The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,004 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Israetel: COVID vaccines were highly effective and saved 20 million lives
“The COVID vaccine situation was largely uncontroversial, insanely effective, and saved probably twenty million lives worldwide.”
Galloway: 30-year-olds are poorer than their parents were at 30
“And for the first time in our nation's history, a thirty-year-old man or woman isn't as wealthy as his or her parents were at 30, which in my opinion is a fundamental breakdown in the compact we have between us and America.”
Galloway: Harvard grew endowment 4,000% while class size grew 4%
“So Harvard, fifty-four billion dollars in endowment. It's grown its endowment 4000% in the last 30 or 40 years, up forty-fold. It's grown its freshman class size four percent. So it admits 1500 kids on 55,000 applicants.”
Galloway: Mississippi's Average Income Matches or Exceeds the UK and Germany
“So, for example, if you take the poor state, Mississippi, the average household income there is still the same or higher than it is in the UK, Germany, South Korea, Japan.”
Galloway: Corporate Tax Rates Are at Their Lowest Since 1938
“Corporations are paying the lowest tax rate since 1938.”
Galloway: Top 25 Wealthiest Americans Pay 6% to 8% Tax
“The wealthiest 25 Americans pay an average tax rate of six to eight percent.”
Galloway: Top 2% Pay Roughly 90% of Federal Income Taxes
“The bottom 50% pay almost no federal income tax, and the top two percent pay about 90% of the taxes.”
Galloway: US Spending on Seniors Is Rising from 40% to 50%
“40% of all spending right now, government spending, goes to seniors. It's about to be 50%, which lowers the amount of money we can invest in technology, R&D, and education, which have a much bigger payoff.”
Galloway: Urban women under 30 earn more than men
“Women under the age of 30 in urban centers are making more money than men.”
Galloway: Young men face vastly higher rates of suicide, addiction, and incarceration
“Young men are four times as likely to kill themselves. They're three times as likely to be addicted. They're three times as likely to be homeless. They're 12 times as likely to be incarcerated.”
Galloway: Amazon increased third-party seller take rate from 20% to 45%
“Amazon, 20 years ago, if you were a third-party marketer or a third-party reseller selling your products on Amazon, they took about 20%. Of your gross dollar volume, now they take 45, because they kind of own the market.”
Lonsdale: Palantir Helped Reduce IED Deaths in Iraq
“Palatine worked because we worked really closely with a lot of the special forces communities and the teams and people like that who were competent, and we helped go to Iraq, we helped reduce the number of IED deaths, and really kind of, you know, fix things, …”
Lonsdale: Startup CEOs earning under $75k massively outperformed higher-paid peers
“You know, actually when I was working with Peter Thiel, must have been 21 or so, we conducted a study he had me look into of CEO salaries. And so it turned out there were three different cohorts. At the time salaries were lower. This was turning 42 this week. …”
Lonsdale: $300B annually goes to unaccountable progressive NGOs
“You literally have, I think, three hundred billion a year are going to NGOs, which is the non-government organizations. These are mostly nonprofits that are, like, trying to, like, do things with progressives, right, and trying to create more activists, and, l…”
Lonsdale: Outcome-based funding doubled vocational school graduate salaries over 7 years
“Starting next year, we're gonna fund these things in proportion to the average salary of their students coming out. Brilliant. And so suddenly, they can't game that. They actually, so the schools freak out, and they're like, what skills do we gotta teach our s…”
Sanchez: China Uses Yuan for Most Cross-Border Transactions
“China has started to use its own currency for most cross-border transactions.”
Voss: The 9/11 investigation was solved by FBI New York, not Headquarters
“Nine 11 was solved by FBI New York. And Mueller had just taken over, and they wanted headquarters to be in charge, but FBI New York knew what was going on, so what they did, so the headquarters were being charged, they transferred everybody into New York to he…”
Patrick: I sued my IndyCar team over withheld financial data
“Because that's, because I ended up suing my IndyCar team in the end, because I was in a profit sharing arrangement with them, and they weren't providing data, like the information, and the contracts, and the numbers, and so you know, I just trusted that they w…”
Dr. Lyon: GLP-1 agonists are more effective than bariatric surgery
“These medications are more effective than surgery. There is less downtime.”
Dr. Lyon: GLP-1 muscle loss stems from poor diet, not the drug
“The reason people lose lean tissue on these medications, which is the other big criticism, is because they are not training, and they're not eating dietary protein.”
Sanchez: Ozempic costs under $5 to make but sells for $1,000 monthly
“Well, Yale says that Ozempic costs less than five dollars a month to manufacture, And yet we're getting charged a thousand dollars a month for this drug. While the exact same product can be bought in Canada for a 155 dollars a month and 59 dollars a month in G…”
Gabbard: U.S. threatened Mexico with sanctions over GMO crop ban for Monsanto
“Mexico has banned some form of GMO crops. The United States government is intervening and threatening Mexico with economic sanctions. On behalf of Monsanto, ah, and the, you know.”
