Daniel Kahneman, every mention
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every year anyone Michael Mauboussin 15Annie Duke 9Ted Seides 6David Druley 5Tali Sharot 4Daryn Dodson 4Shane Parrish 3Dan Rasmussen 3Paul Johnson 2Josh Wolfe 2
Verbatim, from the transcripts: the passages where Daniel Kahneman comes up
SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT: Capital Allocators University Online
- ▶ 4:56 Ted Seides For the last 1520 years, people became familiar with behavioral biases, all the Kahneman and Tversky work.
Economic Growth, Governance, and Capital Allocation – Dambisa Moyo (EP.510)
- ▶ 20:36 Baroness Dambisa Moyo Notwithstanding Kahneman's great book, Think Fast and Slow, I don't know whether you can teach judgment.
Making Mistakes – Josh Steiner (EP.502)
- ▶ 55:59 Josh Steiner In some ways, you can think of this in the sort of Kahneman fashion of System One and System Two thinking.
Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
- ▶ 1:03:45 Josh Wolfe Danny Kahneman was a friend, and he would say that the reason you believe the things you believe is not because you reason through them and empirically calculate in your head, but because the three or four people in your life that you care… 2 times in the scene
Mason Morfit and Rob Hale – Quiet Activism at ValueAct (EP.462)
- ▶ 7:32 Mason Morfit Unbeknownst to me, Princeton had hired Danny Kahneman out of UC Berkeley and a few hundred miles North
Ted on Alt Goes Mainstream (EP.458)
- ▶ 36:31 Ted Seides And this goes back to Danny Kahneman's stuff and Annie Duke's stuff where if you and I were sitting in the bush and you hear rustling 2 times in the scene
Richard Sandler – The Prosecution of Michael Milken (EP.372)
- ▶ 5:14 Ted Seides Danny Kahneman calls that system one thinking.
Morgan Housel – Same as Ever (EP.359)
- ▶ 38:17 Morgan Housel There's this great quote from Daniel Kahneman where he says, we need to come to terms with the fact that people are very bad at dealing with very large and very small numbers.
Annie Duke – The Power of Quitting (Capital Allocators, EP.273)
- ▶ 9:56 Annie Duke I also got in touch with Danny Kahneman to just sort of gauge, did he think this was something worthwhile to explore? 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 28:05 Annie Duke Both of these come from Kahneman and Tversky. 3 times in the scene
- ▶ 1:00:13 Annie Duke So let me just set this up by saying, I think Daniel Kahneman says this really well, that the worst time to make a decision is when you're in it. 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 1:09:00 Annie Duke So this really came through to me, I think in a really clear way in a conversation with Danny Kahneman when he told me he has a quitting coach. 2 times in the scene
Leigh Drogen – Quantamental Approach to Crypto at Starkiller Capital (Manager Meeting, EP.32)
- ▶ 7:19 Leigh Drogen A year later, we're sitting down and we're discussing aspects of something that Kahneman had written.
Chris Voss – Listening, Human Nature, and Negotiations (Capital Allocators, EP.252)
- ▶ 16:06 Chris Voss Because the what and how questions trigger what Danny Kahneman would call slow thinking or in-depth thinking.
Fabrice Grinda – Canvassing Seed Stage Marketplaces at FJ Labs, Venture is Eating the Investment World 4 (Capital Allocators, EP.232)
- ▶ 43:53 Fabrice Grinda If you read Blink or any of these, or Daniel Kahneman, Think Fast, Slow, or any of these books on behavioral economics and decision making, your instincts on most things is right about 50% of the time.
Katy Milkman – How to Change (Capital Allocators, EP.199)
- ▶ 55:04 Katy Milkman But what I then realized is that I wanted to know a lot more than just what is the bias, and I wanted to have a conversation, and it slowly evolved to be a much larger portion of the show from three minutes to maybe 10, 15, sometimes, you…
Cade Massey – People Analytics in Investing and the NFL (Capital Allocators, EP.190)
- ▶ 29:35 Cade Massey Well, I think one of the main dynamics here is what Kahneman and Lavallo called the inside view versus the outside view.
BONUS – Michael Mauboussin on the Decision Education Podcast
- ▶ 7:20 Michael Mauboussin And the idea of think twice was really almost a complete homage to the work of Danny Kahneman and what we now call system one versus system two thinking, right? 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 12:24 Michael Mauboussin There's this idea that Danny Kahneman popularized called the inside versus the outside view, right? 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 20:13 Michael Mauboussin By the way, you know, Danny Kahneman wrote an article in, I think it was Dan Lavallo in the Harvard Business Review, and they talk about this.
- ▶ 29:41 Michael Mauboussin You know, I, I first had the opportunity to meet Danny Kahneman, which was of course a thrill in, uh, 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 38:03 Michael Mauboussin And it turns out that there was a special guest that day there and that was Danny Kahneman. 3 times in the scene
Diversity Equity & Inclusion 5: Daryn Dodson – Training and Action at Illumen Capital (Capital Allocators, EP.168)
- ▶ 25:45 Daryn Dodson So when we looked at Daniel Kahneman's research and thinking fast and slow, the behavioral economic frameworks that showed when you reduce bias, you can increase returns over a thousand company studies with McKinsey.
