The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

3statements match

0resolved → 3open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030

Electric planes will outnumber gas-powered planes in the air by 2030

“By 2030, you'll see more electric airplanes in the air than gas powered airplanes.”

Kyle Clark Aug 24, 2023 ▶ 34:11 Electrifying aviation with Kyle Clark of BETA Technologies

Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029

Shufelt: Non-alcoholic beer will account for over 50% of beer consumption

“In my head, I think it's going to be over 50% of beer.”

Bill Shufelt Nov 18, 2024 ▶ 1:00:56 Athletic Brewing Company: Bill Shufelt

Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028

Ben-Shitrit: Redefine Meat will become the world's biggest meat company

“We started saying to everybody, we're going to become the world's biggest meat company. This is what we're going to do. And if you're the world's biggest meat company, you're not selling the technology. You're selling meat.”

Eshchar Ben-Shitrit Sep 28, 2023 ▶ 25:48 When your dinner is printed with Eshchar Ben-Shitrit of Redefine Meat

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The Ledger

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