climate tech

31 statements across 16 episodes · 11 bullish · 14 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Nov 11, 2021 by Ramez Naam · across every show →

Everything said about climate tech, oldest first

Nov 11, 2021 positive
Opinion
Naam: SPACs generated more upside for deep tech than other investments
“I think it's a fair case to be made that SPACs have generated more upside for deep tech in climate tech and in other sectors than they have for any other Type of investment”
Ramez Naam Nov 11, 2021 ▶ 36:55 Can 'deeptech' venture capital solve climate change?
Jan 10, 2022 positive
Insight
Hanson: Climate tech moats require fundamental science, not just rapid capital
“Like if you can build a company just by pouring, you know, capital on it in one or two years, I mean, you don't have a real moat. Maybe there's, you know, network effects and different things in software, but in climate tech, I mean, your moat comes from funda…”
Rob Hanson Jan 10, 2022 ▶ 35:26 Inside the Energy Department's loan deal to back hydrogen
Jan 18, 2022
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: Climate tech's next decade is electrochemistry vs. biology
“I think the greatest battle in climate tech over the next decade is going to be a race between electrochemistry and biology to solve our biggest climate problems.”
Shayle Kann Jan 18, 2022 ▶ 2:13 Microbes, meat and materials: biotech meets climatetech
Jan 18, 2022
Opinion
Kann: 80% of climate tech tasks require chemical or biological conversion
“Probably 80% of the things we need to do in climate tech can be solved either by biologically or electrochemically converting Thing X into thing Y.”
Shayle Kann Jan 18, 2022 ▶ 2:27 Microbes, meat and materials: biotech meets climatetech
May 19, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Multani: Market downturn reflects macro risk-off rotation, not climate-specific dislocation
“So you see this, you know, this dislocation in the market is not a climate tech dislocation. It's a it's candidly going from, like, risk on to seeing a lot of those, you know, risk on bets pull back. I mean, you're seeing it hit Everything from, you know, our …”
Saloni Multani May 19, 2022 ▶ 13:57 How will the downturn affect climate tech?
May 19, 2022
Insight
Multani: Decarbonization is fundamentally a capital stock turnover problem
“Climate is at its core a capital stock turnover problem where we need to deploy Ultimately, pretty low-cost capital. The corpus of it needs to be in order to turn over our brown infrastructure and make it green.”
Saloni Multani May 19, 2022 ▶ 5:42 How will the downturn affect climate tech?
Aug 5, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: IRA will impact climate tech like 2008 stimulus on steroids
“And there is absolutely no question in my mind that the Inflation Reduction Act, should it pass, noting that I am recording this before we know whether it will or not for sure, will be the same, but on steroids.”
Shayle Kann Aug 5, 2022 ▶ 2:32 What the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 would mean for climatetech
Aug 5, 2022 positive
What-if
Kann: Modern renewables would not exist at scale without 2008 stimulus
“I think it's pretty easy to make the case that most of what we see today in this space, certainly in the case of renewables, at least would not exist, at least not at the current scale. Had that bill not deployed billions of dollars across an array of technolo…”
Shayle Kann Aug 5, 2022 ▶ 2:17 What the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 would mean for climatetech
Feb 2, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kann: Tech Layoffs Accelerating Talent Migration Into Climate Tech
“There already was a big wave of talent coming from traditional tech into climate tech that was happening. It's been happening for years. There've been all these great organizations spun up specifically to help people who are, you know, really high caliber indi…”
Shayle Kann Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 23:03 Mailbag episode! Biotech, layoffs, battery recycling and more
Feb 2, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Kann: Climate Tech VC Funding Has Declined Slower Than Broader Tech
“What I will say is that I would say climate tech funding has been slower to decline than traditional tech funding in the venture world. So there was a quicker, bigger kind of turn, downturn in broader tech world than there was in climate tech.”
