why aren't all 24 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Maldonado: Most retailers make more from slotting fees than product sales
“And these, you know, retailers, most of them, they make more, more money from slotting fees than they do from actually selling products.”
Opinion
Maldonado: Door-to-door selling is the best route for early food startups
“Knocking on doors is going to be your best bet. Like hands down. I mean, if I could scale that with what I do, I would do that all day long. Cause I'm going to get the sale, man, every time.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Shift toward higher protein intake is permanent, not a fad
“People are changing the way they're dieting and eating, and they're educating themselves, and that's not going away, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Co-founder Rashid Ali stayed part-time until Chomps hit $20M revenue
“I went full-time first. I think we were doing in like the four or 500,000 range, and then Rasheed didn't come on until we were doing like twenty million. So it was a big, like, big gap.”
Insight
Maldonado: Getting onto retail shelves is easy compared to post-launch execution
“You selling to the retailer and getting out on the shelf is the easy part. That's when the work starts.”
Insight
Maldonado: Single-unit owner-operator franchises have a higher chance of success
“If you're going to franchise, it should be that person's day job. I think that's probably critical to the success of any franchise. If you look at like the Chick-fil-A model where they allow, allow them to Own one unit. I think that's a really, that's a good, …”
Prediction Held up
Maldonado: Chomps is approaching $500M in retail sales in 2024
“We'll do somewhere around the, we're approaching the half a billion dollar mark in retail sales this year.”
Insight
Maldonado: CPG startups must target incremental customers, not incumbent giants
“I still would never even think about trying to compete with the big guys in the space. Right. It just, it doesn't work. And I would, we would, they would bleed us to death. Like it just wouldn't work. But the reason we've been successful is because we serve an…”
Disclosure
Maldonado: Chomps rejected Trader Joe's private-label deal to avoid managing two brands
“The specific ask, you know, they wanted us to do a private label product line firm, which would have been a huge undertaking for a small team like ours. It was just me and Rashid working full time, and it was hard enough to manage one brand, and as a private, …”
Insight
Maldonado: Emerging premium CPG brands should not compete on retail price
“With this type of product, one of the other things when you go into retail, don't fall into the trap of trying to compete on price. You are going to be the little guy coming into the space, lean into your story, lean into the premium aspects of the products an…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Trader Joe's first Chomps PO was for 1.1 million sticks
“It was. 1.1 million sticks. And you know, when we saw that first PO, like that's where I was like, this is it. This is what's going to put us on the radar. It's going to change everything. And it was larger than the previous year altogether in a single PO.”
Assertion Supported
Maldonado: Chomps exceeded $100 million in revenue
“We're going to be exceeding the, we have exceeded that, that nine figure range of revenue.”
Insight
Maldonado: CPG founders must pitch retail buyers on incrementality, not cannibalization
“One of the stories that, that Rashid and I were able to get with chomps, it was from the data that we had was incrementality, meaning we're bringing new customers to the set. You need to be able to find a way to tell that story to the buyer, because they need …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Chomps once received a single purchase order for 1.1 million sticks
“1.1 million sticks. And it was larger than the previous year altogether in a single PO.”
Assertion Partly supported
Maldonado: Search Trends for Grass-Fed Beef and Keto Saw Hockey-Stick Growth
“So I started using these tools and looking at grass fed, like the search terms for grass fed beef delivered, any type of search term that was all related to that. So paleo, keto, all of those. And every single one of these search terms were just like an absolu…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Chomps found co-packers by tracing USDA legends on competitor packaging
“Each one of these meat sticks has the USDA legend on there. So we had a whole list of people to contact. And then we found one specific one in Missouri, in this very small farm town called Green Top, Missouri”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Chomps still uses its original beef stick recipe today
“We landed on that original stick recipe that is the same exact recipe we use today, and it only took us a few tries.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Chomps raised Trader Joe's bridge financing from eight personal investors
“And we raised money from probably eight different investors that put up between a hundred to 200, a little more. Some of them had a little more.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Chomps exceeded Trader Joe's sales projections fivefold
“And Trader Joe's, they gave us some projections. They thought that we were going to do, and they kind of let us know their forecast. And we far exceeded the projections, I think by five times.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Chomps' core consumer base is over 70% female
“Our core consumer is over 70% female.”
Disclosure
Maldonado decided to drop out while changing business professor's flat tire
“I made that decision literally as I was changing this guy's tire that I was done with college.”
Disclosure
Maldonado: Stuck with millions in loans during Florida real estate crash
“At my rock bottom, it was a couple million in loans that I ended up getting stuck with.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Frozen Fitness investor pledged $250K but only invested $60K
“He agreed to putting in 250,000. He actually put in, I believe, 60,000.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maldonado: Chomps received 10 to 20 daily orders in year one
“It was a handful, right? Like, 10, 20.”