Great Financial Crisis

also referred to as: gfc

16 statements across 14 episodes · 5 bullish · 4 bearish · 14 people on the record · first statement May 21, 2018 by Ross Israel · across every show →

Everything said about Great Financial Crisis, oldest first

May 21, 2018 positive
Insight
Private Toll Road Traffic Foreshadowed the GFC by Four Months
“We went back and looked at, you know, that profile of traffic, and it fell off About three to four months before the GFC, it actually fell off a cliff, and it's sort of one of those things that within our wider QIC business we're becoming more aware of is the …”
Ross Israel May 21, 2018 ▶ 20:27 Ross Israel - Stable, Predictable Cash Flows (EP.53)
May 21, 2018 negative
Disclosure
Partner's Capital Constraints and Refusal to Dilute Stifled QIC's Port Deal
“That was, ah, so the lessons learnt, you know, we probably got the thesis right just before the GFC that, you know, there was going to be an opportunity, particularly in emerging markets, to add port concessions, and they did come up. Unfortunately, what happe…”
Ross Israel May 21, 2018 ▶ 19:47 Ross Israel - Stable, Predictable Cash Flows (EP.53)
Sep 9, 2019 negative
Disclosure
NZ Super Fund lacked liquidity visibility before the GFC
“We created that after the GFC. So going into the GFC, all of our stuff was outsourced, and we didn't have great views of almost anything, liquidity or risk or any of that.”
Matt Whineray Sep 9, 2019 ▶ 40:16 Matt Whineray – Leading New Zealand Super Fund (Capital Allocators, EP.108)
Apr 12, 2021
Assertion Supported
Liow: 68% of COVID job losses were low-wage, unlike the GFC
“68% of all jobs that are lost is low end wage versus 50% that was middle class in GFC.”
Yen Liow Apr 12, 2021 ▶ 1:06:57 Yen Liow - The Quest for the Right Tail at Aravt Global (Capital Allocators, EP.188)
Oct 20, 2022 positive
Opinion
Sommers: The 2008 Financial Crisis Was IR+M's Greatest Business Opportunity
“Shockingly, the great financial crisis was like the greatest business opportunity for us ever. After that, our assets grew the fastest they ever had over any ten-year period, and we got up to about seventy billion dollars in 17 and 170 colleagues, and since th…”
Jack Somers Oct 20, 2022 ▶ 12:09 Jack Sommers – Core Fixed Income at IR+M (Manager Meetings, EP.39)
Jun 19, 2023
Disclosure
Resnick: KSL stress-tests downside against GFC and COVID before modeling upside
“And now one of the things we look at a lot is, so how did something do during COVID? And before COVID, it was how did things do during the GFC? And we still have access to that data typically. So we've stress tested this industry incredibly significantly in th…”
Eric Resnick Jun 19, 2023 ▶ 48:35 Eric Resnick – Ski, Golf, and Vacation Investing at KSL (EP.322)
Aug 28, 2023 positive
Insight
Gordon: HCA buyout sat at leading edge of pre-GFC take-private wave
“Shortly after HCA, as the debt markets heading right into the GFC got really hot, there was a period of time where lots of different public to privates could happen and frankly did happen, but HCA was really on the very, very front Edge of that, and maybe you …”
Chris Gordon Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 21:49 Classic Deal: HCA – Chris Gordon, Bain Capital (EP.335)
Oct 21, 2024
Insight
Briner: Scale was the only way to survive post-GFC fee pressure
“The fee pressure, justifiably, given that no one really distinguished themselves during the GFC, was intense. So the only way to deal with intense fee structure is to get to scale.”
Brad Briner Oct 21, 2024 ▶ 18:34 Brad Briner - Family Office to Public Service (EP.413)
Oct 28, 2024 neutral
Insight
Sandler: Post-GFC stocks disconnect from fundamental value much longer
“What I noticed after the GFC was that stocks would trade at bigger disconnects to fundamental value for much longer than they used to, and we couldn't just count on the market to Correct things.”
Ricky Sandler Oct 28, 2024 ▶ 19:45 Ricky Sandler - Evolution of Long-Short Equity Investing (EP.414)
May 26, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Private equity distributions to investors hit lowest level since 2008
“Especially at a time where distributions paid in from existing funds are at the lowest level they've been at since the great financial crisis.”
Kristin Kolurgis-Roland May 26, 2025 ▶ 41:41 Kristin Kallergis Rowland – Alts at J.P. Morgan's Private Bank (Private Wealth 4, EP.447)
Nov 3, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
IG credit spreads are at their tightest levels since the late 1990s
“Spreads are super tight. They're tighter now than they were before the GFC in the investment grade world, which is mind blowing. Spreads tightened the tightest level since pre-long-term capital management in the late nineties.”
Jeff Aronson Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 39:14 Jeff Aronson – Building Centerbridge Across the Capital Structure (EP.468)
Nov 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lyon: COVID syndicated loan distress lasted 8 days versus 294 in GFC
“During COVID, syndicated loans traded below 80 cents for eight days. During the GFC, 294.”
David Lyon Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 30:06 David Lyon – Hybrid Capital Solutions for Private Assets (EP.471)
Nov 17, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Lyon: About 93% of pre-GFC CLOs generated positive equity returns
“I'm not a CLO guy, but something like 93% of the CLOs formed before the GFC had positive equity returns.”
David Lyon Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 1:05:44 David Lyon – Hybrid Capital Solutions for Private Assets (EP.471)
Nov 24, 2025
Assertion Supported
Kelly: BDCs Shifted from a Venture Model to Private Credit Post-GFC
“BDCs originally were created through a congressional act in 1980 as a way to bring capital into private businesses in the United States. The original BDCs back then was more of a venture capital model. It was really only after the great financial crisis that B…”
Mike Kelly Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 38:03 Michael Kelly – Democratizing Access to the Middle Market at Future Standard (EP.473)
Apr 6, 2026
Assertion Supported
MacDonald Was Fired After UVIMCO's Endowment Dropped 20% During the GFC
“I was at UVIMCO when the GFC hit. Our five billion dollar endowment went to four billion. As the guy with risk in his title, when you lose 20%, sometimes somebody has to take the fall, and I was that person.”
Bruce MacDonald Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 19:59 Bruce MacDonald – The Playbook for Building a Mid-Sized Endowment from Scratch (EP.495)
Jul 30, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hochfelder: Real estate trades below replacement cost for first time since GFC
“This is the first time since the GFC where we're seeing real estate values trading consistently below replacement cost.”
Lauren Hochfelder Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 40:35 Building Durable Real Estate Portfolios at Morgan Stanley – Lauren Hochfelder (EP.514)
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