why aren't all 37 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Goldman used value-triggered equity grants to prevent founder dilution during fundraising
“He said, but what if instead you started the founders at the same place as the other investors, and only when the company grows in value do the founders get more equity? And that's was, it was a reverse structure. And what that did was it helped as we grew and…”
Insight
Goldman: Zero Industry Knowledge Was a Competitive Advantage for Honest Tea
“Having zero knowledge of the beverage industry in the beginning was actually a competitive advantage. Because we went in without any of the assumptions.”
Opinion
Skipping venture capital preserved Honest Tea's control and prevented premature exits
“So a lot of entrepreneurs in the venture capital mode is basically they're incentivized to own more of the company. They're incentivized to exit quickly. And we didn't take that kind of money. And I'm very glad we didn't. I think that was a key piece that let …”
Insight
Goldman: Lack of beverage experience was a competitive advantage for Honest Tea
“Having zero knowledge of the beverage industry in the beginning was actually a competitive advantage. Because we went in without any of the assumptions.”
Insight
Goldman: Structuring founder equity to vest on valuation growth prevents dilution
“What if instead you started the founders at the same place as the other investors, and only when the company grows in value do the founders get more equity? And that's was, it was a reverse structure. And what that did was it helped as we grew and we raised mo…”
What-if
Goldman: Adding sugar would have accelerated Honest Tea's growth but diluted brand
“Well, there's no question that would have led to faster growth, but it would have diluted what we were building.”
Assertion Supported
Goldman: Early Honest Tea investors earned a 26x return
“That's right, yeah. 26 times their early investment.”
Opinion
Goldman: Avoiding VC money helped Honest Tea maintain control
“So a lot of entrepreneurs in the venture capital mode is basically they're incentivized to own more of the company. They're incentivized to exit quickly. And we didn't take that kind of money. And I'm very glad we didn't. I think that was a key piece that let …”
What-if
Goldman: Adding sugar would have accelerated Honest Tea's growth but diluted brand
“Well, there's no question that would have led to faster growth, but it would have diluted what we were building.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Visram: Happy Family raised $550K seed round across 36 angel investors
“I think it was 36 people for 550,000 dollars, and Seth Goldman of Honesty was 2500 dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Happy Family raised $550k from 36 angels, including Seth Goldman
“I think it was 36 people for 550,000 dollars, and Seth Goldman of Honesty was 2500 dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Honest Tea voluntarily pulled all its products from every store in 2003
“So we voluntarily withdrew all product from the market. Every store. Yes. Everywhere. Not just Whole Foods. Everywhere.”
Assertion Supported
Honest Tea expanded from 15,000 to over 100,000 stores with Coca-Cola
“We were in 15,000 stores when Coke invested. Now we're in over a 100,000 stores.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldman: Honest Tea lost several hundred thousand dollars in 2003 recall
“Well, we were doing about 3,000,004 million dollars in sales, and it totally stopped our sales. So we lost several months of sales. So several 100,000 dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Honest Tea Became Top-Selling Tea in 17 Mid-Atlantic Whole Foods Stores
“But by the end of that summer, we were the best-selling tea in the 17 Freshfields Whole Foods stores in the Mid-Atlantic.”
Assertion Supported
Honest Tea was not profitable until its eighth year of operation
“Weren't profitable until the eighth year or so.”
Disclosure
Goldman: Honest Tea employee sweat equity created multiple millionaires
“Well, to me, what was so exciting was some of our employees were made millionaires as well, and that, to me, was, you know, that was all sweat equity that they earned, so that was especially meaningful.”
Assertion Supported
Whole Foods ordered 15,000 bottles after Goldman pitched with a thermos
“When I met with the buyer and I, we, Poured out samples from the thermos, showed him my empty Snapple bottle. With the Honesty Label, of course. And he had said well, look, this sounds interesting. We'll give it a try. We'll take 15,000 bottles”
Assertion Supported
Raz: Honest Tea Exceeds 1B Bottles Sold and $170M Annual Revenue
“By the way, the company has now sold more than a billion bottles of its beverage. It's now completely owned by Coca-Cola with annual sales of more than a hundred and seventy million dollars.”