Shayle Kann Feb 2, 2023 ▶ 19:42 Mailbag episode! Biotech, layoffs, battery recycling and more
Mar 30, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Multani: Innovation economy will not return to 2021 market conditions
“I don't think the impact of rising rates on the innovation economy and climate tech is, is over. I think, again, I don't think we can expect that this will pass, and we're going to go back to what it was in 21, early 22.”
Saloni Multani Mar 30, 2023 ▶ 34:27 SVB, the banking crisis and climatetech
Jun 15, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Kann is skeptical LLMs will fundamentally change climate tech and energy
“I have generally been a bit more skeptical than most, I think, that it would change, fundamentally change at least, the things that I spend my professional time on, which is to say climate tech and energy.”
Shayle Kann Jun 15, 2023 ▶ 2:43 AI for climate: a real world test
Dec 21, 2023 negative
Opinion
Kann: No universal financing solution exists for FOAK climate hardware
“And yes, there have been some attempts at solutions here, but I would argue nothing truly scalable yet across technology types that has emerged and is a universal solution.”
Shayle Kann Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 3:34 Financing first-of-a-kind climate assets
Dec 21, 2023 bullish
Opinion
Yeh: First-of-a-kind project finance is a critical horizontal climate solution
“To me, I think one of the biggest climate solutions is FOC, which is a horizontal finance solution that can essentially be the one financial solution to help catalyze them all.”
David Yeh Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 7:25 Financing first-of-a-kind climate assets
Jan 11, 2024 positive
Insight
Zou: Climate tech success is graduating to project finance, not mega-rounds
“Specific to climate tech, it might not make sense to define success as an absolute dollar in venture investment, because at the end of the day, when we think about all this hardware and, you know, hard tech that needs to develop into projects, you want these c…”
Kim Zou Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 8:21 2023 climate tech venture investment trends
Jan 11, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Zou: Climate tech deal count fell only 3% in 2023
“Deal activity was only down three percent, so you could call that even a tapering relative to twenty-twenty-two rather than a significant decline, so Deals are still getting done. Early stage seed series A still getting done, but that absolute dollar amount th…”
Kim Zou Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 6:43 2023 climate tech venture investment trends
Jan 11, 2024 bearish
Assertion Supported
Zou: Series A climate investment dropped 41% in 2023
“Series A investment was down 41% compared to twenty-twenty-two. That's the first time we've seen series A investment drop since we started tracking the space, you know, four years ago.”
Kim Zou Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 10:33 2023 climate tech venture investment trends
Jan 11, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Khan: Most of the 40 climate SPACs were pre-revenue without commercial products
“I tracked at some point, I don't remember exactly what the number was, but like close to 40 companies that I would call climate tech companies that, that successfully merged with SPACs and de-SPACs became public companies. Most of them were pre-revenue and had…”
Shayle Kann Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 28:36 2023 climate tech venture investment trends
Jan 11, 2024 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Zou: Climate tech exits dropped 50% in 2023 as SPACs fell 80%
“It cut in half, so we tracked 50% less exits in twenty-twenty-three, and this was really driven by SPACs finally fizzing out. I think we started to see that happen towards the beginning of twenty-twenty-two but the count of SPACs were, climate tech SPACs were …”
Kim Zou Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 24:54 2023 climate tech venture investment trends
Jan 11, 2024 neutral
Assertion Supported
Zou: Climate tech venture funding fell 30% to $32B in 2023
“Thirty-two billion dollars in venture and growth funding globally in climate tech, which was a 30% decline from the prior year.”
Kim Zou Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 4:52 2023 climate tech venture investment trends
Jan 11, 2024 bearish
Assertion Supported
Zou: Food and land use climate investment fell 55% in 2023
“This time around, in 23, appetite for food and land use evaporated. There is a distaste for food and land use, in other words, and we saw that That sector was down 55% in investment to three billion this year.”