- ▶ 40:48 Daryn Dodson That's our model because what we're after is reducing the bias that Daniel Kahneman and others
- ▶ 45:06 Daryn Dodson Kahneman's research inside of behavioral economics cites that people in their own fields of speciality will be subject to biases by the changing of just very small 2 times in the scene
Shane Parrish – Learning to Learn at Farnam Street (Capital Allocators, EP.164)
- ▶ 16:00 Shane Parrish I can read what Kahneman's writing and Tversky and
- ▶ 34:07 Shane Parrish It's very effective to be like, oh, Daniel Kahneman's been on, and then people are like,
- ▶ 1:00:43 Shane Parrish And then the thing that Daniel Kahneman taught me about this was nobody argues with rules, but if you're making a decision, people will argue with you.
Daylian Cain – Master Class in Negotiations (Capital Allocators, EP.138)
- ▶ 6:59 Daylian Cain And let's use experimental techniques in judgment, decision making, behavioral economics, kind of like Kahneman meets negotiations.
Michael Mauboussin – Consilient Observations in a Crisis (Capital Allocators, EP.127)
- ▶ 21:30 Michael Mauboussin And actually, if you read that Danny Kahneman, who really popularized this idea of base rates, one of the things he argued is, come up with your own forecast, but when you look at the base rates, make sure you look at what that… 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 33:22 Michael Mauboussin The first is we have a piece that's going to be out shortly that picks up a lot on this work by Danny Kahneman on the idea of noise.
Dan Rasmussen – Private Equity Risk and Public Equity Opportunity at Verdad Advisers (First Meeting, EP.15)
- ▶ 9:01 Dan Rasmussen And so I just started reading things like Daniel Kahneman's work and a random walk down Wall Street. 3 times in the scene
Drew Dickson – Blending Behavior and Fundamentals at Albert Bridge Capital (First Meeting, EP.13)
- ▶ 17:57 Drew Dickson I realized, and actually reading through Thinking Fast and Slow, Danny Kahneman's book, this is Dick Thaler's mentor, and he's the one that came up with a lot of these things that we all do as human beings, and I remember the most…
- ▶ 35:41 Drew Dickson The biggest one, and this is Kahneman and Tversky one-on-one is confirmation bias.
David Druley – Structure into Action at Cambridge Associates (Capital Allocators, EP. 106)
- ▶ 39:17 David Druley And, you know, Daniel Kahneman, who really is one of my intellectual idols, and Kahneman and Tversky, I think were just brilliant, brilliant people. 3 times in the scene
- ▶ 46:28 David Druley I've found that that ability to generate space to reflect actually makes my life much more enjoyable in how I interact with people on a day-to-day basis, and it creates the space to actually be able to, going back to Kahneman, think slow… 2 times in the scene
Khe Hy – Radical Shift from Investing to Purpose (Capital Allocators, EP.101)
Charley Ellis - Indexing and Its Alternatives (EP.62)
- ▶ 32:36 Charlie Ellis If you haven't read Daniel Kahneman's wonderful book, Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow, slow down, think fast, read that book, because it's a catalog of the ways in which as human beings we're not perfectly rational.
Brian Portnoy – From Complex to Simple (Capital Allocators, EP.57)
- ▶ 16:37 Brian Portnoy I mean, you read Malbussan, and you read Annie Duke, and you read Kahneman, and you read everybody on decision making, and you know, I actually tried the time to think about, 2 times in the scene
Tali Sharot – Optimism, Decisions, and Mistakes (Capital Allocators, EP.55)
- ▶ 8:42 Tali Sharot So I read Daniel Kahneman's work when I was in Tel Aviv University. 3 times in the scene
- ▶ 18:45 Tali Sharot So we need, I mean, it's great that people are now aware of Kahneman's and Traversky's work and other people like them because now people are more aware of these biases.
Clare Flynn Levy and Cameron Hight - Moneyball for Managers (Capital Allocators, EP.43)
- ▶ 24:35 Ted Seides Yeah, it sounds like a forced activation of the, you know, Danny Kahneman's System Two brain.
- ▶ 1:15:09 Cameron Hight I think that, uh, I was speaking at a conference a few months ago, and Daniel Kahneman was a keynote, and somebody asked a question about him and his career, and he said, it actually took like a cynical turn, because he said one of his…
Annie Duke - Improving Decision Making [Capital Allocators, EP.39]
- ▶ 17:06 Ted Seides So embedded in that, you talked about a better decision being based on beliefs, and we met through Michael Mosen and talked a lot about Danny Kahneman's work.
Seth Masters – Investment Polymath (Capital Allocators, EP.38)
- ▶ 44:58 Seth Masters You know, anybody who's read Daniel Kahneman's books knows what the answer to that is.
Michael Mauboussin – Active Challenges, Rational Decisions and Team Dynamics (Capital Allocators, EP.36)
- ▶ 30:49 Michael Mauboussin So a couple themes I'll mention, one of the ones that I've been very excited about, it's work on base rates, and this is really the, this is really, I associate it mostly with Danny Kahneman, but it's this idea that when you're thinking… 2 times in the scene
Paul Johnson and Paul Sonkin – The Perfect Investment (Capital Allocators, EP.32)
- ▶ 12:01 Paul Johnson Schiller, Kahneman, Tversky, and Thaler's behavioral fits perfectly into this. 2 times in the scene
Ashby Monk – Asset Giant Futurist (Capital Allocators, EP.29)
- ▶ 51:11 Ashby Monk And that, as we learned from prospect theory and the amazing work of Kahneman and Tversky, is