solar geoengineering

11 statements across 3 episodes · 3 bullish · 3 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jun 16, 2022 by Dan Visioni · across every show →

Everything said about solar geoengineering, oldest first

Jun 16, 2022 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Visioni: There are zero active solar geoengineering field experiments globally
“So there are absolutely no small scale or large scale experiments going on anywhere on the planet.”
Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 9:48 Making sense of solar engineering
Jun 16, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Visioni: 20 years will not be enough to scale CDR effectively
“I do not think personally that in the 20 years are going to be enough to scale CDR solutions in a really, in a way that would really make an impact.”
Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 37:20 Making sense of solar engineering
Jun 16, 2022 negative
Opinion
Visioni: Governance is the hardest challenge in solar geoengineering
“There's a lot of agreement over the fact that the governance part is actually the hardest part when it comes to solar geoengineering.”
Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 40:11 Making sense of solar engineering
Jun 16, 2022 positive
Opinion
Visioni: Solar geoengineering is probably better than unchecked warming
“It might still, and it probably is still going to be better than not doing than letting the warming just keep unchecked.”
Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 18:34 Making sense of solar engineering
Jun 16, 2022 neutral
Insight
Visioni: Solar geoengineering cannot fully replicate a low-CO2 climate
“By cooling with these methods or with any methods, we would not be just turning back the dial of time to a time where there was less CO₂, because the sulfates do cool differently than the CO₂ warps. And even if maybe we can try and get it as close as possible,…”
Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 18:00 Making sense of solar engineering
Jun 16, 2022 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Visioni: Rogue geoengineering planes could simply be shot down
“This could be another one of the things where it is maybe unlikely that a single actor could do it because, as one reviewer once pointed out to me, you can shoot the planes out of the sky.”
Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 42:15 Making sense of solar engineering
Feb 2, 2023 negative
Opinion
Kann: Backlash against unfettered solar geoengineering is probably the right move
“I think a swift regulatory or political backlash to, like, totally unfettered solar geoengineering is probably the right thing.”
Shayle Kann Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 11:44 Mailbag episode! Biotech, layoffs, battery recycling and more
Jul 1, 2026 positive
Insight
Yedvab: Safe geoengineering alternatives reduce the risk of rogue deployments
“I believe that having a safe option essentially lowers the risk That people will go the wrong way because there is an alternative. Or to say it otherwise, if we didn't have options, I would say that the likelihood that someone would go the wrong way would be m…”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 29:09 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Jul 1, 2026
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yedvab: 0.5 degrees of cooling costs $10 billion using Stardust particles
“So in, in terms of giving orders of magnitude or estimates, and we have a very detailed breakdown for every million tons of particles that will be Dispersed, the cost will be roughly ten billion dollars, and you'll get half a degree of cooling.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 24:31 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Jul 1, 2026 positive
Insight
Yedvab: Having no geoengineering options is worse than moral hazard risk
“I would argue that, you know, Having no option is not a good balance for this. You need to have options. You want to make sure that you are not stuck in a position that in 10 years from now, people are saying, why no one worked on, on giving us option?”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 35:31 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
Jul 1, 2026
Opinion
Yedvab: Global solar geoengineering requires only five to seven injection locations
“You'd probably like a few in the, a northern hemisphere, a few in the southern hemisphere. I would say two or three on each hemisphere, and maybe one around the equator. Should be enough.”
Yanai Yedvab Jul 1, 2026 ▶ 12:48 Inside the most sophisticated plan for solar geoengineering
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