TSMC

3 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 2 bearish · 2 people on the record · first statement Feb 12, 2026 by Ben Thompson · said 36 times in 7 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by John Collison (22), Reiner Pope (7), Scott Wu (3), Daniel Gross (3), Sundar Pichai (1)

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2026 29 mentions in 4 episodes 7 per episode
2025 7 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about TSMC, oldest first

Feb 12, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Ben Thompson: TSMC cut capex for two years following ChatGPT's release
“ChatGPT comes out. Every hyperscaler starts investing like crazy. What does TSMC do? They actually decreased their capex year over year, two years in a row. They did, they, there was no market response from TSMC to the ChatGPT moment.”
Ben Thompson Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 1:09:59 Ben Thompson from Stratechery on AI ads, the end of SaaS, and the future of media
Feb 12, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Ben Thompson: The tech industry faces a massive chip shortage around 2029
“I think we're looking at a massive short, shortness in chips in 20, 29 or so.”
Ben Thompson Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 1:10:21 Ben Thompson from Stratechery on AI ads, the end of SaaS, and the future of media
Feb 26, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pope predicts supply crunches across the entire AI hardware supply chain
“The supply chain we're gonna have crunches on, on all of the supply chain, really. So if you look at the, sort of, the big components of what any company, but like us, for example, build-out there is dependency on Logic Dies from typically TSMC, maybe Samsung,…”
Reiner Pope Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 18:54 Reiner Pope of MatX on accelerating AI with transformer-optimized chips
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