carbon removal

12 statements across 6 episodes · 4 bullish · 2 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Dec 6, 2022 by Julio Friedman · across every show →

Everything said about carbon removal, oldest first

Dec 6, 2022 neutral
Insight
Friedman: All carbon removal pathways work, but none are scaled
“All of those approaches work. They're all sound, but they have different price points. They have different durability. They have different customers. They have different regulatory frameworks, because they're happening all over the world. They're happening at,…”
Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 18:23 A breakout year for carbon removal?
Dec 6, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Brose: UN science requires 10 to 15 gigatons of carbon removal annually
“So, if I recall my UN science appropriately, we need probably 10 gigatons, that's ten billion tons per year of carbon removal in, say, twenty-fifty. And then, You know, you add or subtract that depending on how, how you think we're doing with decarbonization o…”
Raphael Brose Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 12:13 A breakout year for carbon removal?
Aug 23, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Bowman: DOE Targets $100 Per Ton Inclusive Carbon Removal Cost
“The Carbon Negative Shot program is actually a really important DOE initiative because it looks to deploy a suite of carbon removal solutions to reach a hundred dollars per metric ton of carbon removed. So that's an all-inclusive cost.”
Savvy Bowman Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 18:39 As debate over carbon removal swirls, America steps up funding
Aug 23, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Bowman: Global Direct Air Capture Capacity Sits at 7,000 Tons Annually
“DAC is actually currently Hovering around 7000 metric tons annually globally.”
Savvy Bowman Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 8:33 As debate over carbon removal swirls, America steps up funding
Aug 23, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bowman: US On Track to Reach 1B Tons Carbon Removal by 2030
“I'd like to think that by the end of the decade, We're gonna see even more wins because of these catalytic mechanisms that have paved the way for American innovation to really take the forefront. We are on track to reach that first billion metric tons.”
Savvy Bowman Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 21:31 As debate over carbon removal swirls, America steps up funding
Jan 17, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Kra: Many DAC startups lack a credible pathway to $100 per ton
“I think eventually investors are going to look at, do you have a credible path to getting to like a hundred bucks a ton? Of removal. And I think there's a large number of players who don't have a credible pathway to getting there, even if you make big assumpti…”
Gabriel Kra Jan 17, 2024 ▶ 36:07 Venture investors riff on headwinds, hype, and wildcards of 2023
Jun 3, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: Carbon removal will become an industrialized sector in its own right
“I'm definitely a believer in the fact that we have to augment reduction with removal, both the engineered and the nature-based systems for hem carbon removal will and will need to become an industrialized sector in their own right.”
Mark Patel Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 28:06 A macro view on the state of climate tech
Feb 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lacey: Freezing federal contracts will deter investment in nuclear and CDR
“It's contradictory to this idea of energy abundance, and so there's, like, very little strategic thought to these actions, and I think it could be extremely detrimental to bringing in investment for the set of technologies that this administration does want.”
Stephen Lacey Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 14:55 Open Circuit: Jigar, Katherine, and Stephen are back
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Microsoft most commonly rejects carbon removal projects for being too early
“The most common way we say no to a project is because it's too early.”
Phil Goodman Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 18:51 Inside Microsoft’s plan to remove 50 years of carbon emissions
Dec 12, 2025
Insight
Carbon removal contracts must differentiate between biological and industrial project profiles
“A reforestation project may have a much longer, naturally would want a longer term because if you look at tree growth cycles, you'd have carbon credit generation over a long period of time. Whereas an infrastructure style BEX project kind of needs a fixed, you…”
Phil Goodman Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 6:36 Inside Microsoft’s plan to remove 50 years of carbon emissions
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Disclosure
Microsoft offers short-term contracts for early-stage carbon removal projects
“We vary our contracting in two big ways. So if the project's ready for scale, we will work through a long-term off-tick agreement that's modeled off a PPA. If the project is not ready for scale yet... We'll sign a shorter form agreement.”
Phil Goodman Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 23:30 Inside Microsoft’s plan to remove 50 years of carbon emissions
Dec 12, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Reaching gigaton-scale carbon removal will require significant public government procurement
“There will definitely be a moment for government demand. I think when you look at the IPCC numbers for five plus gigatons, five to 10 gigatons of carbon removal, you need public procurement to play an essential role of that.”
Phil Goodman Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 32:25 Inside Microsoft’s plan to remove 50 years of carbon emissions
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