The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 3,051 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 17 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
McCord: Having sex with robots will weaken human capacity for democracy
“The other thing is having sex with robots is going to make us worse at democracy.”
Freitas: Young men will eventually revolt against anti-masculinity societal narratives
“Young men are going to revolt. You cannot tell men that every aspect of their masculinity is bad and toxic and evil, and they're responsible for all the world's ills. And expect to get away with that longterm because they're the ones that fight the wars, polic…”
Sanchez: Mark Cuban is wrong that teaching business online proves it fails
“His clip basically said, if they're telling you about how to do it on the internet,
It doesn't work because if it worked, they'd just go do it.
And I thought that was so funny.
Sounds great.
Except it's wrong.
Because what actually happens is when you give mor…”
Thiel: There Are Only Two Types of Businesses: Competitors and Monopolies
“The extreme binary View of the world I always articulate is that there are exactly two kinds of businesses in this world. There are businesses that are perfectly competitive, and there are businesses that are monopolies.”
Greene: Social authenticity is a myth because human interaction requires role-playing
“Nobody is ever authentic. It's a myth. It's bullshit, in fact, and it kind of is annoying because to be a human being is to be social and is to wear a mask, is to be an actor.”
Ladjevardian: UBI is the only solution to prevent mass revolution
“I almost feel like it is the only solution to prevent mass revolution. Because people are going to lose their jobs.”
Ladjevardian: Traditional software engineering will cease to exist due to AI
“I think actually software engineering in the way it is today, I think is, is not going to be a thing because you already have things like lovable and these other companies where you can generate a website or app just in like a few seconds.”
Ladjevardian: AI will replace big management consulting firms like McKinsey
“Consulting a hundred percent like McKinsey all of those big consulting firms. I don't know how they are thinking about things internally, but. You know, doing research and creating a report and creating a PowerPoint deck is almost like the easiest thing you ca…”
Ladjevardian: Foundation models are commoditized and AI model companies most at risk
“The model's commoditized. And I think the foundation model companies are at most at risk.”
Dr. Moore: Excessive carnivore diets can induce insulin resistance
“You can over carnivore yourself into insulin resistance. High levels of arachidonic acid can send you into insulin resistance as well.”
Dr. Moore: Five obese online friends exponentially increases your obesity risk
“They showed in one study that if you have even five friends on the internet, just internet, Proximity, not in real person who are struggling with obesity, your chances of becoming obese are exponentially higher.”
Dr. Moore: IVF hormonal treatments damage metabolic health and reduce fertility
“That's the problem, is that hormonal load that these women go through is just wreaking havoc on their metabolic health, so they're becoming less and less and less It's fertile through the process of IVF.”
Dr. Moore: Eli Lilly directly reported doctors' social media accounts
“And when she appealed. She was allowed to find out who reported her, and it was Eli Lilly, and it was the day after my account went down.”
Dr. Moore: Do not take GLP-1s without lifting weights and eating protein
“I don't think that anybody even has the right to start a GLP-ONE if they also aren't going to the gym and lifting weights. And they're not also hitting their macros, their protein macros. So my argument from day one has been, it's not the peptides fault. It's …”
Brooks: Dark Triad personalities are disproportionately social activists
“There's a really interesting papers that we've seen recently, the dark triads, they're disproportionately social activists.”
Brooks: Anonymous internet posters are overwhelmingly likely Dark Triad personalities
“Do you like to post anonymously on the internet? Because the answer is yes, you're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a dark triad. You're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a pathological personality, somebody who really likes to stir up trouble and h…”
Brooks: The therapy industrial complex mistakenly wants you to relive trauma
“And again, that's been largely overlooked by the therapy industrial complex that wants you to relive your trauma. No, no, no, no, no, no. You need to reframe and understand your trauma, understanding that you probably weren't the person who was suffering the m…”
Sanchez: Men negotiate better, closing deals faster and on better terms
“I actually do see it First hand that men are better at negotiating than women, that men make more than women often, even with a similar skill set, that's partial negotiation, and that men, when they are in a deal, let's say arguing for a business to buy, they …”
Van Der Beek: Mothers doing their own research can out-educate doctors
“So if you take like a mom following her intuitive guidance and, you know, unraveling and actually sitting there and going through the peer reviewed studies and the research and all of that, you may have somebody that's actually far more educated than a lot of …”
Galloway: Elon Musk has been a net good for the world
“I think he's been a net good for the world. Inspired the EV race, the space, I mean, seeing that rocket, that booster rocket captured on it as it's falling, that shit's just inspiring.”
Galloway: Elon Musk is not a good role model for men
“I think he's not a very good role model for men. I don't think living alone With none of your 12 children by three women with a loaded gun next to your bed is what men should aspire to.”
Kennedy: Hundreds remain missing in North Carolina and Tennessee disaster zone unreported
“The number of missing is, is still in the hundreds and again, not being reported.”
Kennedy: FEMA personnel fully booked one of the only powered local hotels
“I go to the only hotel where there's two in the town that had power, and it was completely booked up with federal FEMA personnel.”
Saladino: Tufts Food Compass ranked Cheerios and Froot Loops above ground beef
“Darius Mazzafarian, the same guy who gifted us with the food compass guidelines that told us that Froot Loops and Cheerios were healthier than ground beef and eggs.”
