why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Dubin: Incumbents sue startups primarily to scare off capital and potential acquirers
“That's a playbook that big competitors, big incumbent competitors can do, you know, to make you look unattractive to capital, to make you look unattractive to potential acquirers.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dyson: Vacuum makers rejected bagless cyclone to protect paper bag profits
“And one or two of them said they actually rather like selling paper bags. It's like, you know, Gillette selling a razor blade. They can make a lot of money out of bags. So, essentially, they were curious, but didn't want to license it.”
Insight
Dubin: Incumbents sue startups specifically to scare off investors and acquirers
“That's a playbook that big competitors, big incumbent competitors can do, you know, to make you look unattractive to capital, to make you look unattractive to potential acquirers.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
The majority of customers in every Harry's cohort have remained subscribers
“Every cohort of customers since the beginning of Harry's, the majority of customers who try Harry's stay with Harry's.”
Assertion Supported
Gillette held an effective monopoly on razors when Dollar Shave Club launched
“This is, you know, Gillette at the time had, you know, an effective monopoly on this particular consumer product in this category.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dunn: Warby Parker and Harry's succeeded by price-disrupting incumbents
“If you think about why, why did something like Warby Parker work or Harry's work? It's because they price disrupted Luxottica and Gillette respectively.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Razor blade prices were historically inflated by an effective monopoly
“There is a single player that really dominates this industry. And that was also true of Warby Parker. And one of the reasons why prices were so inflated is that there was effectively a monopolist.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gillette was one of the most profitable CPG companies ever built
“Before they sold, they would report their, you know, kind of financials. They were like one of the most profitable CPG companies ever built.”
Opinion
Gillette held an effective monopoly when Dollar Shave Club was founded
“Gillette at the time had, you know, an effective monopoly on this particular consumer product in this category.”
Assertion Supported
Osher: P&G divested Spinbrush to clear Gillette antitrust hurdles
“Well, what happened is they, three years into it, they were trying to buy Gillette, and Gillette owned Oral-B and Braun. And the deal was being held up because the tooth, the oral B and the spin brush were a monopoly. It was well over 50% of all the toothbrush…”
Assertion Supported
Gillette held a massive 70% global market share in the shaving industry
“Gillette globally had, you know, 70% market share, like truly insane.”
Disclosure
Harry's evolved its corporate vision from a single brand to a next-generation P&G
“The vision really evolved from, hey, we're gonna build, you know, a next generation Gillette or a next generation Old Spice, you know, from a Harry's brand standpoint to, hey, we're gonna build a next generation, you know, Procter & Gamble. Like, we wanna, we …”
Assertion Supported
Gillette sold to Procter & Gamble for over $50 billion
“Gillette who had dominated the industry had sold to Procter and Gamble for like over fifty billion dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vaynerchuk: Gillette paid VaynerMedia $60,000 for an early project
“Gillette paid us 60,000 dollars for a project, and we thought that was a trillion dollars.”