why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Nearly 60% of plant-based meat buyers are not substituting it for beef.
“What we hear from consumers is that about almost 60% of consumers who are buying plant-based meat are not substituting for beef. It's for a food other than beef, whether it's poultry, pork, seafood, eggs, non-meat, you know, pasta, pizza.”
Assertion Supported
Plant-based meat retail volume has suffered 33 consecutive months of declines.
“And what's happened since then is about, I think, 33 consecutive months now of volume declines. The category was down three percent in twenty-twenty-one. It was down eight or nine percent in twenty-twenty-two, and then this year so far in twenty-twenty-three, …”
Assertion Supported
Beyond Meat's fast-food pilots failed to stick, unlike Impossible at Burger King.
“I think Impossible has made some of the, you know, the stickiest gains, you know, with Burger King there. You know, I think Beyond Meat's been, it's been more disappointing, you know, in the sense that there were a couple of trials with you know, A&W up in Can…”
Assertion Supported
Frozen plant-based meat is currently outperforming fresh refrigerated products in retail.
“But what's interesting is if you look at frozen versus fresh, you've actually seen The frozen part of the category outperforming the refrigerated fresh part of the category.”
Assertion Supported
Plant-based meat household penetration is 20%, compared to 40% for plant milks.
“Right now, household penetration for plant-based meat is about 20%. You look at where household penetration is for plant-based beverages, you know, plant milk, it's about over 40%. And in Europe, you know, plant-based beverages have a penetration of 50%.”
Assertion Supported
Impossible Foods captured 11% of the retail plant-based meat market by 2023.
“I mean, you've seen impossible go from not even in the retail market, you know, three, four years ago to about a, you know, 10 or 11% share of the market right now.”
Assertion Supported
Morningstar Farms lost 10% market share as Impossible Foods entered retail.
“The bulk of that share has come at the expense of Morningstar, which is owned by Kellogg. You've seen Morningstar's share go from, you know, 30% leading the category to about 20% now.”
Assertion Supported
Plant-based meat commands a 20% to over 100% premium against animal meat.
“Depending on the level of price promotion and discounting, I mean, you can see plant-based meat anywhere from a 20 to 30% price premium per pound over animal meat all the way up to over double the price.”
Assertion Supported
Plant-based milks hold 15% retail value share but only 8% volume share.
“Yes, plant-based beverage is 15% value share of the category, but because it's priced at a premium, it's about an eight or nine percent volume share.”