Saladino: Consumed animal organs biologically target and support corresponding human organs
“What you see is there's a lot of evidence that Oregon's Do support the corresponding organ in humans, which really breaks the mind of a traditionally trained doctor like myself. So when you give we can take an embryo, for instance, and you put a little bit of …”
Israetel: DNA editing for physical fitness will be inevitable by late 2030s
“Why don't we just change the DNA so that our DNA creates a beautiful body for us in the probably late 20 thirties. That's going to be almost inevitable.”
Galloway: US policy drove an intentional wealth transfer from young to old
“There has been a purposeful transfer of wealth from young to old over the last 40 years.”
Galloway: Foreign Buyers Will Abandon US Treasury Auctions, Spiking Rates
“At some point, the Chinese or whoever aren't going to show up for one of our treasury auctions, and interest rates are going to skyrocket, and you're going to have, you know, shit's going to get real pretty fast.”
Galloway: Extremism and loneliness are bigger societal threats than climate change
“I think the biggest threats to our society aren't climate change or even income inequality. I think it's one extremism from the far left and the far right, and two, I think it's loneliness.”
Galloway: Alternative investments and hedge funds are essentially a grift
“If you took the entire alternative investments industry, any logo on CNBC, anyone that advertises, any hedge fund, it's essentially a grift. And what they, if you look at their performance, they've exactly underperformed the S&P by the amount of their fees.”
Galloway: Underpaid young talent is corporate America's second-biggest arbitrage
“The ultimate arbitrage in our economy is fossil fuels, but the second of that is finding young, super hardworking, super talented people who are better with technology and paying them 30% of what you're paying Bob, who's a forty-year-old, and they do 90, they …”
Galloway: Elon Musk is not a good role model for men
“I also think he should be held accountable for his coarseness and his cruelty. I don't think you attain that level of power such that you cannot pay people their legally obligated severance. I don't think you accuse an employee of being a sex criminal such tha…”
Lonsdale: Fund managers hide conservative views to preserve pension fund LP capital
“And I have a lot of friends who in person are like, Joe, I totally agree with you. This is crazy. Like, I can't believe they're doing this. This is so wrong. But of course, I can't say that in public. I'd mess up all my fundraising with all these pension funds…”
Lonsdale: Harris-Warren price gouging proposal covers 23,000 large companies
“Well, if you look at the price gouging law that Kamala Harris and Senator Warren and all these people on the very extreme left were putting forward, it's actually something that applies to about 23,000 big companies, and it would give them a lot of arbitrary p…”
Lonsdale: US federal government abandoned merit-based testing 45 years ago
“So this was basically a form of DEI. It's like proto-DEI in the late seventies, and it was under Jimmy Carter's administration, and then eventually the courts pushed it and finalized it in the early eighties. So for 45 years, We haven't had merit-based tests i…”
Sanchez: Fired podcast vendor who refused to work on Joe Lonsdale episode
“So, Joe Lonsdale was gonna come on the show, and we had a vendor that was working on our podcast. They do some, what's called pre-production stuff, like come up with thumbnails or their interesting tidbits on the internet. And this young gentleman reached out,…”
Sanchez: Western Sanctions on Russia Ended Up Hurting Europe More
“We had a sanction on Russia and Europe that we thought was gonna hurt Russia, but actually ended up hurting Europe more.”
Sanchez: Balaji Srinivasan predicts 70% chance of economic crisis within two years
“His point here was, I'm concerned about the chance of a crisis, and so Balaji thinks there's a 10% chance of a crisis happening soon, a 70% chance in the next two years, which is scary because he's very smart.”
Dr. Lyon: Chronic metabolic diseases begin decades earlier in skeletal muscle
“Is all the issues that we are seeing, obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, Alzheimer's, is this all a fat problem? No. It begins in skeletal muscle first. Decades before.”
Gabbard: Democratic colleagues warned endorsing Sanders placed me on Clinton's blacklist
“Some of my Democratic colleagues basically telling me, like, you just committed political suicide. Hillary Clinton is going to be president. That is going to happen, and you will be persona non grata to that her administration. You will not get a single penny …”
Gabbard: Google shut down my campaign AdSense during 2020 debate peak
“I ended up being the most searched candidate of the night, that debate night, which is what I had hoped for, and, ah, right at that time of peak interest, Google shut down our AdSense account with no warning, no explanation, no ability.”
Gabbard: Studies show Gmail sends most Republican campaign emails to spam
“Studies are done how Google in particular, but essentially big tech, Has been proven to divert the vast majority of, you know, if you're a Republican running for office and you're sending out a, you know, a bulk email, most of those emails for conservatives Re…”
Gabbard: The U.S. goal in Ukraine is regime change to remove Putin
“The goal of the U.S. Government at the heart of this is another regime change war. They want to get rid of Putin, and that's not a secret. Some of the highest leaders, you know, Secretary Austin Secretary of State Blinken, others within the White House have ma…”
Karl Rove criticizes Marjorie Taylor Greene for opposing African AIDS relief
“When we have Marjorie Taylor Greene saying we must stop AIDS relief effort in Africa because we've got bigger problems here at home, it's a wrecking, it's not a, it's just not thoughtful. It's, we spend a pittance, a relative pittance of what this country has …”
Sanchez: VCs repackage retirement homes as 'reimagined living' to raise millions
“I feel like this is what Venture has done since, you know, the last bull run of 2009 in Venture is they've been like, the thing is, We're reimagining the way that we live and what they're doing in actuality is retirement home, but for young people, but it's th…”
Johnson: Most mainstream advice about food and medicine is wrong
“Most of it. Really? Yeah, most of it, yeah.”