Julio Friedman

Chief Scientist, Carbon Direct · 1 appearance on the record.

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scientistexecutiveauthoracademic@CarbonWrangler ↗carbon-direct.com ↗

Julio Friedmann is the Chief Scientist and Chief Carbon Wrangler at Carbon Direct. He previously served as Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for the Office of Fossil Energy at the U.S. Department of Energy and conducted research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and Columbia University.

11statements → 7claims → 5claims resolved → 80%fully supported → 4/5average certainty → 2.27/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated →

4 supported 1 partly supported 0 contradicted 2 not checkable as stated how the 7 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 5 assertions · 2 opinions · 2 insights · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 7 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 5 are resolved, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Julio argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported

Friedman: Study found half of Indian wind offset projects were non-additional

“There was a study done recently in India. They found half of the wind projects that were built there were not additional at all. That means half of them were just nothing. The other half were credible avoided emissions.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 19:07 A breakout year for carbon removal?

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Julio Friedman on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

What they said11 Episodes1

Everything Julio Friedman said on the Green Blueprint that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Friedman: Climate governance will see Article 6 completely collapse

“I think we will begin to see new laws and new protocols, everything from the revisions to the London Convention of the Sea to Article VI's complete collapse and dissolution.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 32:39 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Friedman: Carbon removal will necessarily become the largest market in human history

“The carbon removal market will necessarily be the biggest market of all human history”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 22:07 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Opinion

Friedman: Scaling carbon removal requires oil and gas industry skills

“Not just the injecting CO₂ into the subsurface, which, like, they're the only people who know how to do that, Pulling together a two billion dollar project. That's something energy companies do kind of all the time. Putting together the capital stack. Managing…”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 29:37 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Insight

Friedman: All carbon removal pathways work, but none are scaled

“All of those approaches work. They're all sound, but they have different price points. They have different durability. They have different customers. They have different regulatory frameworks, because they're happening all over the world. They're happening at,…”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 18:23 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Assertion Supported

Friedman: Study found half of Indian wind offset projects were non-additional

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 19:07 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Assertion Supported

Friedman: Direct air capture costs roughly $600 per ton

“Direct air capture, say, is on the order of 600 dollars a ton. A good biochar project might be on the order of 150 dollars a ton. A good biomass with carbon capture project might be between 153 hundred dollars a ton.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 24:13 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Assertion Partly supported

Friedman: IPCC carbon removal target equals total global oil and gas volume

“All of the oil and gas that has moved around the world is about five billion tons. That is the minimum amount of CO₂ removal that the IPCC says we need.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 22:16 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Insight

Friedman: Carbon removal deployment is primarily rate-limited by human capital

“We do not have the full complement of business and worker skills to deploy. And until we do, we're going to be rate limited by human capital first.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 26:06 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Assertion Supported

Friedman: US offers $180/ton incentive for direct air capture

“We have now a 180 dollars a ton for direct air capture incentive that is a few months old.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 28:54 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Opinion

Friedman: Inflation Reduction Act incentive stack is globally unparalleled

“The incentive stack that is in the Inflation Reduction Act is unparalleled by any nation, anywhere.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 30:27 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Assertion Supported

Friedman: High-quality nature-based carbon removal costs $20 to $35 per ton

“Right now, the nature-based solutions that are good are the lowest cost. They are ranging in price between, say, 20 and 35 dollars for the good stuff.”

Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 23:46 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Appearances (1)

Episode	Date	Speaking time
A breakout year for carbon removal?	Dec 6, 2022	15m

Julio Friedman

The record, in short

Their most notable supported claim

How they sound: not measured why? →

Appearances (1)

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