ETF

also referred to as: etfs · exchange traded funds

31 statements across 21 episodes · 8 bullish · 9 bearish · 21 people on the record · first statement May 30, 2017 by Jeffrey Solomon · across every show →

Everything said about ETF, oldest first

May 30, 2017 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Solomon: Index volatility will spike massively when passive investors de-risk
“We will see index vol a spike at some point in my life. I'm a hundred percent sure. And when it does, we don't quite yet know how that, how far that will go, because we just don't know how deep people are going to de-risk. And when they do, they're going to se…”
Jeffrey Solomon May 30, 2017 ▶ 19:49 Jeffrey Solomon – Vision, Tenacity, and Empathy (Capital Allocators, EP.09)
May 30, 2017 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Solomon: Many ETFs Carry Major Liquidity Mismatches With Underlying Assets
“There are, in many ETFs, significant mismatches between the liquidity that the ETF promises and the underlying liquidity of the instruments.”
Jeffrey Solomon May 30, 2017 ▶ 45:36 Jeffrey Solomon – Vision, Tenacity, and Empathy (Capital Allocators, EP.09)
Oct 23, 2017 bearish
Opinion
Monk: Cap-weighted index fund diversification is fundamentally flawed
“And by the way, global diversification through index funds is a fake diversification. Index funds and ETFs are often calculated on a cap-weighted basis, which is a fundamentally flawed way to calculate indices.”
Ashby Monk Oct 23, 2017 ▶ 33:51 Ashby Monk – Asset Giant Futurist (Capital Allocators, EP.29)
Apr 23, 2018 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Active managers have three years to prove outperformance over passive ETFs
“So the industry basically has three years starting now to prove it can do it. If three years from now, we still have meeting an active manager below the ETF, the story will ride itself.”
Michael Cembalest Apr 23, 2018 ▶ 59:49 Michael Cembalest – Eye on the Market (Capital Allocators, EP.49)
Jun 11, 2018 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lydon: Self-directed ETF investors will likely panic sell in downturns
“And as far as self-directed investors who have invested in ETFs, maybe through robo-advisors and that type of thing, are they gonna stick with it? They should. We know historically they should over time. Are they going to? Probably not, right?”
Tom Lydon Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 21:05 Tom Lydon – ETF Trends (Capital Allocators, EP.56)
Jun 11, 2018
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lydon: Trading volume in inverse and leveraged ETFs has tripled
“Even though the asset growth in inverse and leverage ETFs haven't really kept up with overall asset growth in ETFs in general, it doesn't matter because when you look at the underlying volume, it's tripled.”
Tom Lydon Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 36:14 Tom Lydon – ETF Trends (Capital Allocators, EP.56)
Jun 11, 2018 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lydon: Asset managers pay premium valuations to acquire established ETF shops
“We're seeing a lot of M&A going on in the space already. There are a lot of managers who were late to the game, and rather than create it themselves, they'd want to go in and buy somebody. So it's hot right now, and managers are paying premium prices For estab…”
Tom Lydon Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 56:00 Tom Lydon – ETF Trends (Capital Allocators, EP.56)
Jun 11, 2018 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lydon: ETFs account for one-third of daily trading volume on high-volume days
“When you look at high volume days on the exchange and people talk about it, ETFs account for one third of the daily asset trading, right?”
Tom Lydon Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 27:03 Tom Lydon – ETF Trends (Capital Allocators, EP.56)
Jun 11, 2018 positive
Assertion Supported
Lydon: Very few of the 2,000+ ETFs pay year-end distributions
“Even with over 2000 ETFs that are out there, how very, very few have year-end distributions.”
Tom Lydon Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 28:34 Tom Lydon – ETF Trends (Capital Allocators, EP.56)
Jun 11, 2018 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lydon: Most ETFs were cap-weighted indexes until 2007-2008
“So up until 2007, 2008, most of it was pure cap weighted indexes and the low costs, the major market indexes that you would know.”
Tom Lydon Jun 11, 2018 ▶ 15:50 Tom Lydon – ETF Trends (Capital Allocators, EP.56)
Jun 18, 2018
Assertion Supported
Portnoy: ETF count grew from 50 in 1999 to 4,000-5,000
“There's now four or 5000 ETFs. There were only 50 in 1999.”
