why aren't all 22 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
SpotHero's board voted to pivot into on-demand valet parking
“And there was actually a vote to pivot the company to be on-demand valet.”
Insight
Why venture blitzscaling failed to disrupt the relationship-driven parking market
“And my point of view was, the parking industry was more about relationships. At the time, you know, 60, 70% of the dollars spent in parking were cash. It was a very, you know, old school group of folks that had, you know, set ways of doing things. And this ide…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpotHero's sales now exceed all digital parking competitors combined
“Yeah, I would say, like, we are the largest. Like, we have 1600 parking companies that we partner with, and when you look at, you know, the sales that we're doing, usually it's greater than all the others combined.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lawrence: SpotHero bookings plummeted 98% in April 2020, forcing 70% layoffs
“April was 98%. Yeah, May was 95. Whew. It was just an absolute brutal set of decisions to, you know, having to lay off you know, close to 70% of the company.”
What-if
Lawrence: SpotHero would have failed without a last-minute Series A wire
“If we didn't have that first wire, we would have been out of business, right?”
Insight
Why hybrid workers choose driving over public transit for commuting
“Public transit, you're used to the routine. You go in five days a week, you always take the train. You're coming in two days a week, one day a week. You're going to drive. You're going to drive, drive and park, right?”
Insight
SpotHero dominated Chicago by ignoring multi-city expansion distractions
“The number one key thing for why we beat them, all of the folks in Chicago. Is we were only in Chicago. Everyone else was distracted with all these other cities. Even the companies based in Chicago, they were focused outside of Chicago.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bullpen Capital warned SpotHero needed a San Francisco presence for Series B
“And bullpen capital, Who, you know, co-led our round, you know, their view was, you're not raising a Series B, and you're not going to be taken seriously if you're not in, in San Francisco.”
Assertion Contradicted
VCs poured $500M into on-demand valet parking startups
“Half a billion dollars went to fund companies that said we were the relic.”
Disclosure
Mark Lawrence used $6,000 in savings to start SpotHero
“So I was able to save money, and what's nice is I was able to use 6000 dollars of that to start Spot Hero.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpotHero is currently 3.5x larger than it was before COVID-19
“Right now, we are, you know, three and a half times larger now than we were pre-COVID.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpotHero acquired only 50 parking spots after one year of hustling
“Ultimately, even people that said yes, they might have moved, or they're like, I need my spot now, and we were able to get about 50 spots after about a year.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Y Combinator rejected SpotHero over an unproven technical cofounder relationship
“And the key reason they said no was because we had, we, they didn't believe that we knew Larry long enough. And they were like, it's a huge risk to have two business founders and a technical co-founder of which was such a new relationship.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lawrence: SpotHero and Parking Panda were the top two players in 2017
“And so, it was interesting because they were actually the number two at the time. They were the second largest at the time. And we were the first.”
Disclosure
SpotHero gave Techstars Chicago 6% equity for $50,000 in funding
“Yeah, so they got six percent of the business and we got 50,000 dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpotHero grew monthly sales from $5,000 to $80,000 between January and May 2012
“But I remember in 2012, sales ramped in, you know, January, February, March, April, May, from you know, 5000 a month to 80,000 a month in May.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lawrence: SpotHero and Parking Panda had only 5% to 10% overlap
“Yes, and that meant that together, the overlap was so low, there's literally going to be five percent, maybe 10% overlap, and that was a really great acquisition.”
Disclosure
SpotHero's initial take rate was 15% plus $0.99 per transaction
“So the fee was 15% plus 99 cents.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpotHero took nearly 18 months to reach $1,000 in monthly sales
“It took a year, almost a year and a half, to hit 1000 dollars Of sales in a month.”
Assertion Supported
Early SpotHero required customers to print dashboard emails to avoid towing
“Yeah, so I mean, there was definitely a lot of friction because the only way that it would work is you had to print out your confirmation. So you had to print out an email. So you had to have a printer. And so, you know, and if you didn't print it out and put …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpotHero sold out its first parking spot daily on Craigslist
“We would sell out his spot every day on Craigslist.”
Disclosure
SpotHero was originally conceived as the Airbnb of parking
“What we looked at is, we're like, there's all this parking that you can't have access to, and if we bring all of this parking supply, we're gonna start the Airbnb of parking.”