, I said, well, what do you think if I started a plant-based restaurant, have nothing to do with Chipotle or the fast casual format that Certainly something complete…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ells: Chipotle combined Stars' culinary approach with Mission taqueria service format
“Well, the idea for Chipotle is a sort of a combination of food borrowed from stars and sort of a technique and a service format borrowed from the taquerias.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ells: I developed Chipotle's original menu the day before we opened
“The menu was developed the day before I opened.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ells: The first Chipotle location was profitable within months
“Oh, I was profitable in the first few months.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ells: Chipotle funded its second location mostly from cash flow
“So I think maybe he put in a little bit more money, but it was mostly cash flow that opened the second restaurant, and that opened about a year and a half later, and it opened up much busier than the first one.”
Assertion Partly supported
Ells: Chipotle's peak market valuation reached $21 billion
“Yeah, 21, twenty-one billion, I think, was the highest.”
Assertion Supported
Ells: My father invested $85,000 because I couldn't raise the money
“I was lucky to have a father who could invest 85,000 dollars in my first restaurant because I couldn't have raised that money myself.”
Assertion Supported
Ells: The first Chipotle was 850 square feet and $800 a month
“This was the first site we saw near the university of Denver campus. It was 850 square feet. It was in terrible condition. It needed a lot of work. I think the rent was 800 dollars a month or something like this.”