Brian Portnoy Jun 18, 2018 ▶ 21:18 Brian Portnoy – From Complex to Simple (Capital Allocators, EP.57)
Mar 25, 2019
Insight
Visser: Hedge fund industry faces disruption similar to 1990s mutual funds
“I had spent enough time as a salesperson looking at the hedge funds. And I just thought that the industry was ripe for the same type of disruption that the mutual fund industry went through in the nineties with exchange traded funds and that the hedge fund ind…”
Jordi Visser Mar 25, 2019 ▶ 17:26 Jordi Visser – Next Generation of Manager Allocation (Capital Allocators, EP.92)
Feb 3, 2020 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Kraus: Nearly all ETFs outside US large cap trail their benchmarks
“Virtually all ETFs, with the exception of US large cap, actually earn less than the index. There's friction cost. Security lending doesn't overcome all the friction cost. Can't always buy all the securities.”
Peter Kraus Feb 3, 2020 ▶ 35:53 Peter Kraus - Widening the Aperture on Alpha (First Meeting, EP.14)
Mar 18, 2020 negative
Opinion
Aitken: Fixed Income ETF Liquidity Creation is Buy-Side Propaganda
“The idea that ETFs were ever a self-liquifying instrument, that is to say that ETFs create liquidity in their underlying reference securities was always just buy-side propaganda. Absolute garbage. And to see dozens and dozens and dozens and dozens Of credit an…”
James Aitken Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 24:45 James Aitken – Systemic Risk in a Crisis (Capital Allocators, EP.126)
Aug 31, 2020
Disclosure
Wittenberg reviews ETF portfolio trades after six months for behavioral traps
“Whenever we do a trade, we have an ETF portfolio. We make tilts in our portfolio. I go back about six months if I can and try to look at the trades after six months and come up with one of the behavioral traps I may have fallen into.”
Joel Wittenberg Aug 31, 2020 ▶ 52:15 Diversity, Equity & Inclusion 4: Joel Wittenberg – A Prescription for the Future (Capital Allocators, EP.154)
Dec 7, 2020 positive
Disclosure
Chamath: Social Capital is exploring biotech SPACs and thematic ETFs
“I have an ambition to launch an equivalent platform focused on biotech. And we're exploring the idea of launching a whole suite of ETFs.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 7, 2020 ▶ 31:25 Chamath Palihapitiya – The Social Capital Flywheel (Capital Allocators, EP.167)
Jan 18, 2021 neutral
Disclosure
Vanguard manages approximately $4 trillion in indexed assets
“So if you can do the math, then it's probably closer to four trillion on the indexing side, which would be ETFs and traditional mutual funds.”
Fran Kinniry Jan 18, 2021 ▶ 9:45 Fran Kinniry – The Comfort of Paradox at Vanguard Group (Capital Allocators, EP.173)
Dec 5, 2022 neutral
Opinion
Khajuria: Private equity cannot be automated or replicated by supercomputers
“There's nothing automated about it. There's nothing that a supercomputer can replicate. There's no ETF version of private equity or private markets more generally. It's a people business, and therefore you have to understand The traits and DNA of those people,…”
Sachin Khajuria Dec 5, 2022 ▶ 12:53 Sachin Khajuria – Two and Twenty, An Insider's Take on Private Equity (Capital Allocators, EP.285)
Aug 21, 2023
Disclosure
Miranda: Partners Capital uses liquid futures and ETFs to offset overweights
“The main impact is that we will counterbalance certain overweights that we don't want as intentional overweights. So we have to have enough liquidity in the portfolio where we can use ETFs or index funds or futures that we can offset those.”
Stan Miranda Aug 21, 2023 ▶ 29:43 Stan Miranda – Modern Endowment Model at Partners Capital (EP.334)
Oct 10, 2024 positive
Opinion
Gleich: ETFs are likely the most democratizing investment vehicle ever
“If you look at the most democratizing investment vehicle that is likely ever to exist, it's going to be ETFs, and so the marriage of those two isn't a huge leap of faith, I don't think.”