Gabbard: Zelensky has taken total control of media and eliminated opposition
“Well, let's look at what President Zelensky has done since this war started, instituted martial law, taken over complete control of the media, total control. It is now merged together under this one, 24 hour station that is, is literally run by the government.…”
Gabbard: The average Congress member attends three lobbyist fundraising events every day
“On average, a member of Congress will go to a breakfast lobbyist fundraising
event, a lunch lobbyist fundraising event, and a dinner lobbyist fundraising event, and walk away with pocketfuls of checks from all of these special interest groups.”
Gabbard: Received Mail-In Ballots for Deceased Homeowners in D.C.
“When I was in Congress and we stayed in D.C. The house that I lived in, the previous owners had been deceased for several years. Election time would come around, and we would get ballots, mail-in ballots in their names, people who had been dead for over seven …”
Ramaswamy: An oligopoly of political fundraising bundlers keeps up to ten percent
“There's a tiny group. It's an oligopoly of people who raise money, bundling and otherwise, who get to keep a large percentage, sometimes up to 10% of what they actually raise.”
Sanchez: Major Democratic donors threatened to withhold 30 million unless Biden withdrew
“A bunch of the big Democratic donors are saying, I will keep my thirty million dollars I was going to donate to the Biden campaign unless they step down.”
Sanchez: Skilled trade grads earn up to $100K, out-earning marketing grads
“The average marketing major makes somewhere between 60 to 80,000 dollars a year. The average skilled trades worker after they graduate can make up where of 75 to a 100,000 dollars a year.”
Sanchez: Sitting within 25 feet of an underperformer reduces performance 30%
“If you sit next to an underperformer, if an underperformer is sat within a 25 foot radius of a bunch of normal people like you and me, they take your performance down by 30%.”
Brooks: Over 20 years, women's happiness has declined to men's levels
“But what you've found is that over the past 20 years or so, women have converged downward to the unhappiness levels of men. So they've converged, and at first I thought, great, men are getting happier. Women are getting unhappier is what we find, and they're g…”
Altucher: Jerry Seinfeld wrote NYT op-ed attacking him, Cuomo emailed it
“Even Jerry Seinfeld wrote an op-ed in the New York Times just trashing me, which then Andrew Cuomo emailed to, like, everybody in New York State”
Sanchez: UFC shares only 13% of revenue compared to NBA's 50%
“NBA all the way to MLB are somewhere between 51 and 45%.
UFC is 13 to 14%.”
Johnson: Project Blueprint costs $1,500 monthly, not $2 million annually
“The headline with Blueprint is that it's two million dollars a year. It's not. It's, you know, like, 1500 dollars a month, which includes your groceries.”
Sanchez: Divorce rates double for female lottery winners, but not men
“When men win the lottery, it's kind of, nothing really changes. They get married at the same rate. They have kids at the same rate. When women win the lottery, the divorce rates double.”
Sexton: 60% to 70% of marriages end in divorce or unhappy coexistence
“You know, 50% or so of marriages end catastrophically, meaning they divorce. Another 10 to 20% either separate but never file for divorce, go out for milk and never come back, or they just sort of unhappily stay together and under surveys basically say, yeah, …”
Adelman: U.S. electricians are currently earning almost $200,000 a year
“Electricians are making almost 200,000 a year right now.”
Sanchez: 70% to 80% of Listed Businesses Never Sell
“70 to 80% of businesses will never actually sell that are even listed for sale. Seven to eight out of every 10 owners who walk into the market to sell something walk home with nothing.”
Sanchez: Owner Dependency Is the Number One Reason Businesses Don't Sell
“And when we look at the autopsy of these dead businesses, the number one reason, owner dependency.”
Godin: Shark Tank Asked Me to Audition as Nasty Judge
“They called me up a bunch of years ago when it was first starting, and they said, well, you auditioned for Shark Tank. We want you to be one of the judges on Shark Tank. And I said, well, what do you think? And they said, well, you would be the nasty judge. An…”
Godin: YouTube creators cannot make a living with under one million followers
“If you're on YouTube and you don't have a million, you're not gonna make a living.”
Sanchez: Vividly fantasizing about success degrades actual performance
“The more vividly you fantasize about success, the worse you perform.”
Sanchez: NYU Study Shows Positive Fantasizing Reduces Job Offers and Earnings
“So there's this study we found in by NYU psychologists tracking college graduates entering the job market. And they basically found that the students who spent the most time in quote unquote, I love this line, positive fantasies about landing their dream job s…”
Sanchez: There is zero correlation between having ADHD and becoming a millionaire
“Also, there is zero correlation. Between having ADHD and being a millionaire, like zero.”
Sanchez: UPenn study found positive fantasizing reduced weight loss by 24 pounds
“At University of Penn, they found the same pattern in weight loss, actually. Like the women who fantasized most positively about their future selves, they lost 24 pounds less in one year than the women who pictured the process going badly.”
Mann: $10 in Facebook Ads Is Enough to Test Video Titles
“And you only need about 10 dollars or so to get accurate information on the test.”
Sanchez: Jensen Huang Has 60 Direct Reports at Nvidia
“He has 60 direct reports, six zero. Most CEOs have eight to 10.”