Insight
Beverage brands need distributors to defend high-turnover retail shelf space
“Beverages are a high turnover product. And so as soon as a shelf empties of beverages, something takes its place. And so you need a distributor to be there to build and keep the shelf space protected.”
Assertion Supported
Honest Tea brewed its first batches using large pool filter bags
“So we ended up at a plant in Buffalo, New York that was making apple juice. Maybe it was a little down on its luck. It had some line time available, and they said, well, how are you going to brew the tea leaves? And so we brought in these mesh bags, these larg…”
Assertion Supported
Early Honest Tea angel investors saw a 26x return over ten years
“That's right, yeah. 26 times their early investment.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldman: Major food and beverage companies regularly tried buying Honest Tea
“Really, from the first year, we were, every year or so, we'd be approached by a major food or beverage company that wanted to buy us.”
Assertion Supported
Goldman: Coca-Cola grew Honest Tea from 15,000 to over 100,000 stores
“We were in 15,000 stores when Coke invested. Now we're in over a 100,000 stores.”
Disclosure
Goldman: Honest Tea recalled all product in 2003 over broken glass
“So in 2003 we had a delivery of glass that was faulty. And there were a lot of blisters in the glass. Literally, you could look at it and see little bubbles. And so we ran it on the production line, and the way the line works is that if it ever sees a defect i…”
Disclosure
Goldman: Honest Tea lost several hundred thousand dollars in 2003 recall
“We were doing about 3,000,004 million dollars in sales, and, ah, it totally stopped our sales. So we lost several months of sales. So several 100,000 dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Goldman: Coca-Cola's emerging brands unit approached Honest Tea in 2007
“Well, they approached us in 2007, and they had just created this group of venturing and emerging brands, And their goal was to invest in and build the next billion dollar brand for Coca-Cola.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldman: Honest Tea sale created employee millionaires via sweat equity
“Some of our employees were made millionaires as well, and that, to me, was, you know, that was all sweat equity that they earned”
Insight
Goldman: Beverage brands require distributors to protect high-turnover shelf space
“Beverages are a high turnover product. And so as soon as a shelf empties of beverages, something takes its place. And so you need a distributor to be there to build and keep the shelf space protected.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldman: Honest Tea became top seller in 17 Whole Foods stores in summer 1998
“Our marketing effort was me and two interns giving out samples in Whole Foods stores, and we gave out more samples than we sold. But by the end of that summer, we were the best-selling tea in the 17 Freshfields Whole Foods stores in the Mid-Atlantic.”
Assertion Supported
Goldman: Honest Tea brewed initial commercial batch using pool filter bags
“We ended up at a plant in Buffalo, New York that was making apple juice. Maybe it was a little down on its luck. It had some line time available, and they said, well, how are you gonna brew the tea leaves? And so we, Brought in these mesh bags, these large mes…”
Disclosure
Goldman: Honest Tea was not profitable until its eighth year
“Weren't profitable until the eighth year or so.”
Assertion Supported
Goldman: Whole Foods bought 15,000 bottles after pitch using empty Snapple bottle
“When I met with the buyer and I, we poured out samples from the thermos, showed him my empty Snapple bottle.
[498] Guy Raz: With the Honesty Label on it?
[499] Seth Goldman: With the Honesty Label on it, of course.
[501] Seth Goldman: And he had said well, lo…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Visram: I cold-called Honest Tea founder Seth Goldman
“Like, I cold called Seth Goldman.”
Assertion Supported
McCain Campaign Criticized Obama in 2008 for Drinking Honest Tea
“There was a moment in 2008. President Obama had become an honest tea drinker, I guess, at the campaign for 2008. And the McCain campaign had criticized him for being, you know, out of touch with the American people.”
Assertion Supported
Raz: Honest Tea surpassed $170M in annual sales under Coca-Cola
“By the way, the company has now sold more than a billion bottles of its beverage. It's now completely owned by Coca-Cola with annual sales of more than a hundred and seventy million dollars.”
Disclosure
Goldman: Honest Tea CEO salary stayed under $100k for five years
“My first year salary was at 50,000. Literally, I took that 50,000 dollar check and it was even, it was tax inefficient because I invested in the company and then I paid myself. I don't think I got over a 100,000 and for, probably not for the first five years.”