The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,004 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Sanchez: TikTok Based Its Algorithm on 5-to-10 Second Attention Limits
“TikTok actually based its entire algorithm on this single idea that humans can only pay attention for five to 10 seconds.”
Sanchez: Closed Rib Cage Posture Increases Cortisol and Lowers Testosterone
“So when your rib cage is closed like this, it's going to actually increase your cortisol. So that's your stress. And it's going to decrease your testosterone, which is like the aggressive energy that flows through us.”
Sanchez: Zero top performers achieved success through flow state
“Because I know thousands of the most successful people in the world, and nobody, not a single one of them, have said they achieved it through flow state.”
Serhant Claims a 6.6 LTV-to-CAC Ratio Against Industry Baseline of 1
“Our LTV to CAC is it, I told you it was six times, right? Yeah. Well, the industry I think is like at one. And so we're at 6.6 as a ratio over present day value, which is I would, which is just like astonishing.”
Manson: Affluent neighborhoods and countries have higher suicide rates than poor ones
“The poorer the country or the poorer the neighborhood, the lower the suicide rate, and the more affluent the country and the more affluent the neighborhood, the higher the suicide rate.”
Manson: 25% of Gen Z has chosen to estrange a parent
“It's something like 20, 25% of Gen Z is like willingly chosen not to speak to at least one parent.”
Alpha School Students Rank in Top 1% Across All Categories
“His schools across the US are top one percent students in every single course and category that they have.”
Liemandt: 40% to 60% of Alpha students prefer school to vacation
“We say, do you love school more than vacation, right? And 40 to 60% of our kids each eight weeks, depends on the workshops and whether they're really cool or what their vacation choice is”
Liemandt: Two-thirds of Alpha high schoolers asked to skip summer break
“A few months ago in the spring, two thirds of the high school students sent me a note and said, can we keep the school open this summer? We don't want summer break.”
Just: PEAK6 has not had a single losing year in 28 years
“And, you know, we've had 28 years, never had a losing year.”
Just: PEAK6 rejected an equity derivatives deal with Jamie Dimon in 1999
“I said no to Jamie Dimon. So we were, we had a plan A, and it's 28 years later, we've never done our plan A. We were trying to get a bank to be our partner to do over-the-counter equity derivatives. That was what we were, that's what we left to go do. That's w…”
Lyon: Larger Waistlines Correlate Directly With Decreased Brain Volume
“The more overweight you are, the wider your waistline, the lower the brain volume.”
Ellsworth: Poppi is in one of four US households with 50% awareness
“We've done two Superbowl ads, tripled our awareness overnight with that. Now we're into year five. Brand awareness, like, 50% of America knows Poppy. We're one in four households”
Ellsworth built Poppi into a $2 billion business as a C student
“I was a C student in college and I built my business to be a two billion dollar business, right?”
Ellsworth is the only female beverage founder with an exit this large
“Especially in beverage, I am the only female founder of an exit of this size ever, right?”
Sanchez's Main Street Holding Company generates nine figures annually
“How I make the most money is through our Main Street Holding Company. So that company does nine figures a year.”
Sanchez: University costs grew three to four times while post-grad salaries stayed flat
“If you look at the actual numbers for educational institutions today, we have had a three to four x incline in the cost of universities, and we have had a flat line of return, meaning our salary increases after university.”
Payment processor shutdown destroyed one of Sanchez's $2M portfolio companies
“This week one of my companies, a payment processor, shut them down, and they took 200,000 dollars in recurring monthly income from them and won't give them back their users. So that just killed a business of like two million dollars a year in revenue, and we c…”
Dallas front porch pumpkin decorator generates over $1M annually
“We've since become friends and she's making over a million dollars a year.”
Koerner's Buc-ee's resale venture did $200K month one, now makes millions
“We had a dozen news outlets write about us, and we went viral and did 200,000 dollars of sales in our first month, and we do millions of dollars a year now, five years later.”
Koerner's free crypto project with John McAfee reached $30M market cap
“We started a cryptocurrency that we gave out for free and it reached a thirty million dollar market cap, and we built a community with 70,000 people in it.”
Sanchez: Men outnumber women nine to one among internet trolls
“There is just a, like a nine to one ratio of men that talk shit on the internet to women talking shit on the internet.”
Sanchez: Business Leaders Never Regret Letting Underperformers Go
“Have you ever let go of somebody and regretted it? And the wild part is I, I've never had somebody raise their hand.”
