Rod Canion

2 appearances on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

45statements → 28claims → 21claims resolved → 95%fully supported → 3.96/5average certainty → 1.56/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 3said about them ↓

20 supported 0 partly supported 1 contradicted 3 not yet assessed 4 not checkable as stated how the 28 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

28 assertions · 1 opinion · 4 insights · 8 disclosures · 4 what ifs · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 28 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 21 are resolved, 3 are not yet assessed, and 4 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Rod argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Canion: Compaq legally reverse-engineered IBM's ROM without infringing patents
“You know, we had reverse engineered the ROM following advice from top notch intellectual property lawyers. So we were very careful around that. Their product was not protected by patents in any other way.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 13:13 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
IBM's 1987 PS/2 computer launched without running any existing PC software
“Because this thing not only didn't run all the software, it didn't run any of the software.”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 22:05 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
100% certainty 3
95% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Rod Canion on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Rod Canion said on How I Built This that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Canion: Founding a company gives no inherent right to run it
“And just because you started the company doesn't give you any right to continue to run the company. You know, it needs to be run by somebody that can make good decisions and can manage that complex an operation.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 29:48 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Disclosure
Compaq stockpiled inventory instead of doing layoffs when IBM attacked
“We're going to keep building these things. We're going to store them and wait for the orders to come. If the orders never come, yeah, we're in deep trouble, but you know what? We're in deep trouble anyway if the orders don't come.”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 17:46 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Insight
Canion: Founding a company gives no right to keep running it
“And just because you started the company doesn't give you any right to continue to run the company. You know, it needs to be run by somebody that can make good decisions and can manage that complex and operation”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 29:25 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
What-if
Canion says Compaq would never have sold to HP under his leadership
“The leaders of those companies maintained enough control to make sure that it never got into the hands of somebody that looked at it just purely from a financial standpoint. If I had been there, if I had been leading the company, we would never have sold. We w…”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 32:08 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Insight
Canion now attributes 90% of Compaq's massive success to pure luck
“If you had asked me that in the eighties, let's say the late eighties, I would probably have said it was 90% intelligence and insight and work and 10% luck. But to tell you how perspective changes with time, I would say today it was the other way around.”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 32:43 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Assertion Supported
Canion: Compaq legally reverse-engineered IBM's ROM without infringing patents
“You know, we had reverse engineered the ROM following advice from top notch intellectual property lawyers. So we were very careful around that. Their product was not protected by patents in any other way.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 13:13 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Canion: Unsold Compaq computers filled 20 tractor trailers across Houston in 1984
“When that filled up, we borrowed space in friends' parking lots around the town, and by mid-February, we had about 20 of these trailers full of computers sitting around Houston.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 18:35 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Canion: Compaq outsold the IBM Portable eight to one in 1984
“I think by the end of the year, we were outselling it, ah, seven or eight to one.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 20:02 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
What-if
Canion: Compaq would never have sold to HP if I led it
“If I had been there, if I had been leading the company, we would never have sold. We would have figured out a way to solve the problem.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 32:42 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Assertion Supported
The original IBM PC was unprotected and legally reverse-engineered by Compaq
“And I knew that the IBM PC Was relatively unprotected. It would be a challenge, but it could be reverse engineered legally, and we could make our computer run the same software.”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 5:30 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Assertion Supported
By late 1984, Compaq outsold IBM's competing portable computer 7-to-1
“I think by the end of the year, we were outselling it seven or eight to one.”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 19:39 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Assertion Supported
A fierce disagreement over Asian outsourcing led to Rod Canion's ouster
“The chairman of the company, Ben Rosen, thought we ought to move very quickly and so quickly that, in fact, we ought to go buy a product from a Taiwanese or a Japanese or a Korean supplier. And my argument was, look, it's not what it seems. We can get to marke…”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 27:28 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Assertion Supported
Canion: Compaq generated $111 million in sales in its first year
“We sold one hundred and eleven million dollars worth of compact computers.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 14:30 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Assertion Supported
Canion: Compaq tripled revenue to $329 million in its second year
“And, ah, we tripled to three hundred and twenty-nine million in our second year.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 20:09 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
What-if
Canion: IBM could have easily put early Compaq out of business
“They could have easily put us out of business if they had come out with a real comparable product.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 20:52 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Assertion Supported
Canion: Compaq doubled sales to $1.2B with desktop 3x faster than IBM
“The thing that took us from six hundred million in 86 to 1.2 billion in sales in 87, we came out with our own desktop, which was, ah, essentially three times faster than IBM's desktop for about the same price and began to establish ourselves as not only the po…”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 21:07 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Assertion Supported
Canion: Ben Rosen wanted Compaq to outsource low-cost PCs to Asia
“The chairman of the company, Ben Rosen, thought we ought to move very quickly and so quickly that, in fact, we ought to go buy a product from a Taiwanese or a Japanese or a Korean supplier. And my argument was, look, it's not what it seems. We can get to marke…”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 27:51 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Opinion
Canion: Compaq's success was 90% luck and 10% hard work
“If you had asked me that in the eighties, let's say the late eighties, I would probably have said it was 90% intelligence and insight and work and 10% luck. But to tell you how perspective changes with time, I would say today it was the other way around.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 33:06 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
What-if
Canion admits IBM could have easily put Compaq out of business
“IBM maybe underestimated us. They didn't really study what had made our product successful. They could have easily put us out of business if they had come out with a real comparable product.”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 20:24 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Assertion Contradicted
IBM's 1987 PS/2 computer launched without running any existing PC software
“Because this thing not only didn't run all the software, it didn't run any of the software.”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 22:05 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Disclosure
Severe burnout led Rod Canion to subconsciously guide his own firing
“I guess under the stress I was under and kind of gotten into this frame of mind where I need to get away, the disagreement over the low-cost speed to market was just the catalyst that, that allowed it to happen. I almost guided it to the point where I was goin…”
Rod Canion May 22, 2017 ▶ 28:29 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion
Insight
Canion: Silicon Valley founders were not smarter, they just took action
“One of the First things we realized is, gee, these guys are having fun, they're making a ton of money, and, you know, they're not any smarter than we are. They just, they're just out doing it themselves.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 3:03 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Assertion Supported
Canion: Early PC brands each required separate versions of popular software
“Every different brand of computer had to have its own version of the popular software programs.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 5:40 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)
Disclosure
Canion: Kleiner Perkins agreed to fund Compaq a week after pitching Doerr
“We went in to, ah, meet with John Doerr, and we spent a good morning, probably three or four hours, being questioned, and sure enough, ah, about a week later, ah, we got a call that they were willing to invest, and so it was a go.”
Rod Canion Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 7:32 Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019)

Show 21statements(21 left)

The other half of the tape: Rod Canion's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 3 times in 3 episodes on How I Built This. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Guy Raz 3

Every mention by year

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0011112017201820192020episodesmentions
0112017201820192020episodes it came up in
000.50.5112017201820192020episodesmentions per episode
2020 1 mention in 1 episode
2018 1 mention in 1 episode
2017 1 mention in 1 episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Compaq Computers: Rod Canion (2019) Mar 25, 2019 20m
Compaq Computers: Rod Canion May 22, 2017 20m
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