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Raphael Brose

Principal, Engineered Carbon Removals, Microsoft · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

executiveoperatornegativeemissionsplatform.org ↗

Broze leads procurement and strategy for Microsoft's engineered carbon dioxide removal portfolio, evaluating technical pathways from direct air capture to enhanced rock weathering. He co-authored an analysis in Nature on Microsoft's carbon-removal purchases and serves on the board of the Negative Emissions Platform.

5statements → 5claims → 4claims resolved → 50%fully supported → 3.6/5average certainty → 1.6/5average debate potential →

2 supported 2 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not checkable as stated how the 5 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

1 prediction · 4 assertions · every statement was checked. The prediction and assertions are the 5 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 4 are resolved, and 1 names no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Raphael argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Brose: Microsoft carbon removal project burned in Bootleg Fire
“And one of the projects that we purchased from in 2020 burned in the bootleg fire, and so that risk went from a theoretical number on a page, you know, two percent risk of reversal over the project lifetime to, well, it happened, and was that reversal risk the…”
Raphael Brose Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 7:15 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
50% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Raphael Brose on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Raphael Brose said on the Green Blueprint that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Supported
Brose: Microsoft carbon removal project burned in Bootleg Fire
“And one of the projects that we purchased from in 2020 burned in the bootleg fire, and so that risk went from a theoretical number on a page, you know, two percent risk of reversal over the project lifetime to, well, it happened, and was that reversal risk the…”
Raphael Brose Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 7:15 A breakout year for carbon removal?
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Brose: Engineered carbon removal supply will scale significantly between 2024 and 2027
“I think we should be seeing a lot more supply for engineered carbon removal in twenty-twenty-four, twenty-twenty-five, 26, and 27. Those are when we see the first first-of-a-kind, really large plants coming online, and that's when I think that supply is gonna …”
Raphael Brose Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 11:36 A breakout year for carbon removal?
Assertion Partly supported
Brose: Global carbon removal capacity is only 3 million tons per year
“Worldwide, we think the carbon removal market, carbon removal capacity per year is about three million tons. So we're off by 10,000 X.”
Raphael Brose Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 12:34 A breakout year for carbon removal?
Assertion Supported
Brose: Carbon removal pledges total $1.5B to $2B
“Altogether, you're talking one and a half, maybe two billion dollars in publicly pledged money. That doesn't include folks who are coming in out of the wings that, you know, that haven't announced yet.”
Raphael Brose Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 10:50 A breakout year for carbon removal?
Assertion Partly supported
Brose: UN science requires 10 to 15 gigatons of carbon removal annually
“So, if I recall my UN science appropriately, we need probably 10 gigatons, that's ten billion tons per year of carbon removal in, say, twenty-fifty. And then, You know, you add or subtract that depending on how, how you think we're doing with decarbonization o…”
Raphael Brose Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 12:13 A breakout year for carbon removal?

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
A breakout year for carbon removal? Dec 6, 2022 5m
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