why aren't all 1,004 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sanchez: Most businesses operate at a 3:1:1 margin ratio or worse
“Most businesses run three to one to one or worse.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Dave Ramsey's corporate headquarters operates entirely on debit cards
“But then I've been to his headquarters and he, like, for instance, they don't have credit cards. Zero credit. The entire place, nobody has a credit card in it. They have debit cards only.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Michael Jordan was a front-office nightmare as an NBA owner
“Jordan actually bought an NBA franchise, and suddenly the man who won six rings by trusting a system, he was a nightmare in the front office, burned through six head coaches, trusted his gut over every expert, and posted the worst record in the league.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Businesses Without Owner Dependency Are Valued at ~4.5x Profit
“This value builder scored 80,000 companies and found the exact price of being irreplaceable. The businesses that did not have what's called owner dependency, they were worth around four and a half times profit.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Adelman: 76ers owners learned of player signing five minutes before public announcement
“That's how we found out five minutes before they announced it publicly.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: The average entrepreneur makes $46,000 to $65,000 a year
“I read the average entrepreneur makes 46 to 65,000 dollars a year.”
Assertion Contradicted
Adelman: The United States faces a shortage of two million electricians
“We're short two million electricians in the country. Two million.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Income increases happiness for most, according to 2023 research
“In 2023, the two rivals did something nearly extinct in academia. They put all their data together, brought in a neutral referee, and published a joint answer on one of the top journals in the country. The finding? Both were right about different people. For m…”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Blood pressure drops during positive fantasies as body powers down
“There's this amazing experiment where the same researchers who measured blood pressure while people indulged in, like, positive fantasies What happened is their blood pressure dropped, which is a physiological signature of the body powering down.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: 2011 Study Shows Visualizing Death Increases Life Gratitude
“There's a 20 11 study in the Journal of Positive Psychology that randomly assigned people to vividly manage their own death in like specific personal detail versus a control group that didn't do anything, obviously. And what happened? Well, the death group cam…”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: UCLA Study Shows Process Visualization Outperforms Outcome Visualization
“UCLA psychologists tested exactly that on students the week before a midterm. One group visualized the outcome, so getting that A, right? The other visualized the process, when they would study, where they would sit, which chapters, and then a control group ba…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sanchez: NYU Study Shows Publicly Announcing Goals Cuts Work Persistence
“NYU psychologists ran four experiments on what happens when people announce identity goals. Like I'm becoming a founder type of goal and they do it out loud. In the lab, people got 45 minutes to work toward a goal they cared about. The ones who kept the goal p…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dhar Mann: 75% of audience reports taking positive action from videos
“75% of our audience Says that they feel compelled to take some sort of positive action in their life after watching a Darman video.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dhar Mann: Top creators spend three times more effort on post-production
“All the best creators that I know spend about three times more amount of effort in post than they actually do in production.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Dave Ramsey's Company Fires Employees Caught Gossiping
“He says, at my company, we have a no gossip rule. We just don't allow it. And so if anybody's gossiping or talking about anybody, and they find out at Dave Ramsey, you get fired.”
Assertion Contradicted
Herjavec: Scaled company to nearly $400M without outside capital
“I built my company to almost four hundred million with my own money. We didn't have any outside capital.”
Assertion Contradicted
Herjavec: Acquired 13 to 14 tech businesses with zero outside funding
“I bought 13 or 14 businesses in my tech business with no outside funding.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Herjavec: Completed $75M and $30M acquisitions using earnout deal structures
“I did with a seventy-five million dollar business. I did with a thirty million dollar business.”
Assertion Supported
Hammer: 40% of Americans Cannot Cover a $400 Emergency Expense
“40% of Americans can't do a 400 dollar emergency.”
Assertion Supported
Hammer: Klarna interest reaches 35%, exceeding high-rate credit cards
“And a Klarna loan immediately gets you up to like 35%, where even like the highest credit cards, we're talking 30%.”
Assertion Supported
Hammer: Nearly 30% of youth bet on sports, with similar gender rates
“Interesting enough, both genders are actually using those sports betting pretty similar. It's like off by like four percent. I think it's nearly like 30% of young people. But pretty close to both genders, but they're not really talking about the young women ge…”
Assertion Supported
Hammer: College borrowers average $38K debt and 40% drop out
“The average, not median, so average, which is a little boosted, borrows like 38,000 dollars to get a to get a bachelor's degree, if I'm not mistaken, or to go all the way through college. And 40% of those who borrow drop out.”