Kristof Gleich Oct 10, 2024 ▶ 44:52 Kristof Gleich – Boutique Managers and Active ETFs at Harbor Capital (EP.411)
Oct 10, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Gleich: ETFs and CITs Are Rapidly Displacing Mutual Funds
“And one of the interesting trends obviously at the moment is mutual funds are rapidly being displaced as the preferred vehicle by other vehicles, depending on the channel, whether it's retirement as collective investment trusts or what everybody talks about wi…”
Kristof Gleich Oct 10, 2024 ▶ 11:19 Kristof Gleich – Boutique Managers and Active ETFs at Harbor Capital (EP.411)
Oct 10, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gleich predicts alternative investments will drive the next ETF growth chapter
“The next chapter of growth for the industry, I think is going to be alternatives. And I think we are in the early innings of that beginning to happen right now.”
Kristof Gleich Oct 10, 2024 ▶ 44:19 Kristof Gleich – Boutique Managers and Active ETFs at Harbor Capital (EP.411)
May 19, 2025 negative
Insight
Mogelof: Daily Liquidity for Private Markets Erodes the Illiquidity Premium
“If you're going to do that, then you need to have some liquidity function, and that always is going to come at a cost. It could be an explicit cost, it could be an implicit cost, but at the end of the day, you can't magically say something that's illiquid is l…”
Eric Mogelof May 19, 2025 ▶ 43:49 Eric Mogelof – KKR's Pivot to Private Wealth (Private Wealth 3, EP.446)
Oct 13, 2025
Insight
CPPIB Opens International Offices Strictly to Capture Alpha, Not Beta
“We have the offices to get differentiated access. It's not to get beta. We can get beta from screens in Toronto. We can get beta through swaps and ETFs. We need alpha. We open the offices to get alpha.”
John Graham Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 38:05 John Graham – Evolution of the Canadian Model at CPPIB (EP.465)
Nov 24, 2025 negative
Insight
Kelly: Indexing and ETFs Killed Traditional Hedge Fund Information Edges
“As time went on, as we saw through the 2000, the passive indexation and ETFs and the capital markets changes in the public market rendered some of those advantages obsolete.”
Mike Kelly Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 13:47 Michael Kelly – Democratizing Access to the Middle Market at Future Standard (EP.473)
Dec 1, 2025
Disclosure
Long Pond's Active ETF Holds 20 to 25 Cheapest Among 80 Target Real Estate Firms
“What we've done is we've taken the data that we have over the last 15 years of analyzing these companies, and we've said, there are 80 high-quality real estate companies. These are secular winners, compounders like Hilton. That will be the investable universe …”
John Khoury Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 53:38 John Khoury – Asymmetry and Opportunity in Public Real Estate at Long Pond (EP.474)
Dec 1, 2025
Disclosure
Long Pond's ETF Has About 50% Overlap with Hedge Fund Long Book
“It's about a 50% overlap at any given point in time.”
John Khoury Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 55:30 John Khoury – Asymmetry and Opportunity in Public Real Estate at Long Pond (EP.474)
Jan 19, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Kleinman: Mutual Funds and ETFs Will Blend Private Assets into Products
“Traditional asset managers, i.e. Mutual funds, ETFs, they're gonna start injecting some amount of private assets blended into their products.”
Scott Kleinman Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 1:05:02 Scott Kleinman – Apollo's Integrated Alternatives Platform (EP.481)
Jan 19, 2026
Disclosure
Apollo is expanding into 401(k)s, mutual funds, and ETFs
“In the coming years, we've been vocal Figuring out how we're going to be accessing the four one K market, the traditional asset manager. So the mutual fund market, the ETF market, those are some of the places we're going now.”
Scott Kleinman Jan 19, 2026 ▶ 49:47 Scott Kleinman – Apollo's Integrated Alternatives Platform (EP.481)
Apr 6, 2026
Disclosure
VCIMCO Initially Held ETFs Before Layering In Active External Managers
“We started with a portfolio of ETFs and slowly layered managers in. We weren't going to take the traditional amount of equity risk in those early days because we didn't have the traditional amount of diversification.”
Bruce MacDonald Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 25:25 Bruce MacDonald – The Playbook for Building a Mid-Sized Endowment from Scratch (EP.495)
Apr 20, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Comegys: Vanguard Investor Holding Periods Average Five to Ten Years
“The majority of our investors are long-term holders, whether they're in ETFs or mutual funds. Holding periods at Vanguard are five to 10 years.”
Rodney Comegys Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 40:49 Rodney Comegys – The Mechanics of Indexing at Vanguard (EP.498)
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