COVID

12 statements across 12 episodes · 3 bullish · 3 bearish · 12 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2021 by Eli Casdin · across every show →

Everything said about COVID, oldest first

Jul 15, 2021
Assertion Partly supported
Casdin: Moderna created the COVID-19 mRNA prototype in two days
“In 2003, when the SARS outbreak broke, took us seven months to read the genome of the SARS. And you have to read the genome to create an effective vaccine. When COVID broke, it took us two days. That information was digitally sent to Moderna, and it took th…”
Eli Casdin Jul 15, 2021 ▶ 18:34 Eli Casdin – Casdin Capital (Manager Meetings, EP.02)
Aug 12, 2021
Disclosure
Jensen: Bridgewater's Trade Win Rate Fell to 37% During COVID
“We hadn't had the perfect storm of, we averaged that 55, 45, and it ranges from eighty-twenty, the best years, and forty-sixty, the worst years, and then in COVID, we were probably about 37.”
Greg Jensen Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 24:50 Greg Jensen – Bridgewater Associates (Manager Meetings, EP.06)
Sep 30, 2021 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Graña: China's 2060 Decarbonization Pledge Will Be the Biggest Post-COVID Story
“Decarbonization by 20 60. That will be the biggest story after COVID. I think the market is commentators will look back on 2020 and we'll miss this, but we'll say many years later that was a big announcement.”
Daniel Graña Sep 30, 2021 ▶ 24:43 Daniel Graña – Janus Henderson Investors Emerging Markets Equity (Manager Meetings, EP.13)
Oct 25, 2021 positive
Insight
During market crashes, ensure managers remain engaged and take calculated risks
“I always remember like in big drawdowns, like in March after the COVID was starting to happen, the March drawdown, you want to make sure your manager is sitting back up on their chair and looking at their screen rather than under their desk, and so I'm always …”
Paula Volent Oct 25, 2021 ▶ 30:17 Paula Volent – Star Endowment Manager's Next Act at Rockefeller University (Capital Allocators, EP.219)
Nov 8, 2021
Assertion Supported
Visser: Weiss AUM reached $4B with most growth during COVID
“We're now at four billion, and most of that growth actually happened during COVID, which has a lot to do, I think, with building the analytics out for the marketing side, but also, I think we spoke about this the last time, we were already using technology to …”
Jordi Visser Nov 8, 2021 ▶ 5:31 Jordi Visser – Analytics and AQ at Weiss (Capital Allocators, EP.221)
Apr 24, 2023 negative
Insight
Rod Wong: FDA staff turnover is driving more conservative regulatory decisions
“COVID actually had a major impact on how the FDA functions. They moved heaven and earth to get those vaccines and the first handful of drugs approved. It burned a lot of people out. And so you had tremendous turnover at FDA and there's a whole training process…”
Rod Wong Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 53:14 Rod Wong – Empty Rooms: Innovation in Biotech at RTW (Capital Allocators, EP. 310)
Jun 19, 2023
Disclosure
Resnick: KSL stress-tests downside against GFC and COVID before modeling upside
“And now one of the things we look at a lot is, so how did something do during COVID? And before COVID, it was how did things do during the GFC? And we still have access to that data typically. So we've stress tested this industry incredibly significantly in th…”
Eric Resnick Jun 19, 2023 ▶ 48:35 Eric Resnick – Ski, Golf, and Vacation Investing at KSL (EP.322)
Oct 7, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Nesbitt: Cliffwater interval fund met all redemptions except one COVID quarter
“The only thing that's restrictive is getting out. So you can only get out once a quarter, generally a fund level gate of five percent. But for us, except for one quarter during COVID, anybody who wanted to get out on any quarter could get out.”
Steve Nesbitt Oct 7, 2024 ▶ 28:39 Stephen Nesbitt – Innovation in Private Markets for RIAs (EP.410)
Dec 16, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Peters: Markets Face a 15-Year Breakdown of Historical Asset Correlations
“COVID, I believe, propelled us into this new regime. And whether most big investors believe that that's true or not, they have to at least acknowledge that it might be true, that nothing's permanent, but we might be in for a 10 or 15 year period where the reli…”
Eric Peters Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 39:53 Eric Peters - Paradigm Shifts and Solutions at One River (EP.422)
Apr 14, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gave: US supply disruptions from tariffs will be as bad as COVID-19
“We saw this kind of discrepancy during COVID, and it took the economies a year to get back on their footing. This time, it's going to be just as bad. I don't see how the economy doesn't grind to a standstill. These strict discrepancies are going to be very uni…”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 20:32 Geopolitical Uncertainty – James Aitken, Louis-Vincent Gave, and Marko Papic (EP.440)
Nov 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Lyon: COVID syndicated loan distress lasted 8 days versus 294 in GFC
“During COVID, syndicated loans traded below 80 cents for eight days. During the GFC, 294.”
David Lyon Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 30:06 David Lyon – Hybrid Capital Solutions for Private Assets (EP.471)
Mar 16, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Guidara avoided signing three NYC restaurant leases days before COVID
“When COVID hit, I just sold the company a few months earlier, and I was one week away from signing Three restaurant leases in New York City.”
Will Guidara Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 59:50 Will Guidara – Unreasonable Hospitality (EP.492)
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