Masad: Vibe-coded software works 80% to 90% of the time
“So you are communicating the business goals that you're, you intend to create, and the system is building this on your behalf, and if the vibes are correct, and if you can test it and feel like it's working, you can trust that it works, and you know, 80, 90% o…”
Masad: Replit's valuation is less than 10x revenue, unlike hyped AI startups
“Our current valuation,
Is less than 10 X of our revenue, and by the way, like this technology companies, early growth AI companies are a hundred X.”
Daymond John: I hold the most successful investment in Shark Tank history
“Well, I tell everybody
Whenever I can, that I'm the lead shark with the most successful investment in history, shark tank history on all the shark tanks that exist around the world.”
Daymond John: Apparel brands make almost no profit outside jeans and t-shirts
“Clothing makes almost zero money off of anything else besides jeans and t-shirts.”
Daymond John: Sharks close about 60% of on-air deals after 6-9 months
“Takes us six to nine months to close the deals. We close about 60% of the deals.”
Daymond John: High school trade grads earn $70k, matching college grads
“A kid graduating college today is gonna barely make 70, 80,000. A kid who does a trade, like in my buddy Crash Champions, or HVAC, or these things that people don't want to do anymore, they're making 70,000 coming out of high school.”
Daymond John: I Have Advised Every Living US President
“And I've advised every single living president till today, they haven't asked me for money, I can walk into any room, and they know who I am, and my name, I can open any company I want to, and I can walk into any room I want to, because my name goes in the roo…”
Poumpouras: Rumination activates the same brain circuitry as cocaine use
“When you ruminate over something, you notice how sometimes it can be addicting. It actually gives you the same high, it actually activates the same part of the brain that gets activated when you do coke.”
McCord: Harvard Business School's market curriculum focused on market flaws and socialism
“I went to Harvard Business School, which is like a Mecca of capitalism or a West Point of, I don't know what to call it, but not West Point, Naval Academy of capitalism. But there was one class on how markets work and it was called reimagining capitalism. And …”
Sanchez: ChatGPT replaces thousands of dollars in monthly contractor costs
“But for the cost of like a couple lattes a month with ChatGPT, I have somebody who historically I would have had to pay thousands of dollars a month in order to create visual content for me and come up with memes. And now I've got that happening with ChatGPT L…”
Malik: Women Have More Testosterone Than Estrogen in Their Bodies
“So testosterone in women, we have more testosterone than we do estrogen in our bodies.”
Malik: 14% of Men With ED Suffer Heart Attacks Within 7 Years
“Because of the guys who have ED, 14% of those guys will go on to have a heart attack in seven years.”
Malik: Erectile Dysfunction Precedes Heart Issues by 2 to 3 Years
“And so it's like two to three years before you're going to see a heart issue, you're going to see erectile dysfunction.”
Malik: Couples watching pornography together tend to have more sex
“And actually couples who watch it together tend to have more sex.”
Malik: Data Shows Women Who Consume Pornography Tend to Have More Sex
“So there's data that like women who watch pornography, and this is not like everybody, but like women who enjoy those sorts of things are more sexually adventurous, more You know, they like to have sex with their partner and they actually have more sex if you …”
Malik: The Average Age of Initial Pornography Exposure Is 10 Years Old
“The average age of a young person seeing porn is 10.”
Freitas: Modern Public Education Was Built on the Prussian Factory Model
“The modern public education system was built off of a Prussian model that was designed to make really good conscripts and factory workers.”
Hussey: Young men are trending significantly more conservative
“It used to be the case that young people were the most liberal, and now, especially among men, they trend more conservative.”
Hussey: Most people marry wrong, stay unhappy, or never find love
“Most people marry the wrong person too early, stay in unhappy relationships too long for half their lives until they finally get out if they ever do, or never find anyone because it's hard.”
Sanchez: Female business buyers average lower net worths and smaller deal sizes
“The average net worth of the woman in our group is lower than the men. You guys also are doing slightly smaller deals than the guys on average.”
Sanchez: Long-term marriage creates a $300k-$1M net worth advantage
“That leads to graphs like this, which show you that over time, if you are never married, and if you were married and never divorced, there is a delta of somewhere between 300,000 to a million dollars in net worth, which is kind of crazy.”
Loeffler: Biden Administration Passed Record $1.7 Trillion in Regulations
“And in fact, the Biden administration passed 1.7 trillion dollars in regulation, setting an all-time record by many multiples of massive regulation.”
Sanchez: Haliey Welch's followers lost tens of millions in a crypto venture
“She confused virality for actual direction and she ended up going all in on this crypto coin and her followers lost tens and tens and tens of millions of dollars.”