Kim Zou Jan 11, 2024 ▶ 15:31 2023 climate tech venture investment trends
Sep 12, 2024 negative
Insight
Lubershane: Capitalizing alternative tech in mature climate areas paralyzes deployment
“There are some areas, though, where I do think that the mousetraps we have are good enough, and actually are likely to get better incrementally on their own, such that funneling a lot of capital into trying to build a differently better mousetrap is probably a…”
Andy Lubershane Sep 12, 2024 ▶ 7:20 The better mousetrap fallacy
Jan 16, 2025 neutral
Insight
Fernandez: Proven climate tech remains unfinanceable until de-risked for infrastructure funds
“The challenge is the fact that these companies reach a point where the technology has been proven, but it has not been the risk in the eyes of large scale infrastructure capital, right? Whether that is Infra funds or project finance banks, right? So you need t…”
Mario Fernandez Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 6:55 FOAK tales
Jan 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
Kann: FOAK remains the only real valley of death in climate tech
“And listen, I think this remains today the real valley of death. There aren't really any other values of death at this point in my mind. The capital stack for climate tech companies is, is actually pretty strong, even in light of the market having shifted a fa…”
Shayle Kann Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 4:00 FOAK tales
Feb 27, 2025 negative
Insight
Datar: Venture capital is improperly subsidizing basic research in emerging tech
“It's a lot easier to be a private company raising VC money to do research, which is ultimately should just be basic research, because the stuff that's going to be competitive and on the market probably can't happen until that first research happens.”
Isha Datar Feb 27, 2025 ▶ 13:46 Cultivated meat’s “trough of disillusionment”
Mar 20, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: Physical AI will drive AI's main impact on energy and climate
“To the extent that there's going to be a big impact of AI on the energy sector, on climate tech, apart from its obvious impact on energy consumption, which we've already talked about ad nauseum here This area, physical AI, is where I think the impact is going …”
Shayle Kann Mar 20, 2025 ▶ 3:02 The coming robotics wave
May 1, 2025 negative
Insight
Schroepfer: Customers buy savings, making 'climate tech' a confusing category label
“I would actually say it even slightly stronger, which is we use this word climate tech like it's an actual good definition of a market segment. When we just talked about like, I sell products to consumers that save the money. I'll sell products to consumers th…”
Mike Schroepfer May 1, 2025 ▶ 14:15 Catalyst Live at SF Climate Week
May 1, 2025 bearish
Insight
Schroepfer: AI does not solve climate tech's manufacturing scale-up bottleneck
“AI for material science, great for discovering new materials. The manufacturing scale-up is usually the hard part. So great, I've got this new MOF. I've got to make a lot of it very cheaply. The AI doesn't really help me very much with that. Like, in theory, m…”
Mike Schroepfer May 1, 2025 ▶ 33:09 Catalyst Live at SF Climate Week
Sep 4, 2025 negative
Insight
Kann: Being green and more expensive is insufficient for climate tech demand
“The big lesson of the current state of affairs in climate tech is that in a lot of the subcategories of the market, Being clean, being green, whatever, is insufficient. Being ex but clean particularly if it's ex but clean and more expensive. Is just not eno…”
Shayle Kann Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 31:17 AMA: Geoengineering, nuclear, power prices, and more
Sep 4, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: Energy efficiency tech will make a roaring venture comeback
“We don't really talk about energy efficiency that much anymore, at least in like, you know, venture climate techie circles. But I think it might make a roaring comeback, actually, because rates are going to cause bills to become really painful for customers.”
Shayle Kann Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 11:40 AMA: Geoengineering, nuclear, power prices, and more
Sep 4, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Kann: The current climate tech downturn fell steeper than Cleantech 1.0
“One difference between this time and last time in my mind is that the fall from glory has been a lot steeper and faster, because it was really driven by a political change, the change in administration, and then the swiftness with which that new administration…”
Shayle Kann Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 26:52 AMA: Geoengineering, nuclear, power prices, and more
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