Transformer
also referred to as: transformers
14 statements across 9 episodes · 1 bullish · 6 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement Aug 17, 2023 by Andy Lubershane · across every show →
Everything said about Transformer, oldest first
Aug 17, 2023 negative
Lubbershane: Distribution Transformer Prices Rose Up to 9x Between 2020 and 2023
“The average price for a 25 to 50 kilowatt transformer so pretty low level, something you would see at the edge of the electric distribution system increased by up to nine times from twenty-twenty to twenty-twenty-three. It used to pay, you know, 3500 bucks for…”
Feb 22, 2024 neutral
Feb 22, 2024 neutral
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Oct 16, 2025 bullish
Kann: Upstart hardware companies will help bridge the transformer supply gap
“I think there's going to be a wave of upstart companies, whether they're doing traditional oil-filled transformers or solid-state stuff like Heron is doing. I think they're going to fill in a lot of the supply gap in the next few years”
Jan 2, 2026
Jan 22, 2026 neutral
Jan 22, 2026 bearish
Feb 19, 2026 negative
Baglino: Utility-scale solar plant transformers fail at about 1.4% per year
“Transformers are not really designed to run at their rated power, you know, as long as they do in these Desert power plants, you know, where they're, first of all, very hot, because they're sitting in the sun, and second of all, because they're running at name…”
Feb 19, 2026
Baglino: Higher frequency linearly reduces transformer size and power electronics costs
“The best way to make power electronics Systems that involve isolation more affordable is go up in frequency, because to get isolation, you basically need to use a transformer of some type, and transformers become smaller as you go up in frequency. It's just a,…”
Mar 12, 2026 neutral
Kann: Lead times for gas turbines, transformers, and switchgear are 3 to 7 years
“The five to seven years is the timeline to get new gas turbines, if you're ordering them, and it's close to the timeline to get new transformers and other, and switchgear and stuff like that. Like, we're all in the, like, three to five or maybe seven year time…”
Mar 12, 2026 neutral
Elder: Off-grid setups partially bypass generation bottlenecks with modular equipment
“The off-grid option in some ways maybe shortcuts the actual supply chain bottlenecks on the generation equipment side, at least to some extent relative to the other options. But I agree with you, there's still a bunch of other pieces of equipment, transformers…”
Jun 18, 2026 bearish
Lubershane: Grid equipment costs 2-3x more and takes 3-5 years to deliver
“Anything you want to order today is probably going to take three plus years in the case of gas turbines, probably more like five years to be able to get your hands on. Anything you order today, whether it's a turbine or a transformer or just the, you know, alu…”
Sep 10, 2026 bearish
Lubershain: Grid equipment and gas plant costs have doubled or tripled
“Conductor is, like, twice as expensive. So, like, basic aluminum, steel-reinforced conductor. Transformers are two-plus times more expensive. Switchgear is two times more expensive. Gas power plants are two to three times more expensive.”