Assertion Supported
Hammer: Meal delivery services have a 90% markup
“And then the percentage of those meals specifically getting delivered, which has a 90% markup.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hammer: $1,000 monthly dining spend is common among Financial Audit guests
“A thousand dollars going out to eat a month is not uncommon on our show.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sanchez: Bill Perkins conditioned investment on her stopping pumping gas
“Bill Perkins was one too. And he told me that he wouldn't invest in one of my companies if I kept getting my own gas for my car”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: American Apparel went bankrupt because Dov Charney centralized all decisions
“Dove Charney built American Apparel. Into like a six hundred million dollar company from the factory floor up. But every ad, every hire, every product decision ran through him. He was so obsessed with control. The company reportedly told retail staff how to sh…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Do: Customers select the middle pricing tier 80 percent of the time
“We give them three options, and you can see everywhere you go from SaaS products to real products, People always give you three options, and 80% of the time they pick the one in the middle.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jorgenson: Musk stacked Starship months early to generate public momentum
“He famously stacked Starship, like, months before it was even close to launch, and it wasn't because it needed to be done, it wasn't because it was a bottleneck, but he said now people started sharing photos of this absolutely behemoth rocket, and it started t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Jorgenson: Raw materials are 30% of an iPhone's cost, 1% for rockets
“For reference, like your iPhone, like the raw materials of your iPhone is like 30% or a car is like 30%. So that's like a good ratio for a complex manufactured product. But aerospace, when he looked into rockets, the rocket as a whole, he did an X was like a t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Pabrai: Venture-backed startups are under 0.1% of US startups
“Venture backed startups are less than one 10th of one percent, maybe even 100th of one percent. Of the total number of startups in this country. 99.99% of the economy is non-venture backed.”
Assertion Supported
Pabrai: Ford, Walmart, Microsoft, and Ikea were built without VC
“Some of the biggest businesses we have today in the US and the world Were not created with venture capital, Ford Motor Company, Walmart, Microsoft, you know, the most of these companies, Ikea were created on a kitchen table with nothing.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pabrai: Grew $1M into $14M from 1995 to 2000 using Buffett's strategy
“And so from 95 to 2000, the first five years I was doing this part time while I'm running my company, the million became fourteen million.”
Assertion Partly supported
Pabrai: Fund reached $600M by 2007 with 35% annualized gross returns
“By the time I got to 2007, I'm managing six hundred million. We haven't had a single down year, and we've compounded at like 35% a year before fees.”
Assertion Partly supported
Pabrai: Turkish investment made at $15M market cap grew 100x to $1.5B
“And then one that's happened more recently was a company in Turkey where that was just so mispriced. We couldn't, you know, shooting fish in a barrel. Where the market cap when we invested in 2019 was fifteen million dollars, and now it's a billion and a half.…”
Assertion Partly supported
Buffett made the exact same Level 3 bond investment as Pabrai
“Warren made the exact same bet at the exact same time for the exact same reasons.”
Assertion Supported
Pabrai: Elon Musk personally interviewed first 3,000 SpaceX hires
“I think he interviewed the first 3000 hires at SpaceX himself.”
Assertion Supported
Evans: 70% never ask for raises, but 70% who ask get them
“Second thing is, just statistically, 70% of employees never ask for a raise. This is probably foreign to me and you, because we're, A little aggressive. But, 70% never ask. And yet, of the 30% that do ask, 70% of them get something.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Dave Ramsey's company fires employees after two gossip offenses
“Dave Ramsey's company when I went and went to his headquarters, and I have a lot of respect for Dave in many ways, is they have a no gossip policy. It's really aggressive at their company. And if you're, if you know, you do it, and another team member hears yo…”
Assertion Supported
Taylor: Over 90% of Kickstarter project creators fulfill their rewards
“Now, ninety-something percent of people on Kickstarter fulfill, but there's still a small percentage of people that don't, and so you really have to drive that level of trust to make people feel comfortable, That you're actually going to deliver on time, and y…”
Assertion Contradicted
Taylor: Kickstarter likely sells more comic books annually than anyone worldwide
“We don't, we can't say this for sure, but we're like almost confident that we sell more comic books on Kickstarter year than anywhere else in the world.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: The Brain Only Releases Momentum Dopamine After Starting Action
“The brain only releases the dopamine of momentum once you move. The brain's like, you don't get this before you do the thing. So if you're waiting for the feeling to show up before you begin, that's biologically impossible.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanchez: Goldman Sachs cut the bottom 20% of employees annually
“I do look back at my days at, like, Goldman Sachs, and they cut the 20% of everybody every year.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sanchez: Top company performers are people who have done extreme challenges
“The winners in our company tend to be people who have done crazy things.”
Assertion Supported
Gladwell: Historically disadvantaged regions are economically better off than ever
“Particularly once you abstract out from the United States, I mean, if we were having this conversation in Africa, we would not be bringing this up. We would be like, there's never been a better time, or South America, or any place that was historically economi…”
Assertion Supported
Jain: Bilt Rewards processed over $100B in housing volume
“And by the way, we did over a hundred billion dollars of housing volume through our platform, right?”
Assertion Contradicted
Jain: Bilt Secured HUD Approval to Apply Rewards Toward Down Payments
“We spent 18 months Going down to DC, spending time with the Department of Housing, with Fannie Mae, with Freddie Mac, with FHA, and all these different groups, and in October of 2019 because we started this problem, like, beginning of 2018, actually the first,…”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Mark Rober's YouTube viewership is 10x larger than Discovery Channel's
“Their viewership's, like, 10 x smaller than Mark Rober's on, on YouTube.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sanchez: Capital barriers for media and angel investing are now zero
“You used to have to have a ton of capital to launch a media company, and now you have to have none. You used to actually have to have a lot of money to invest in startups. Now, because of AngelList, you could have a very small amount.”